PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cremona vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-79
29-24 14-18 14-19 21-18
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record15-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaRadi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cremona v Brescia
15 Mar 2026
CRE78
BRE79
10 Nov 2024
CRE89
BRE100
20 Apr 2024
CRE84
BRE77
24 Apr 2022
CRE76
BRE88
25 Apr 2021
CRE89
BRE94
17 Apr 2020
CRE v BRE
upcoming
22 Dec 2018
CRE88
BRE91
28 Apr 2018
CRE88
BRE86
09 Apr 2017
CRE80
BRE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
57avg 74
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
59avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 74
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-104
86
104
-18
69avg 74
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 74
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 74
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
62avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-23
14-19
21-12
12-27
19-16
19-29
24-19
18-22
19-14
15-11
19-20
19-17
18-22
19-16
19-27
29-23
19-26
19-23
27-13
19-22
14-24
17-20
24-18
17-26
28-26
17-31
24-21
27-25
15-22
23-21
24-19
20-23
11-25
17-23
19-15
15-21
23-20
18-18
22-26
162.6Avg total
77.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.985.1167.0-3.238%
Season at home (10)83.181.8164.9+1.360%
Season away (11)80.888.2169.0-7.418%
Last 10 (10)77.984.7162.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.187.5165.7-9.413%
vs Similar (14)88.087.4175.4+0.657%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
79avg 81
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 81
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 81
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
73avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
96avg 81
A14/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
25-18
29-24
21-31
29-20
19-22
26-21
16-18
20-20
24-23
18-23
24-17
26-23
20-21
16-20
17-15
23-15
15-21
28-23
20-24
20-12
20-25
23-25
23-14
24-17
19-23
18-23
18-25
24-16
34-22
21-19
23-31
18-26
175.3Avg total
88.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.883.7172.4+5.175%
Season at home (10)91.583.6175.1+7.990%
Season away (10)86.083.7169.7+2.360%
Last 10 (10)88.486.9175.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)84.883.4168.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.486.0159.4-12.640%
vs Similar (13)83.684.2167.8-0.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.583.7174.3+6.882%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
CremonaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/03
Lega A
82.4Avg total
37.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.083.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.985.9-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)39.342.281.5-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.682.4-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.443.381.7-4.933%-
vs Similar (14)42.343.485.6-1.136%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A14/02
Lega A
88.4Avg total
44.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.386.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.243.288.3+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)41.243.484.6-2.253%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.188.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
vs Similar (13)42.943.586.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.841.688.5+5.273%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.3
47.8%
54.1%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.6
31.2%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
76.1%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
54.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.3
39.2%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.420.8
85.2%
76.1%20.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLWLLWLWLL
Brescia
LLWWWWLWLW
#12
League position
#4
-12.4
Net rating
+2.0
93.0
Offensive rating
111.6
105.5
Defensive rating
109.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
55.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.2%
3-point %
39.2%
54.4%
Assist %
64.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 111.6Defence105.5 · 109.6Shooting47.3% · 55.2%3-point %31.2% · 39.2%Ball care14.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
21/11/25Brescia v Cremona83-72
02/03/25Brescia v Cremona99-87
10/11/24Cremona v Brescia89-100
20/04/24Cremona v Brescia84-77
12/11/23Brescia v Cremona84-75
24/04/22Cremona v Brescia76-88
19/12/21Brescia v Cremona86-73
25/04/21Cremona v Brescia89-94
03/01/21Brescia v Cremona85-89
26/12/19Brescia v Cremona91-76
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ATortona78-85
15/02/26HOlimpia Milano67-86
07/02/26HCantu89-87
01/02/26ASassari86-104
26/01/26HVirtus Bologna74-84
17/01/26ATrento94-85
11/01/26AUdine75-82
04/01/26HReggiana71-67
29/12/25AOlimpia Milano74-91
21/12/25HTortona71-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AVarese96-98
09/02/26HVirtus Bologna79-87
01/02/26AOlimpia Milano90-81
25/01/26HUdine83-80
18/01/26ACantu76-71
11/01/26HTortona92-86
04/01/26ASassari86-93 OT
28/12/25HVenezia104-93
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game81.983.180.8
Allowed / game85.181.888.2
Point differential-3.2+1.3-7.4
Avg total167.0164.9169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game88.891.586.0
Allowed / game83.783.683.7
Point differential+5.1+7.9+2.3
Avg total172.4175.1169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%84.977.9+7.0
4 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste21111052%84.587.3-2.8
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Cremona2181338%81.985.1-3.2
12 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
13 Sassari2281436%86.188.7-2.6
14 Basket Napoli2171433%82.887.0-4.1
15 Cantu2261627%84.088.8-4.8
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2914142178
Brescia2418191879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.