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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-84
19-22 14-24 17-20 24-18
Position#12
Record7-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game72.8
ItalyLega ARound 17· PalaRadi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
CRE74
VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 75
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
76-102
76
102
-26
70avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 75
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
57avg 75
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
59avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
21-23
19-14
14-22
18-24
17-22
22-17
24-18
16-30
17-20
18-34
22-21
19-27
20-22
16-23
14-19
21-12
12-27
19-16
19-29
24-19
18-22
19-14
15-11
19-20
19-17
18-22
19-16
19-27
29-23
19-26
19-23
27-13
167.8Avg total
81.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.983.9166.8-1.044%
Season at home (7)85.980.1166.0+5.771%
Season away (9)80.686.8167.3-6.222%
Last 10 (10)81.586.3167.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)77.080.2157.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.487.7166.1-9.320%
vs Similar (14)88.585.9174.4+2.664%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
74-66
74
66
+8
69avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
97-85
97
85
+12
94avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H04/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 79
H06/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
71-84
71
84
-13
64avg 79
A08/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 79
A11/01
Lega A
Dubai
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 79
H21/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 79
H23/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-17
11-13
19-14
14-27
33-20
30-19
20-19
–
–
–
–
25-22
18-12
20-22
20-23
15-23
18-16
15-17
23-28
15-23
16-26
24-19
26-7
23-23
18-14
19-16
20-19
21-10
27-19
24-25
16-23
25-22
22-18
13-25
20-20
26-31
26-26
16-25
25-20
149.2Avg total
76.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.672.8154.3+8.888%
Season at home (8)78.869.1147.9+9.688%
Season away (8)84.476.4160.8+8.088%
Last 10 (10)76.772.5149.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)84.482.2166.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.483.8163.2-4.425%
vs Similar (8)84.581.8166.2+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.068.9149.9+12.1100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/01
Lega A
83.9Avg total
40.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.983.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.979.6-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.883.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.480.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.742.081.7-2.347%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.484.8+0.143%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A11/01
Lega A
Dubai
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A15/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H21/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/01
Euroleague
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.440.582.9+1.962%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.240.986.1+4.269%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.280.4+0.056%-
Last 10 (9)42.941.284.1+1.756%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.941.682.5-0.750%-
vs Similar (8)42.441.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.438.082.4+6.489%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.4
29.2%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
76.1%15.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.4
55.9%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.715.3
81.8%
76.1%15.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWLLLLLWL
Virtus Bologna
LLWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-5.4
Net rating
+1.9
104.7
Offensive rating
108.1
110.1
Defensive rating
106.2
48.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
36.1%
57.3%
Assist %
64.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 108.1Defence110.1 · 106.2Shooting48.4% · 55.2%3-point %29.2% · 36.1%Ball care15.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ATrento94-85
11/01/26AUdine75-82
04/01/26HReggiana71-67
29/12/25AOlimpia Milano74-91
21/12/25HTortona71-76
14/12/25ABasket Napoli76-102
08/12/25HVarese79-87
21/11/25ABrescia72-83
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HCrvena zvezda93-102
21/01/26HFenerbahce80-85
18/01/26HTreviso88-77
15/01/26ADubai80-72
11/01/26AVenezia81-75
08/01/26APanathinaikos71-84
06/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-79
04/01/26HTrapani20-0
02/01/26HOlimpia Milano97-85
29/12/25ATrieste74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%71%22%
Points / game82.985.980.6
Allowed / game83.980.186.8
Point differential-1.0+5.7-6.2
Avg total166.8166.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game81.678.884.4
Allowed / game72.869.176.4
Point differential+8.8+9.6+8.0
Avg total154.3147.9160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1614288%81.672.8+8.8
2 Brescia1714382%88.882.8+6.1
3 Olimpia Milano1712571%85.477.8+7.6
4 Venezia1611569%93.086.9+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1711665%87.686.7+0.9
7 Trieste168850%83.587.1-3.6
8 Trento178947%81.578.6+2.9
9 Cremona167944%82.983.9-1.0
10 Basket Napoli1771041%84.985.5-0.6
11 Varese1771041%83.186.8-3.6
12 Udine1761135%80.881.6-0.8
13 Sassari1761135%84.287.4-3.2
14 Reggiana1751229%80.282.6-2.4
15 Cantu1741324%81.989.5-7.6
16 Treviso1731418%81.491.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1914172474
Virtus Bologna2224201884
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