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Cremona vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 119-95
33-31 24-22 32-19 30-23
Position#10
Record14-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.8
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#16
Record7-22
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cremona v Capo d'Orlando
09 May 2018
CRE119
KDO95
12 Mar 2017
CRE82
KDO86
06 Mar 2016
CRE74
KDO73
02 Nov 2014
CRE76
KDO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H28/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
21-15
20-18
18-20
21-23
19-27
30-19
16-33
24-17
23-18
22-18
23-17
23-18
14-17
28-19
26-24
15-26
24-27
16-24
17-18
22-22
17-27
20-27
30-20
22-27
20-18
21-22
21-24
23-26
21-18
32-11
23-17
26-19
17-16
26-27
19-24
17-24
23-23
20-22
19-20
173.0Avg total
87.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.082.8166.7+1.248%
Season at home (14)87.080.5167.5+6.571%
Season away (15)81.184.9166.0-3.727%
Last 10 (10)87.285.8173.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)87.886.8174.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.586.5168.0-5.017%
vs Similar (16)84.984.8169.8+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.777.1164.9+10.686%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A29/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
16-18
29-13
17-24
8-15
24-32
18-24
20-21
27-26
26-17
21-28
14-17
17-26
9-27
15-20
15-34
20-26
21-23
20-22
16-10
16-20
18-13
16-22
21-24
20-15
20-16
13-25
15-15
20-12
19-25
18-24
26-30
22-25
15-20
16-24
16-8
24-18
164.7Avg total
77.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.083.6154.6-12.724%
Season at home (15)71.978.8150.7-6.927%
Season away (14)70.088.8158.8-18.821%
Last 10 (10)77.387.4164.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)75.480.0155.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.786.8156.5-17.114%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
CremonaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/05
Lega A
85.9Avg total
42.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.083.9+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.484.0+5.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.283.9-4.612%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.485.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.547.089.5-4.517%-
vs Similar (16)40.841.482.2-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.739.184.9+6.657%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/05
Lega A
82.8Avg total
38.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.043.278.2-8.220%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.341.178.4-3.831%-
Last 30 away (14)32.445.678.1-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)38.444.482.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.878.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.644.078.6-9.317%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
34.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.413.4
81.7%
73.0%13.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.6
48.5%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
73.0%11.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWLLLWWLW
Capo d'Orlando
WLLWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
+1.8
Net rating
-20.0
111.9
Offensive rating
101.2
110.1
Defensive rating
121.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.2%
3-point %
32.2%
49.7%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 101.2Defence110.1 · 121.2Shooting54.7% · 48.4%3-point %39.2% · 32.2%Ball care16.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
14/01/18Capo d'Orlando v Cremona85-95
12/03/17Cremona v Capo d'Orlando82-86
13/11/16Capo d'Orlando v Cremona79-76
06/03/16Cremona v Capo d'Orlando74-73
15/11/15Capo d'Orlando v Cremona65-69
15/02/15Capo d'Orlando v Cremona57-74
02/11/14Cremona v Capo d'Orlando76-78
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18AVarese79-89
28/04/18HBrescia88-86
22/04/18ABrindisi99-72
18/04/18AReggiana84-91
15/04/18HTrento89-96
08/04/18AAvellino72-95
31/03/18HVirtus Bologna91-78
18/03/18HTorino92-70
11/03/18ASassari86-102
04/03/18HPesaro92-79
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18HCantu71-70
29/04/18AVenezia85-104
22/04/18HAvellino73-77 OT
15/04/18ABrindisi75-74
08/04/18HVarese73-75
31/03/18ATrento59-107
24/03/18HBrescia78-88
18/03/18HSassari89-103
11/03/18APesaro81-84 OT
04/03/18ATorino89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%71%27%
Points / game84.087.081.1
Allowed / game82.880.584.9
Point differential+1.2+6.5-3.7
Avg total166.7167.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW24%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %24%27%21%
Points / game71.071.970.0
Allowed / game83.678.888.8
Point differential-12.7-6.9-18.8
Avg total154.6150.7158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%82.074.3+7.7
2 Venezia2922776%82.578.6+3.9
3 Brescia2920969%79.775.6+4.1
4 Avellino29191066%83.277.2+6.0
5 Trento29181162%81.076.8+4.2
6 Varese29161355%78.375.1+3.2
7 Virtus Bologna29151452%77.775.4+2.3
8 Cantu29151452%86.987.2-0.3
9 Sassari29141548%85.383.0+2.3
10 Cremona29141548%84.082.8+1.2
11 Reggiana29121741%76.578.0-1.6
12 Torino29121741%80.783.1-2.4
13 Brindisi2992031%77.081.5-4.5
14 Pistoia2992031%75.181.5-6.4
15 Pesaro2982128%76.984.0-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2972224%71.083.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona33243230119
Capo d'Orlando3122192395
← all games of the day
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