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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-79
24-17 23-23 22-20 20-19
Position#8
Record15-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record14-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.5
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
137avg 111
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 111
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 111
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 111
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 111
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 111
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
153.3Avg total
79.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.075.0153.0+3.054%
Season at home (14)81.673.6155.2+8.171%
Season away (14)74.376.4150.7-2.136%
Last 10 (10)79.573.8153.3+5.780%
Last 5 (5)76.669.6146.2+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.573.0147.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.876.1153.9+1.753%
vs Weaker (9)78.974.7153.6+4.256%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Torino
#1
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
126avg 115
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
96avg 115
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
113avg 115
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
109avg 115
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
99-72
99
72
+27
123avg 115
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
108avg 115
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
18-28
21-15
19-25
33-26
21-15
20-18
18-20
21-23
19-27
30-19
16-33
24-17
23-18
22-18
23-17
23-18
14-17
28-19
26-24
15-26
24-27
16-24
17-18
22-22
17-27
20-27
30-20
22-27
20-18
21-22
21-24
23-26
21-18
32-11
23-17
26-19
17-16
26-27
19-24
174.1Avg total
88.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.182.5166.7+1.650%
Season at home (14)87.080.5167.5+6.571%
Season away (14)81.384.6165.9-3.329%
Last 10 (10)88.086.1174.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)86.488.0174.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.485.0163.4-6.614%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.384.5169.9+0.847%
vs Weaker (7)87.777.1164.9+10.686%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
76.1Avg total
40.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.476.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.535.378.8+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.574.9-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.276.1+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.471.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.238.378.5+1.958%-
vs Weaker (9)38.235.673.8+2.756%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/04
Lega A
85.2Avg total
42.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.683.3+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.183.0+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.644.183.7-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.785.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.145.486.6-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.841.181.9-0.347%-
vs Weaker (7)45.739.184.9+6.657%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
51.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.1
40.9%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.212.6
77.8%
73.0%12.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.2
51.4%
51.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.7
37.9%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.814.3
85.1%
73.0%14.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWWWWLLW
Cremona
WWLLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#10
+7.8
Net rating
+3.3
111.6
Offensive rating
111.5
103.8
Defensive rating
108.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.9%
3-point %
37.9%
63.9%
Assist %
49.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 111.5Defence103.8 · 108.2Shooting54.8% · 53.7%3-point %40.9% · 37.9%Ball care18.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
30/11/14Cremona v Varese64-53
27/04/14Varese v Cremona78-70
29/12/13Cremona v Varese75-94
21/04/13Cremona v Varese88-92
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/18HBrescia88-86
22/04/18ABrindisi99-72
18/04/18AReggiana84-91
15/04/18HTrento89-96
08/04/18AAvellino72-95
31/03/18HVirtus Bologna91-78
18/03/18HTorino92-70
11/03/18ASassari86-102
04/03/18HPesaro92-79
17/02/18HTorino87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game78.081.674.3
Allowed / game75.073.676.4
Point differential+3.0+8.1-2.1
Avg total153.0155.2150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game84.187.081.3
Allowed / game82.580.584.6
Point differential+1.6+6.5-3.3
Avg total166.7167.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Varese28151354%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
8 Cantu28151354%87.587.8-0.2
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana28121643%76.678.1-1.5
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2882029%77.081.8-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2423222089
Cremona1723201979
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