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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-83
21-23 25-14 25-15 22-31
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game90.2
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 6· PalaRadi
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
CRE74
VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
69-49
69
49
+20
no box
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A16/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H19/06
Serie A2
Trento
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 77
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
77avg 77
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 77
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
94avg 77
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
122-112 OT
122
112
+10
no box
A29/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
26-19
14-26
23-18
19-14
17-12
16-8
17-15
12-24
30-20
18-11
17-17
17-12
14-23
24-12
14-17
23-9
29-18
23-23
14-24
20-33
22-19
24-20
18-19
17-21
19-16
26-18
24-19
19-28
14-15
22-14
21-22
24-27
25-23
22-27
20-18
21-25
14-28
31-11
21-23
165.8Avg total
85.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.890.2182.0+1.640%
Season at home (2)88.584.5173.0+4.050%
Season away (3)94.094.0188.0+0.033%
Last 10 (10)85.580.3165.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)91.890.2182.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)79.878.2158.1+1.650%
vs Weaker (18)83.273.4156.6+9.883%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 81
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
113avg 81
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 81
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 81
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
87avg 81
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 81
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 81
H03/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-22
23-21
14-24
33-22
25-17
23-28
34-17
23-15
25-18
22-15
13-11
25-17
16-23
28-19
21-16
27-11
17-15
23-25
20-25
26-15
18-18
18-22
23-24
18-20
27-15
19-15
16-16
21-18
18-24
26-21
22-21
23-22
23-6
21-20
21-27
20-18
21-27
28-17
24-19
164.8Avg total
88.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.875.0165.8+15.8100%
Season at home (2)97.575.0172.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)86.375.0161.3+11.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.776.1164.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)86.677.0163.6+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.059.0142.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (11)79.678.1157.7+1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.477.1170.5+16.294%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H19/06
Serie A2
Trento
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A30/09
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H21/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A29/10
Lega A
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.777.9+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.179.2+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.276.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.086.0-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (12)40.839.880.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)39.836.276.0+3.667%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
44.8Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.082.1+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.436.282.6+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.540.181.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.835.880.6+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.679.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (11)39.537.677.1+1.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.538.986.4+8.576%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.2
55.0%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
73.0%
76.3%10.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.3
57.1%
53.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.8
40.3%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.713.3
79.6%
76.3%13.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLWLWWWWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#2
-8.9
Net rating
+18.0
109.0
Offensive rating
120.1
117.9
Defensive rating
102.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
40.3%
53.1%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 120.1Defence117.9 · 102.1Shooting54.8% · 58.5%3-point %36.3% · 40.3%Ball care19.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 34.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cremona wins
5
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AScafati122-112 OT
21/10/23HReggiana91-95
14/10/23AVenezia76-79
08/10/23HSassari86-74
30/09/23ATrento84-91
19/06/23HForli89-74
16/06/23AForli69-64
14/06/23AForli77-72
04/06/23AFortitudo Bologna69-49
02/06/23AFortitudo Bologna92-93 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HAnadolu Efes93-81
30/10/23ABasket Napoli88-75
27/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-84
22/10/23HSassari80-66
20/10/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
18/10/23HAlba Berlin87-76
15/10/23ATrento90-75
13/10/23AMonaco83-59
08/10/23HVarese115-84
05/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game91.888.594.0
Allowed / game90.284.594.0
Point differential+1.6+4.0+0.0
Avg total182.0173.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.897.586.3
Allowed / game75.075.075.0
Point differential+15.8+22.5+11.3
Avg total165.8172.5161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%90.875.0+15.8
2 Brescia65183%85.573.7+11.8
3 Venezia65183%82.075.0+7.0
4 Trento65183%86.283.5+2.7
5 Basket Napoli64267%86.879.0+7.8
6 Olimpia Milano64267%80.274.5+5.7
7 Reggiana64267%85.581.8+3.7
8 Scafati63350%92.292.5-0.3
9 Tortona63350%72.877.0-4.2
10 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
11 Pistoia62433%77.879.8-2.0
12 Pesaro62433%82.385.2-2.8
13 Varese62433%84.590.5-6.0
14 Sassari61517%77.289.5-12.3
15 Treviso6060%79.089.0-10.0
16 Brindisi6060%66.582.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2125252293
Virtus Bologna2314153183
← all games of the day
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