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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-74
20-15 17-17 17-23 15-19
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game74.7
ItalyLega ARound 5· PalaRadi
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
CRE74
VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 71
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
66avg 71
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 71
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 71
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 71
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 71
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 71
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
64avg 71
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
48avg 71
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 71
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-21
19-25
21-21
18-17
17-13
15-12
18-21
23-20
30-29
16-24
16-20
22-21
23-20
22-19
17-17
26-22
23-21
19-23
18-25
26-17
13-18
15-18
18-20
24-27
13-18
22-17
9-18
19-13
17-20
22-17
9-17
14-12
11-21
20-16
20-17
24-21
19-23
14-21
30-16
155.3Avg total
76.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.576.0149.5-2.525%
Season at home (2)69.571.5141.0-2.00%
Season away (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)76.578.8155.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)73.275.4148.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.280.1155.4-4.925%
vs Similar (11)82.380.3162.5+2.055%
vs Weaker (11)77.875.5153.3+2.436%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#3
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 79
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 79
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 79
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
85-87
85
87
-2
82avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 79
A12/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-71
68
71
-3
57avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
85-101
85
101
-16
79avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
23-18
18-36
26-17
26-17
21-19
22-28
15-20
29-25
21-16
19-20
20-27
21-15
15-21
16-15
15-25
32-19
19-20
17-10
16-19
27-38
22-19
21-16
15-14
22-14
21-17
17-23
16-14
15-16
15-28
22-16
16-11
24-20
23-26
17-25
21-30
15-20
17-17
25-24
13-8
162.9Avg total
81.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.074.7157.7+8.3100%
Season at home (1)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)82.578.0160.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.681.3162.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.082.0156.0-8.033%
vs Similar (11)79.282.5161.7-3.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.876.7163.5+10.180%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A29/09
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/10
Lega A
79.2Avg total
39.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.475.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.134.874.9+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)35.740.175.8-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.479.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.074.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.139.078.1+0.162%-
vs Similar (11)38.437.876.2+0.527%-
vs Weaker (11)36.635.972.5+0.755%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/10
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A10/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A12/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
43.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.383.3+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.737.281.9+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)43.441.284.6+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.183.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.940.681.5+0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.938.785.5+8.273%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
76.8%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.7
53.4%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
35.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.717.2
79.3%
76.8%17.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLLLLLWLWL
Virtus Bologna
WLLWLWLWLW
#13
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
-2.1
110.2
Offensive rating
107.2
110.6
Defensive rating
109.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
29.3%
56.5%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 107.2Defence110.6 · 109.3Shooting52.6% · 49.7%3-point %36.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24ABasket Napoli87-81
13/10/24HPistoia65-66
06/10/24HReggiana74-77 OT
29/09/24ATortona68-80
05/05/24HOlimpia Milano72-73
28/04/24APesaro86-91
20/04/24HBrescia84-77
14/04/24AVirtus Bologna85-93
07/04/24HScafati68-63
30/03/24ATortona76-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24APartizan70-69
18/10/24AMonaco85-101
15/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas68-71
12/10/24AVenezia76-68
10/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne85-87
06/10/24HPistoia84-68
04/10/24HAnadolu Efes67-76
28/09/24ATrapani89-88
22/09/24AOlimpia Milano96-98 OT
21/09/24ABasket Napoli96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game73.569.577.5
Allowed / game76.071.580.5
Point differential-2.5-2.0-3.0
Avg total149.5141.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.084.082.5
Allowed / game74.768.078.0
Point differential+8.3+16.0+4.5
Avg total157.7152.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento440100%90.880.5+10.2
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trapani43175%96.286.8+9.5
4 Brescia43175%98.090.5+7.5
5 Olimpia Milano43175%87.280.5+6.8
6 Reggiana43175%84.578.8+5.8
7 Trieste43175%86.585.0+1.5
8 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
9 Pistoia42250%71.577.0-5.5
10 Cremona41325%73.576.0-2.5
11 Scafati41325%88.891.2-2.5
12 Venezia41325%72.575.0-2.5
13 Sassari41325%85.591.8-6.2
14 Treviso41325%72.283.2-11.0
15 Basket Napoli4040%80.590.2-9.8
16 Varese4040%97.2109.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2017171569
Virtus Bologna1517231974
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