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Crvena zvezda vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-82
20-27 19-16 18-21 22-18
Position#14
Record11-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#3
Record17-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2017
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid
12 Jan 2027
CZV v MAD
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
CZV90
MAD75
28 Mar 2025
CZV72
MAD78
19 Dec 2023
CZV58
MAD72
10 Jan 2023
CZV59
MAD79
08 Mar 2022
CZV65
MAD62
13 Nov 2020
CZV67
MAD73
30 Mar 2018
CZV79
MAD82
22 Dec 2016
CZV82
MAD70
27 Nov 2015
CZV94
MAD88
02 Jan 2015
CZV72
MAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H22/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A25/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-25
9-23
17-17
24-24
16-13
22-15
18-24
22-24
20-21
18-20
22-11
12-17
12-28
25-17
5-26
24-14
24-22
34-17
25-16
23-23
27-25
29-19
27-23
22-14
19-8
23-27
27-14
15-24
23-23
18-30
15-14
17-22
14-18
10-25
22-15
21-30
24-18
19-21
20-19
160.7Avg total
80.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.683.6161.2-6.039%
Season at home (14)81.079.9160.9+1.157%
Season away (14)74.287.4161.6-13.121%
Last 10 (10)80.080.7160.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.881.6153.3-9.822%
vs Similar (9)88.188.4176.6-0.356%
vs Weaker (11)90.172.6162.7+17.591%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H25/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
22-22
31-22
18-17
20-20
25-20
20-28
18-18
28-13
25-18
21-28
22-22
19-20
19-17
26-18
28-20
14-21
15-24
17-27
26-22
25-17
24-19
19-18
20-23
22-12
31-15
19-27
24-27
21-22
19-24
20-24
28-26
19-16
22-28
24-18
23-19
17-18
21-27
27-12
18-14
170.3Avg total
88.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.779.6165.3+6.061%
Season at home (14)86.477.1163.5+9.271%
Season away (14)85.082.1167.1+2.950%
Last 10 (10)88.781.6170.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)88.681.2169.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.976.9165.8+12.081%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Crvena zvezdaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H22/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/03
ABA League
80.9Avg total
39.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.337.279.5+5.182%-
Last 30 away (13)40.143.583.6-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.480.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.041.276.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (9)43.244.988.1-1.756%-
vs Weaker (11)45.535.881.3+9.682%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/03
ACB
82.4Avg total
43.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.680.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.981.4+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.682.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.940.076.9-3.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.137.781.8+6.467%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.8
49.3%
51.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.0
37.2%
37.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
76.3%14.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.4
60.0%
51.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
37.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
76.3%16.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LLLWWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWWLW
#14
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+9.6
110.5
Offensive rating
118.4
111.4
Defensive rating
108.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
57.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.2%
3-point %
35.1%
60.4%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 118.4Defence111.4 · 108.8Shooting51.8% · 57.2%3-point %37.2% · 35.1%Ball care14.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crvena zvezda wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18AMornar Bar84-88
22/03/18HFenerbahce63-80
20/03/18APanathinaikos71-91
18/03/18HMornar Bar91-63
15/03/18HValencia106-90
12/03/18HCibona107-69
09/03/18ABarcelona54-88
05/03/18AIgokea82-76
02/03/18HUnicaja80-76
23/02/18ABamberg62-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HValencia83-71
22/03/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-81
20/03/18AValencia88-96
17/03/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza96-81
13/03/18AOlimpia Milano88-77
11/03/18ABarcelona72-94
08/03/18HPanathinaikos92-75
04/03/18HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
02/03/18HFenerbahce83-86
23/02/18ABarcelona101-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL39%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game77.681.074.2
Allowed / game83.679.987.4
Point differential-6.0+1.1-13.1
Avg total161.2160.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game85.786.485.0
Allowed / game79.677.182.1
Point differential+6.0+9.2+2.9
Avg total165.3163.5167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2823582%90.079.4+10.6
2 Fenerbahce2921872%80.374.3+6.0
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.676.4+1.2
4 Real Madrid28171161%85.779.6+6.0
5 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas28161257%81.280.6+0.6
7 Baskonia29161355%83.079.0+4.0
8 Khimki M.29161355%77.878.1-0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29131645%81.284.2-3.0
10 Unicaja29121741%78.981.9-3.0
11 Valencia28111739%79.281.8-2.6
12 Crvena zvezda28111739%77.683.6-6.0
13 Bamberg29111838%76.780.7-4.0
14 Barcelona29101934%81.780.1+1.7
15 Olimpia Milano29101934%81.285.5-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2962321%77.284.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2019182279
Real Madrid2716211882
← all games of the day
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