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CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 May 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-90
18-22 25-23 22-28 30-17
Position#1
Record27-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.8
CSKA Moscow 🏆
vs
Real Madrid
Position#3
Record25-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid
26 Nov 2020
CMO74
MAD73
17 May 2019
CMO95
MAD90
08 Feb 2019
CMO82
MAD78
18 May 2018
CMO83
MAD92
01 Feb 2018
CMO93
MAD87
11 Nov 2016
CMO91
MAD90
07 Jan 2016
CMO95
MAD81
23 Jan 2014
CMO85
MAD71
28 Mar 2013
CMO81
MAD72
17 Dec 2008
CMO78
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H07/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A09/04
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H11/04
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 107
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 107
A24/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
81avg 107
A26/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
87-50
87
50
+37
no box
H04/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H06/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A09/05
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
26-14
24-22
17-23
25-21
23-22
24-20
23-26
21-19
24-15
18-18
28-20
23-24
21-16
29-12
21-16
18-27
19-15
15-24
16-12
28-18
18-21
16-20
22-18
20-22
19-26
29-23
24-12
23-10
24-13
24-12
16-15
25-18
27-21
12-14
22-13
25-19
20-16
25-16
10-21
158.8Avg total
86.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.579.8166.3+6.779%
Season at home (17)86.278.2164.4+7.982%
Season away (17)86.881.4168.2+5.476%
Last 10 (10)86.072.8158.8+13.290%
Last 5 (5)85.869.6155.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.374.7152.0+2.7100%
vs Weaker (27)88.375.5163.7+12.881%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 110
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 110
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 110
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
79avg 110
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 110
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 110
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 110
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
99avg 110
A04/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
109-92
109
92
+17
105avg 110
H09/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
83avg 110
A11/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
23-18
13-23
22-17
31-24
24-24
15-22
33-16
22-27
19-18
20-19
24-19
19-24
25-16
25-25
29-21
23-22
30-18
25-20
29-23
25-31
20-10
22-22
16-24
27-14
165.8Avg total
88.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.577.5163.0+7.976%
Season at home (17)90.177.9168.1+12.288%
Season away (16)80.577.1157.6+3.462%
Last 10 (10)88.577.3165.8+11.2100%
Last 5 (5)94.483.0177.4+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.281.5165.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (25)88.079.3167.3+8.780%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
CSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H07/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/04
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H11/04
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H18/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A24/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H04/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H06/05
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/05
VTB United League
81.6Avg total
44.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.780.7+5.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.337.680.9+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)42.737.880.5+4.986%-
Last 10 (10)44.537.181.6+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.882.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker (27)43.737.881.5+6.081%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H09/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/05
ACB
78.5Avg total
41.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.082.3+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.938.080.9+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.478.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.240.282.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (25)43.139.082.2+4.164%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.5
50.4%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.9
38.3%
37.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.419.3
82.5%
76.7%19.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.4
60.2%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.5
37.0%
37.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
76.7%15.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+7.7
Net rating
+15.1
115.1
Offensive rating
116.5
107.4
Defensive rating
101.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.3%
3-point %
37.0%
54.4%
Assist %
57.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 116.5Defence107.4 · 101.3Shooting52.9% · 58.0%3-point %38.3% · 37.0%Ball care18.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
08/02/19CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid82-78
29/11/18Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow88-93
18/05/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid83-92
01/02/18CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid93-87
19/10/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow82-69
21/05/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow70-94
06/01/17Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow95-85
11/11/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid91-90
02/03/16Real Madrid v CSKA Moscow87-96
07/01/16CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid95-81
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/19ANizhny Novgorod80-72
06/05/19HNizhny Novgorod86-66
04/05/19HNizhny Novgorod87-50
26/04/19ABaskonia92-83
24/04/19ABaskonia84-77
18/04/19HBaskonia68-78
16/04/19HBaskonia94-68
11/04/19HAstana91-72
09/04/19ANizhny Novgorod95-89
07/04/19HZenit Petersburg83-73
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza85-70
09/05/19HEstudiantes109-92
04/05/19ASan Pablo Burgos102-84
02/05/19AMurcia82-80
27/04/19HBreogan94-89
23/04/19APanathinaikos89-82
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %79%82%76%
Points / game86.586.286.8
Allowed / game79.878.281.4
Point differential+6.7+7.9+5.4
Avg total166.3164.4168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)86% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %76%88%62%
Points / game85.590.180.5
Allowed / game77.577.977.1
Point differential+7.9+12.2+3.4
Avg total163.0168.1157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%65%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3528780%83.575.1+8.4
2 CSKA Moscow3427779%86.579.8+6.7
3 Real Madrid3325876%85.577.5+7.9
4 Anadolu Efes36241267%84.978.9+5.9
5 Barcelona35201557%78.176.9+1.2
6 Olympiacos30151550%77.976.9+1.0
7 Panathinaikos33161748%79.078.7+0.2
8 Baskonia34161847%81.280.2+1.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas34161847%78.178.7-0.6
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%79.278.2+1.0
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%87.387.2+0.1
12 Bayern30141647%79.180.8-1.7
13 Khimki M.3092130%78.281.8-3.7
14 Gran Canaria3082227%77.787.8-10.0
15 Buducnost3062420%74.385.0-10.7
16 Darussafaka3052517%74.685.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1825223095
Real Madrid2223281790
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