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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 95-65
19-21 29-13 25-13 22-18
Position#1
Record16-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#17
Record6-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.9
SpainACBRound 18
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
133avg 117
H31/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
81-69
81
69
+12
109avg 117
A03/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
126avg 117
H05/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
111avg 117
A07/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
130avg 117
A12/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
100-72
100
72
+28
132avg 117
H14/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
103avg 117
H17/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
75-80
75
80
-5
101avg 117
A19/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
98-84
98
84
+14
122avg 117
A21/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
87-68
87
68
+19
125avg 117
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
27-23
22-24
28-26
18-18
15-18
24-19
24-14
25-26
23-24
21-10
24-21
26-6
13-20
29-17
16-23
26-17
25-14
16-18
28-29
24-17
21-19
25-20
30-16
18-17
16-17
25-27
16-12
15-20
12-18
25-19
23-23
21-24
26-15
32-25
19-20
20-14
19-16
21-17
27-21
164.4Avg total
88.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.179.2171.2+12.994%
Season at home (8)93.180.0173.1+13.188%
Season away (9)91.178.4169.6+12.7100%
Last 10 (10)88.476.0164.4+12.490%
Last 5 (5)87.075.4162.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)79.580.5160.0-1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.778.7168.3+11.075%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
94avg 102
A09/12
ACB
Partizan
#24
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A13/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#10
W
87-77
87
77
+10
115avg 102
H17/12
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
H20/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
97avg 102
A23/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
A27/12
Eurocup
Unicaja
#7
W
70-67
70
67
+3
94avg 102
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
104avg 102
A07/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
99-74
99
74
+25
123avg 102
H14/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
94avg 102
H21/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
15-22
17-24
18-27
22-18
16-12
15-19
30-18
15-24
21-15
20-21
31-17
23-20
16-22
18-22
12-27
19-24
24-24
25-23
23-28
16-23
15-28
25-19
12-16
21-17
9-18
15-19
25-13
24-16
14-24
24-23
23-27
27-13
17-22
30-12
25-27
21-10
20-24
8-22
25-28
162.6Avg total
79.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.483.9163.3-4.635%
Season at home (9)78.880.4159.2-1.744%
Season away (8)80.087.9167.9-7.925%
Last 10 (10)79.782.9162.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)79.280.2159.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.687.0165.6-8.519%
vs Similar (6)78.581.7160.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (3)89.783.0172.7+6.767%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/12
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A07/01
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A12/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A19/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/01
Euroleague
76.8Avg total
40.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.382.0+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.183.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)42.538.681.1+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.976.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.473.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.842.281.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.738.682.3+5.158%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
ACB
Partizan
#24
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/12
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/12
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#9
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A27/12
Eurocup
Unicaja
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/01
ACB
77.3Avg total
37.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.278.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.579.1-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.977.0-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.777.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.640.778.2-3.129%-
vs Similar (6)36.740.877.5-4.233%-
vs Weaker (3)42.335.778.0+6.7100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.2
41.3%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.1%
74.6%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.1
51.7%
51.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.3
35.6%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
74.6%15.8
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
Bilbao
LWLWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#17
+16.6
Net rating
-4.8
118.8
Offensive rating
107.9
102.2
Defensive rating
112.7
58.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
41.3%
3-point %
35.6%
60.7%
Assist %
50.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 107.9Defence102.2 · 112.7Shooting58.1% · 52.4%3-point %41.3% · 35.6%Ball care17.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
29/11/15Bilbao v Real Madrid92-99
26/04/15Real Madrid v Bilbao78-52
14/12/14Bilbao v Real Madrid89-79
23/03/14Bilbao v Real Madrid73-87
03/11/13Real Madrid v Bilbao92-75
04/10/13Real Madrid v Bilbao100-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/18HAnadolu Efes87-68
21/01/18AGipuzkoa98-84
19/01/18AUnicaja75-80
17/01/18HBaskonia75-73
14/01/18HFuenlabrada100-72
12/01/18AKhimki M.95-78
07/01/18AJoventut Badalona84-66
05/01/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81
03/01/18ABaskonia81-69
31/12/17HEstudiantes96-89
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18HObradoiro CAB74-84
14/01/18HJoventut Badalona99-74
07/01/18AGran Canaria85-90
30/12/17HUnicaja70-67
27/12/17AAlba Berlin68-86
23/12/17AMoraBanc Andorra91-99
20/12/17HLokomotiv Kuban69-91
17/12/17HEstudiantes87-77
13/12/17APartizan83-67
09/12/17ABaskonia71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %94%88%100%
Points / game92.193.191.1
Allowed / game79.280.078.4
Point differential+12.9+13.1+12.7
Avg total171.2173.1169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game79.478.880.0
Allowed / game83.980.487.9
Point differential-4.6-1.7-7.9
Avg total163.3159.2167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%92.179.2+12.9
2 Valencia1712571%83.976.2+7.7
3 Barcelona1711665%89.981.5+8.4
4 Unicaja1811761%81.274.8+6.4
5 Fuenlabrada1811761%77.180.2-3.1
6 Baskonia1710759%83.180.2+2.8
7 Tenerife1710759%76.974.8+2.2
8 Murcia179853%79.077.4+1.6
9 Gran Canaria179853%84.983.9+1.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra189950%83.781.7+2.0
11 Obradoiro CAB178947%74.978.3-3.4
12 Gipuzkoa1771041%78.879.0-0.2
13 Estudiantes1771041%81.983.8-1.9
14 Bilbao1761135%79.483.9-4.6
15 San Pablo Burgos1861233%79.887.6-7.8
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1751229%80.485.8-5.5
17 Joventut Badalona1741324%77.885.2-7.4
18 Real Betis1741324%75.286.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1929252295
Bilbao2113131865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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