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CSKA Sofia vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-94
20-22 20-23 21-26 17-23
Position#5
Record14-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#2
Record24-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.1
BulgariaNBLRound 8· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Chernomorets
13 Apr 2024
CSKA78
CHER94
28 Jan 2024
CSKA79
CHER84
12 Apr 2023
CSKA88
CHER86
05 Dec 2022
CSKA80
CHER63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 77
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 77
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 77
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 77
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 77
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 77
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 77
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 77
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 77
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 77
H10/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
25-24
24-25
18-17
13-26
20-26
23-13
18-22
17-27
166.9Avg total
78.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.881.3165.1+2.548%
Season at home (14)84.479.2163.6+5.150%
Season away (15)83.383.3166.5+0.047%
Last 10 (10)78.888.1166.9-9.320%
Last 5 (5)78.887.8166.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.184.3163.4-5.210%
vs Similar (10)83.079.3162.3+3.760%
vs Weaker (9)89.980.2170.1+9.778%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 79
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 79
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 79
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
90avg 79
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 79
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 79
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
95-71
95
71
+24
92avg 79
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 79
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 79
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
89-59
89
59
+30
94avg 79
H10/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-18
16-17
19-25
26-15
20-28
18-30
17-16
20-18
18-19
29-12
11-19
12-19
22-12
27-12
31-23
20-22
17-8
17-19
21-24
22-9
16-11
23-13
25-29
22-18
30-14
20-24
23-15
25-27
29-23
14-14
19-16
17-19
20-24
22-20
29-24
26-16
21-18
17-13
25-12
158.4Avg total
84.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.275.1160.3+10.183%
Season at home (15)87.374.0161.3+13.3100%
Season away (14)83.076.3159.3+6.764%
Last 10 (10)84.973.5158.4+11.480%
Last 5 (5)89.071.8160.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.576.8158.3+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.374.5160.7+11.887%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
CSKA SofiaChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/04
NBL
86.5Avg total
42.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.840.883.6+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.481.2-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.286.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.541.680.1-3.140%-
vs Similar (10)42.141.083.1+1.140%-
vs Weaker (9)44.341.685.9+2.867%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/04
NBL
78.4Avg total
42.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.778.8+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.435.478.8+8.075%-
Last 30 away (14)40.838.178.9+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.878.4+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.881.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.836.078.8+6.970%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.9
54.8%
54.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.711.1
66.5%
71.1%11.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.9
60.8%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.215.6
70.3%
71.1%15.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLWLLLLLWL
Chernomorets
WWWWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#2
-12.6
Net rating
+15.6
102.6
Offensive rating
109.7
115.3
Defensive rating
94.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.5%
3-point %
30.4%
60.5%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 109.7Defence115.3 · 94.1Shooting49.6% · 54.3%3-point %27.5% · 30.4%Ball care17.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Sofia wins
5
Chernomorets wins
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HRilski Sportist78-88
06/04/24HBalkan80-92
31/03/24ACherno More99-91
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HCherno More89-59
07/04/24HRilski Sportist88-87
01/04/24HSpartak Pleven87-80
25/03/24ABalkan95-71
17/03/24ASpartak Pleven86-62
16/03/24HRilski Sportist75-73
15/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-66
09/03/24HCSKA Sofia78-68
06/03/24ACherno More81-89
03/03/24ARilski Sportist78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%50%47%
Points / game83.884.483.3
Allowed / game81.379.283.3
Point differential+2.5+5.1+0.0
Avg total165.1163.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%100%64%
Points / game85.287.383.0
Allowed / game75.174.076.3
Point differential+10.1+13.3+6.7
Avg total160.3161.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2924583%85.275.1+10.1
2 Rilski Sportist2922776%84.775.7+9.0
3 Spartak Pleven2920969%86.979.4+7.5
4 Balkan29191066%82.278.0+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia29141548%83.881.3+2.5
6 Shumen29121741%84.583.3+1.2
7 Levski29121741%75.876.9-1.1
8 Yambol29121741%80.185.0-4.9
9 Cherno More29111838%81.488.6-7.1
10 Academic Plovdiv29101934%80.784.8-4.1
11 Minyor29101934%75.981.9-6.0
12 Beroe2982128%80.691.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2020211778
Chernomorets2223262394
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