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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 147-136 (OT)
27-42 39-29 32-35 31-23 18-7
Position#6
Record47-30
FormWWLWW
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#19
Record38-39
FormWLLLL
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets
31 Jan 2027
DAL v HOU
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
DAL116
HOU111
03 Jan 2026
DAL110
HOU104
06 Dec 2025
DAL122
HOU109
08 Feb 2025
DAL116
HOU105
31 Oct 2024
DAL102
HOU108
07 Apr 2024
DAL147
HOU136
28 Nov 2023
DAL121
HOU115
29 Dec 2022
DAL129
HOU114
16 Nov 2022
DAL92
HOU101
23 Mar 2022
DAL110
HOU91
26 Oct 2021
DAL116
HOU106
23 Jan 2021
DAL108
HOU133
31 Jul 2020
DAL149
HOU153
07 Apr 2020
DAL v HOU
upcoming
10 Mar 2019
DAL93
HOU94
08 Dec 2018
DAL107
HOU104
11 Mar 2018
DAL82
HOU105
24 Jan 2018
DAL97
HOU104
27 Dec 2016
DAL107
HOU123
28 Oct 2016
DAL98
HOU106
06 Apr 2016
DAL88
HOU86
04 Dec 2015
DAL96
HOU100
26 Apr 2015
DAL121
HOU109
24 Apr 2015
DAL128
HOU130
02 Apr 2015
DAL101
HOU108
20 Feb 2015
DAL111
HOU100
29 Jan 2014
DAL115
HOU117
20 Nov 2013
DAL123
HOU120
06 Mar 2013
DAL112
HOU108
16 Jan 2013
DAL105
HOU100
18 Apr 2012
DAL117
HOU110
27 Mar 2012
DAL90
HOU81
27 Jan 2011
DAL111
HOU106
29 Nov 2010
DAL101
HOU91
18 Dec 2009
DAL108
HOU116
10 Nov 2009
DAL121
HOU103
15 Apr 2009
DAL95
HOU84
30 Oct 2008
DAL102
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
107-105
107
105
+2
96avg 110
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
113-107
113
107
+6
108avg 110
A20/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
113-97
113
97
+16
110avg 110
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
115-105
115
105
+10
112avg 110
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
132-96
132
96
+36
134avg 110
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 110
A30/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
125-107
125
107
+18
118avg 110
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
100-104
100
104
-4
92avg 110
A03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
109-95
109
95
+14
98avg 110
H04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-106
108
106
+2
105avg 110
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-34
28-27
26-18
23-26
38-30
27-26
26-28
22-23
26-27
27-15
30-31
30-24
37-41
24-25
27-22
27-17
31-28
27-25
38-23
36-20
26-34
25-26
22-22
34-21
36-24
30-21
25-28
34-34
27-28
22-21
25-31
26-24
25-31
40-26
28-24
16-14
31-32
21-22
27-22
29-30
215.4Avg total
112.9Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)118.2115.7233.9+2.561%
Season at home (39)118.7114.7233.4+4.062%
Season away (38)117.7116.7234.4+0.961%
Last 10 (10)112.9102.5215.4+10.490%
Last 5 (5)109.8103.0212.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)125.0125.0250.0+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.6111.3225.9+3.261%
vs Weaker (9)119.4106.3225.8+13.1100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
137-114
137
114
+23
131avg 105
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 105
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
147-119
147
119
+28
144avg 105
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
110-92
110
92
+18
95avg 105
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
132-126 OT
132
126
+6
119avg 105
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
101-100
101
100
+1
83avg 105
A30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 105
H31/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
106-113
106
113
-7
91avg 105
A03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
110-133
110
133
-23
93avg 105
H05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
104-119
104
119
-15
93avg 105
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-36
21-21
41-25
36-32
42-28
26-33
37-33
22-23
47-21
38-34
37-36
25-28
28-25
19-26
33-20
30-21
28-17
21-33
31-35
32-27
13-23
28-24
28-25
32-28
24-36
21-30
28-25
34-34
23-16
22-38
27-27
34-32
24-33
26-32
33-34
27-34
27-27
32-37
24-29
21-26
233.9Avg total
118.1Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)113.9112.9226.8+1.049%
Season at home (40)116.0110.8226.7+5.265%
Season away (37)111.6115.2226.8-3.632%
Last 10 (10)118.1115.8233.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)105.6118.0223.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)106.6117.0223.6-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.0116.9229.9-3.943%
vs Weaker (11)120.2107.9228.1+12.382%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Dallas MavericksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A20/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A26/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A30/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
66-45
66
45
+21
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H06/04
NBA
112.1Avg total
57.8Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.856.8115.6+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.056.8114.8+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)59.456.8116.2+2.641%-
Last 10 (10)57.854.3112.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.0109.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.364.3128.7+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.755.6112.3+1.133%-
vs Weaker (9)61.256.6117.8+4.767%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
45-66
45
66
-21
H31/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H06/04
NBA
111.9Avg total
54.9Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.6111.1-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.454.9115.2+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)51.356.2107.6-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)54.957.0111.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)48.059.2107.2-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.053.8103.8-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.057.4114.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)56.254.1110.3+2.136%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.7
54.0%
54.4%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.214.7
38.5%
36.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
78.2%13.4
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.227.0
53.8%
54.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.715.0
35.1%
36.3%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.419.1
81.6%
78.2%19.1
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWWWWWWW
Houston Rockets
LLLLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#19
+10.4
Net rating
+2.3
112.6
Offensive rating
116.9
102.2
Defensive rating
114.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
11.7%
Turnover %
10.8%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
35.1%
65.1%
Assist %
56.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 116.9Defence102.2 · 114.7Shooting55.6% · 53.3%3-point %38.5% · 35.1%Ball care11.7% · 10.8%Off. rebounds21.0% · 27.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HGolden State Warriors108-106
04/04/24HAtlanta Hawks109-95
03/04/24AGolden State Warriors100-104
31/03/24AHouston Rockets125-107
30/03/24ASacramento Kings107-103
27/03/24ASacramento Kings132-96
26/03/24AUtah Jazz115-105
22/03/24HUtah Jazz113-97
20/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs113-107
17/03/24HDenver Nuggets107-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HMiami Heat104-119
05/04/24HGolden State Warriors110-133
03/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves106-113
31/03/24HDallas Mavericks107-125
30/03/24AUtah Jazz101-100
28/03/24AOklahoma City Thunder132-126 OT
26/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers110-92
24/03/24HUtah Jazz147-119
22/03/24HChicago Bulls127-117
19/03/24AWashington Wizards137-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %61%62%61%
Points / game118.2118.7117.7
Allowed / game115.7114.7116.7
Point differential+2.5+4.0+0.9
Avg total233.9233.4234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%28%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)70% (10)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL49%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWWWWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games774037
Win %49%65%32%
Points / game113.9116.0111.6
Allowed / game112.9110.8115.2
Point differential+1.0+5.2-3.6
Avg total226.8226.7226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)86% (7)31% (13)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics76611580%120.9109.0+11.9
2 Denver Nuggets78542469%114.7109.7+5.0
3 Minnesota Timberwolves77532469%112.8105.8+6.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder77522568%119.8113.4+6.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers77492864%116.0112.4+3.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks75462961%119.5116.5+3.0
7 Dallas Mavericks77473061%118.2115.7+2.5
8 Phoenix Suns76463061%116.8113.6+3.1
9 New York Knicks76453159%112.2107.4+4.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers78463259%112.4110.0+2.4
11 New Orleans Pelicans75443159%115.2110.2+5.0
12 Orlando Magic77453258%110.6108.4+2.2
13 Sacramento Kings76443258%116.8115.4+1.4
14 Los Angeles Lakers76433357%117.8117.8+0.1
15 Miami Heat77433456%109.9108.4+1.6
16 Indiana Pacers76423455%122.7120.4+2.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers78433555%114.3111.8+2.5
18 Golden State Warriors77423555%117.8115.5+2.4
19 Houston Rockets77383949%113.9112.9+1.0
20 Chicago Bulls77374048%111.9113.4-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks78364246%118.7120.3-1.6
22 Brooklyn Nets78314740%111.2113.6-2.4
23 Utah Jazz77294838%116.0120.8-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies78275135%105.9112.7-6.8
25 Toronto Raptors77245331%112.4118.6-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers77215627%106.9115.5-8.5
27 San Antonio Spurs77195825%112.1119.0-6.9
28 Charlotte Hornets77195825%106.3116.5-10.2
29 Washington Wizards78156319%113.3122.7-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons78136517%110.3119.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dallas Mavericks2739323118147
Houston Rockets422935237136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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