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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-106
16-23 38-22 27-27 32-34
Position#4
Record51-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game106.2
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Houston Rockets
USA
Position#19
Record38-36
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
109-120
109
120
-11
95avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
118-100
118
100
+18
112avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-100
119
100
+19
114avg 108
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 108
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
100avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-110
114
110
+4
112avg 108
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
106-91
106
91
+15
103avg 108
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
95avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
40-37
24-22
17-29
21-34
34-29
29-15
34-22
19-19
29-29
34-24
37-28
25-37
28-22
30-24
31-21
28-35
27-35
29-17
28-28
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
18-27
28-27
32-27
36-29
30-25
17-20
31-21
28-25
33-26
29-17
25-21
24-34
22-33
32-31
25-20
22-25
214.6Avg total
110.8Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.9106.2219.1+6.669%
Season at home (36)111.1103.1214.2+8.172%
Season away (38)114.5109.3223.8+5.366%
Last 10 (10)110.8103.8214.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)107.299.8207.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)112.2103.0215.2+9.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)111.8104.7216.4+7.167%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
103-101
103
101
+2
94avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
135-119
135
119
+16
134avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
117-103
117
103
+14
109avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
137-114
137
114
+23
131avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 106
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
147-119
147
119
+28
144avg 106
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
110-92
110
92
+18
95avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
132-126 OT
132
126
+6
119avg 106
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
101-100
101
100
+1
83avg 106
A30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
107-125
107
125
-18
94avg 106
H31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
20-17
32-25
27-29
33-31
42-25
35-39
25-24
34-29
36-25
28-19
19-30
39-36
21-21
41-25
36-32
42-28
26-33
37-33
22-23
47-21
38-34
37-36
25-28
28-25
19-26
33-20
30-21
28-17
21-33
31-35
32-27
13-23
28-24
28-25
32-28
24-36
21-30
28-25
34-34
233.2Avg total
121.6Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)114.2112.6226.7+1.651%
Season at home (38)116.4110.0226.4+6.468%
Season away (36)111.8115.3227.1-3.533%
Last 10 (10)121.6111.6233.2+10.090%
Last 5 (5)119.4112.4231.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)106.8118.0224.8-11.225%
vs Similar (14)114.4115.2229.6-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)118.8107.8226.6+11.175%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H31/03
NBA
109.8Avg total
53.4Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.052.1107.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.651.8103.4-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)58.352.5110.8+5.960%-
Last 10 (10)53.456.4109.8-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)51.051.0102.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)54.452.8107.2+1.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)55.351.7107.0+3.750%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H15/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H22/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
85-55
85
55
+30
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
45-66
45
66
-21
H31/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
58.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.155.5111.7+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.054.3116.3+7.771%-
Last 30 away (16)51.056.6107.6-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)58.454.4112.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.8107.2-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)51.253.8105.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (14)58.656.9115.5+1.857%-
vs Weaker (12)54.854.6109.4+0.233%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.527.7
54.9%
54.4%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.414.1
38.7%
36.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.1
70.8%
78.2%13.1
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.7
56.1%
54.4%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.7
37.0%
36.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws22.218.1
81.5%
78.2%18.1
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWLWWWL
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#19
+7.3
Net rating
+9.9
115.9
Offensive rating
120.0
108.6
Defensive rating
110.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
10.7%
Turnover %
11.0%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.7%
3-point %
37.0%
66.3%
Assist %
54.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 120.0Defence108.6 · 110.1Shooting56.2% · 55.9%3-point %38.7% · 37.0%Ball care10.7% · 11.0%Off. rebounds22.5% · 26.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
1
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
05/02/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets111-90
06/01/24Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves95-122
24/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves119-114
22/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets113-104
09/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves96-104
06/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets129-117
03/04/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves132-139
10/01/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves123-141
21/10/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets124-106
28/04/21Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves107-114
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HChicago Bulls101-109
30/03/24ADenver Nuggets111-98
28/03/24HDetroit Pistons106-91
24/03/24HGolden State Warriors114-110
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91
20/03/24HDenver Nuggets112-115
19/03/24AUtah Jazz114-104
17/03/24AUtah Jazz119-100
13/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers118-100
11/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers109-120
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HDallas Mavericks107-125
30/03/24AUtah Jazz101-100
28/03/24AOklahoma City Thunder132-126 OT
26/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers110-92
24/03/24HUtah Jazz147-119
22/03/24HChicago Bulls127-117
19/03/24AWashington Wizards137-114
16/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers117-103
15/03/24HWashington Wizards135-119
13/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs103-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWL72%
AwayLWWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %69%72%66%
Points / game112.9111.1114.5
Allowed / game106.2103.1109.3
Point differential+6.6+8.1+5.3
Avg total219.1214.2223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)46% (13)71% (7)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL51%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayWWWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %51%68%33%
Points / game114.2116.4111.8
Allowed / game112.6110.0115.3
Point differential+1.6+6.4-3.5
Avg total226.7226.4227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)86% (7)31% (13)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics74591580%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder75522369%120.2113.0+7.2
3 Denver Nuggets75522369%114.6109.8+4.8
4 Minnesota Timberwolves74512369%112.9106.2+6.6
5 Los Angeles Clippers74472764%116.3112.7+3.6
6 Milwaukee Bucks73462763%119.9116.6+3.3
7 Dallas Mavericks74452961%118.7116.3+2.4
8 New Orleans Pelicans73442960%115.4110.1+5.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%112.6109.7+2.8
10 New York Knicks74443059%112.3107.4+4.9
11 Phoenix Suns74443059%117.0114.2+2.8
12 Sacramento Kings73433059%117.3115.9+1.4
13 Orlando Magic75443159%110.4108.2+2.2
14 Miami Heat75423356%109.9108.4+1.5
15 Indiana Pacers74413355%122.8120.5+2.3
16 Los Angeles Lakers74413355%117.8118.0-0.2
17 Golden State Warriors74403454%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers76413554%114.3112.1+2.2
19 Houston Rockets74383651%114.2112.6+1.6
20 Chicago Bulls76364047%111.9113.6-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks75354047%119.1120.3-1.2
22 Utah Jazz75294639%116.2120.6-4.4
23 Brooklyn Nets76294738%111.1113.8-2.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies75255033%105.9113.1-7.2
25 Toronto Raptors75235231%112.7118.5-5.8
26 Portland Trail Blazers75195625%107.2116.0-8.9
27 San Antonio Spurs75185724%112.2119.2-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets75185724%106.3116.9-10.6
29 Washington Wizards76156120%113.3122.8-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons75136217%110.6119.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves16382732113
Houston Rockets23222734106
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