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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 110-99
24-30 37-22 28-23 21-24
Position#4
Record20-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#17
Record20-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game111.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
01 Jan 2027
HOU v DAL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
HOU128
DAL110
31 Jan 2026
HOU111
DAL107
03 Nov 2025
HOU110
DAL102
14 Mar 2025
HOU133
DAL96
01 Jan 2025
HOU110
DAL99
31 Mar 2024
HOU107
DAL125
22 Dec 2023
HOU122
DAL96
02 Jan 2023
HOU106
DAL111
23 Dec 2022
HOU106
DAL112
11 Mar 2022
HOU100
DAL113
07 Jan 2022
HOU106
DAL130
07 Apr 2021
HOU102
DAL93
04 Jan 2021
HOU100
DAL113
31 Jan 2020
HOU128
DAL121
24 Nov 2019
HOU123
DAL137
11 Feb 2019
HOU120
DAL104
28 Nov 2018
HOU108
DAL128
11 Feb 2018
HOU104
DAL97
21 Oct 2017
HOU107
DAL91
10 Dec 2016
HOU109
DAL87
30 Oct 2016
HOU93
DAL92
24 Jan 2016
HOU115
DAL104
14 Nov 2015
HOU98
DAL110
28 Apr 2015
HOU103
DAL94
21 Apr 2015
HOU111
DAL99
18 Apr 2015
HOU118
DAL108
28 Jan 2015
HOU99
DAL94
22 Nov 2014
HOU95
DAL92
23 Dec 2013
HOU104
DAL111
01 Nov 2013
HOU113
DAL105
03 Mar 2013
HOU136
DAL103
08 Dec 2012
HOU109
DAL116
24 Mar 2012
HOU99
DAL101
11 Apr 2011
HOU91
DAL98
12 Feb 2011
HOU102
DAL106
31 Dec 2009
HOU97
DAL94
25 Nov 2009
HOU99
DAL130
20 Feb 2009
HOU93
DAL86
19 Nov 2008
HOU86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 105
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-106
117
106
+11
115avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
108avg 105
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
101avg 105
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
133-113
133
113
+20
136avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 105
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-101
114
101
+13
107avg 105
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
128-111
128
111
+17
117avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
112-113
112
113
-1
100avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
100-104
100
104
-4
89avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-31
23-24
27-26
30-28
34-24
31-31
22-23
20-18
24-19
24-32
23-21
20-18
22-23
27-34
27-36
39-25
27-27
33-27
34-34
24-35
27-22
33-26
30-27
31-15
31-16
30-35
22-35
39-22
22-21
41-31
26-37
21-22
31-35
32-19
28-37
27-31
23-22
32-28
18-23
215.6Avg total
109.8Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)114.3107.0221.3+7.367%
Season at home (15)116.1106.1222.2+9.967%
Season away (15)112.5107.9220.3+4.667%
Last 10 (10)109.8105.8215.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)113.6107.8221.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3117.7225.0-10.333%
vs Similar (11)112.4106.6219.0+5.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)115.5105.1220.7+10.473%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-118
125
118
+7
122avg 107
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
122avg 107
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
143-133
143
133
+10
149avg 107
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
95-118
95
118
-23
80avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-108
132
108
+24
124avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
99-105
99
105
-6
85avg 107
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
122-126
122
126
-4
109avg 107
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
100-110
100
110
-10
88avg 107
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-28
35-26
30-33
25-31
24-32
30-25
19-33
31-28
46-33
35-41
33-33
29-26
30-24
19-26
28-39
18-29
23-22
31-18
20-26
39-31
28-31
34-22
40-23
30-32
24-26
16-31
28-33
31-15
28-25
27-14
17-25
26-25
25-36
34-33
23-28
40-29
37-23
23-33
17-27
23-27
225.3Avg total
113.1Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)117.5111.3228.8+6.262%
Season at home (15)115.3106.2221.5+9.167%
Season away (17)119.5115.8235.2+3.759%
Last 10 (10)113.1112.2225.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)110.2107.6217.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)112.5111.4223.9+1.162%
vs Similar (17)120.1114.4234.4+5.759%
vs Weaker (4)122.0100.2222.2+21.875%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
Houston RocketsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-31
62
31
+31
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/12
NBA
100.7Avg total
53.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.351.0106.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.351.8109.1+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)53.650.3103.9+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)53.547.2100.7+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)55.248.2103.4+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.758.7110.3-7.067%-
vs Similar (11)54.353.5107.8+0.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.548.5106.1+9.073%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A28/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A31/12
NBA
113.3Avg total
58.4Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.454.8114.2+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.251.2106.3+4.062%-
Last 30 away (17)62.757.6120.3+5.176%-
Last 10 (10)58.454.9113.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)55.254.8110.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)54.252.0106.2+2.262%-
vs Similar (17)61.456.5117.9+4.971%-
vs Weaker (4)62.852.8115.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.728.9
53.8%
54.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.0
31.8%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
77.8%15.8
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.026.9
52.7%
54.3%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.1
38.2%
35.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
77.8%19.8
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLWWWWLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLWWLWLW
#4
League position
#17
+4.0
Net rating
-0.3
109.6
Offensive rating
110.6
105.6
Defensive rating
110.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
38.2%
53.8%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 110.6Defence105.6 · 110.9Shooting51.3% · 54.7%3-point %31.8% · 38.2%Ball care14.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 21.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HMiami Heat100-104
28/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-113
27/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans128-111
24/12/24ACharlotte Hornets114-101
22/12/24AToronto Raptors114-110
20/12/24HNew Orleans Pelicans133-113
15/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder96-111
12/12/24HGolden State Warriors91-90
09/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-106
06/12/24AGolden State Warriors93-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24ASacramento Kings100-110
29/12/24APortland Trail Blazers122-126
28/12/24APhoenix Suns98-89
25/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves99-105
24/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers132-108
22/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-97
20/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers95-118
16/12/24AGolden State Warriors143-133
11/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder104-118
08/12/24AToronto Raptors125-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game114.3116.1112.5
Allowed / game107.0106.1107.9
Point differential+7.3+9.9+4.6
Avg total221.3222.2220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %62%67%59%
Points / game117.5115.3119.5
Allowed / game111.3106.2115.8
Point differential+6.2+9.1+3.7
Avg total228.8221.5235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3329488%122.4110.5+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3025583%115.4103.6+11.8
3 Boston Celtics3324973%119.6108.9+10.7
4 New York Knicks3324973%118.4109.7+8.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies34231168%123.2114.1+9.1
6 Houston Rockets30201067%114.3107.0+7.3
7 Dallas Mavericks32201262%117.5111.3+6.2
8 Orlando Magic34201459%105.5103.3+2.3
9 Denver Nuggets31181358%120.5117.5+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%108.8107.8+1.1
11 Los Angeles Lakers32181456%111.9114.3-2.4
12 Miami Heat31171455%111.3108.7+2.6
13 Atlanta Hawks31171455%118.7119.7-1.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves32171553%109.2107.4+1.8
15 Milwaukee Bucks29151452%112.7111.8+1.0
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%112.2111.2+1.0
17 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
18 Indiana Pacers34161847%114.6116.9-2.2
19 Phoenix Suns32151747%112.2114.0-1.8
20 Detroit Pistons33151845%112.0114.6-2.6
21 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers30131743%107.2110.3-3.1
23 Sacramento Kings33141942%114.8113.7+1.1
24 Brooklyn Nets33122136%108.0113.3-5.3
25 Portland Trail Blazers32112134%108.1117.3-9.3
26 Toronto Raptors3482624%111.6119.1-7.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3272522%106.2112.8-6.7
28 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
29 Washington Wizards3162519%108.9121.9-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3452915%106.7118.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets24372821110
Dallas Mavericks3022232499
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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