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Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 109-84
21-22 33-16 29-20 26-26
Position#17
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
17 Oct 2024
DAL109
MIL84
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
108-105
108
105
+3
103avg 106
A23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
109-108
109
108
+1
103avg 106
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
111avg 106
H27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
100-105
100
105
-5
91avg 106
H29/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
124-103
124
103
+21
117avg 106
A31/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
69avg 106
A07/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 106
A10/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
99-106
99
106
-7
85avg 106
H13/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
122-84
122
84
+38
115avg 106
H15/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
88-106
88
106
-18
75avg 106
A18/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
32-29
23-21
26-22
26-32
22-28
31-26
30-22
33-28
27-24
27-35
29-20
20-27
29-22
24-29
27-27
35-19
34-21
28-33
27-30
20-37
22-26
24-23
23-21
28-25
23-29
23-29
24-22
31-30
20-20
19-35
29-21
34-21
27-14
31-25
30-24
18-28
28-39
21-19
21-20
208.9Avg total
105.3Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.3103.6208.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)99.2101.6200.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)101.5106.6208.1-5.142%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.0104.5215.5+6.573%
vs Weaker (3)109.3102.0211.3+7.367%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
104-91
104
91
+13
109avg 110
H09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
117-99
117
99
+18
114avg 110
H11/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
107-125
107
125
-18
104avg 110
A13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
88-113
88
113
-25
75avg 110
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
109-94
109
94
+15
103avg 110
H21/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
108-125
108
125
-17
99avg 110
H24/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
118-121 OT
118
121
-3
108avg 110
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-126
113
126
-13
106avg 110
A28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
115-92
115
92
+23
110avg 110
H01/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
98-120
98
120
-22
83avg 110
A02/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-21
26-22
15-24
26-24
27-23
37-27
32-27
21-22
34-41
18-28
31-26
24-30
30-22
12-25
29-33
17-33
30-21
39-21
14-29
26-23
26-30
29-30
28-32
25-33
22-39
33-28
28-23
28-21
33-33
31-34
21-31
28-28
23-31
30-17
34-19
28-25
24-33
23-26
31-34
20-27
218.3Avg total
107.7Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.7110.6218.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)110.4116.8227.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.0107.8219.8+4.250%
vs Similar ◀ (19)111.0114.6225.6-3.642%
vs Weaker (7)113.7107.1220.9+6.657%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
69-40
69
40
+29
A31/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A07/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A10/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H15/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A18/06
NBA
106.8Avg total
53.6Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.0107.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.152.8106.9+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)53.155.1108.2-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)53.653.2106.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.253.8104.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.756.5108.2-4.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.852.4106.2+1.440%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.3112.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H11/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A14/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H21/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H24/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H01/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A02/05
NBA
111.6Avg total
56.4Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.3112.4+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.349.3107.6+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)55.961.3117.1-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)56.455.2111.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)54.860.2115.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.857.0111.8-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.457.6115.0-0.337%-
vs Weaker (7)57.747.9105.6+9.957%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.5
55.6%
54.3%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.9
35.2%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
77.8%15.6
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.128.6
54.9%
54.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.7
36.3%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.515.4
83.2%
77.8%15.4
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLLWLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWW
#17
League position
#13
+1.8
Net rating
-3.0
112.4
Offensive rating
112.1
110.6
Defensive rating
115.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
36.3%
48.2%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 112.1Defence110.6 · 115.1Shooting54.5% · 54.7%3-point %35.2% · 36.3%Ball care12.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds23.6% · 22.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/24ABoston Celtics88-106
15/06/24HBoston Celtics122-84
13/06/24HBoston Celtics99-106
10/06/24ABoston Celtics98-105
07/06/24ABoston Celtics89-107
31/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves124-103
29/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves100-105
27/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
25/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves109-108
23/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves108-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24AIndiana Pacers98-120
01/05/24HIndiana Pacers115-92
28/04/24AIndiana Pacers113-126
26/04/24AIndiana Pacers118-121 OT
24/04/24HIndiana Pacers108-125
21/04/24HIndiana Pacers109-94
14/04/24AOrlando Magic88-113
13/04/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-125
11/04/24HOrlando Magic117-99
09/04/24HBoston Celtics104-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks21332926109
Milwaukee Bucks2216202684
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