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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-109
32-26 28-22 26-31 22-30
Position#4
Record64-30
FormLLWWL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game105.7
vs
Position#6
Record59-36
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game114.0
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Target Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-109
126
109
+17
124avg 108
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
122-116
122
116
+6
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-99
106
99
+7
102avg 108
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
103avg 108
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
90-117
90
117
-27
82avg 108
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 108
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
93avg 108
A15/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
115-70
115
70
+45
118avg 108
H17/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 108
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-108
105
108
-3
91avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
25-21
36-20
31-36
25-26
31-35
34-31
32-24
23-25
17-19
33-27
33-28
28-20
33-15
21-25
24-20
20-28
21-28
25-37
24-24
24-29
25-35
30-26
28-25
26-28
18-22
30-38
23-24
31-14
28-26
27-21
29-9
19-24
19-29
28-14
32-23
33-27
29-32
21-23
22-26
208.8Avg total
107.2Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (94)112.4105.7218.1+6.668%
Season at home (47)111.3103.2214.6+8.170%
Season away (47)113.4108.3221.6+5.166%
Last 10 (10)107.2101.6208.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)104.499.0203.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)108.0103.4211.4+4.658%
vs Weaker (11)115.0104.5219.5+10.582%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-116
111
116
-5
105avg 108
H28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
123-93
123
93
+30
118avg 108
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
114-101
114
101
+13
108avg 108
H04/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
95-117
95
117
-22
79avg 108
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
119-110
119
110
+9
113avg 108
A10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
105-101
105
101
+4
92avg 108
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
96-100
96
100
-4
86avg 108
H14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
104-92
104
92
+12
108avg 108
A16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
115avg 108
H19/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
108-105
108
105
+3
103avg 108
A23/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-39
33-27
29-16
33-34
25-24
31-22
33-23
34-24
34-26
18-26
35-20
27-29
23-23
30-39
26-27
16-28
36-32
32-30
31-27
20-21
26-23
25-29
31-26
23-23
30-20
24-23
15-22
27-35
24-22
30-22
25-23
25-25
23-30
25-34
35-26
34-26
27-33
32-29
23-21
26-22
214.3Avg total
109.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (95)116.3114.0230.3+2.462%
Season at home (47)117.2113.6230.9+3.662%
Season away (48)115.4114.3229.7+1.162%
Last 10 (10)109.2105.1214.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)106.0102.8208.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)105.1112.1217.2-7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.2103.4215.7+8.881%
vs Weaker (6)111.5102.5214.0+9.083%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A27/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H17/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H23/05
NBA
102.4Avg total
50.9Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.0107.6-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.254.6107.8-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)54.053.4107.4+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)50.951.5102.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)50.453.2103.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)51.853.6105.4-1.837%-
vs Weaker (11)56.654.7111.4+1.945%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H28/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H04/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H19/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/05
NBA
109.7Avg total
54.4Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.154.7109.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.553.7107.2-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)56.355.5111.8+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)54.455.3109.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.0106.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)54.059.2113.2-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.952.9106.8+1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)59.853.5113.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.2
53.8%
54.4%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.4
36.5%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.117.6
76.2%
78.2%17.6
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.6
54.4%
54.4%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.6
36.8%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.916.2
70.7%
78.2%16.2
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLLLWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLWWLWWL
#4
League position
#6
+6.0
Net rating
+4.3
115.7
Offensive rating
114.6
109.6
Defensive rating
110.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
36.8%
62.7%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 114.6Defence109.6 · 110.3Shooting54.2% · 54.8%3-point %36.5% · 36.8%Ball care11.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24HDallas Mavericks105-108
20/05/24ADenver Nuggets98-90
17/05/24HDenver Nuggets115-70
15/05/24ADenver Nuggets97-112
13/05/24HDenver Nuggets107-115
11/05/24HDenver Nuggets90-117
07/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-80
04/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-99
29/04/24APhoenix Suns122-116
27/04/24APhoenix Suns126-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves108-105
19/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder117-116
16/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder104-92
14/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder96-100
11/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder105-101
10/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder119-110
08/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder95-117
04/05/24HLos Angeles Clippers114-101
02/05/24ALos Angeles Clippers123-93
28/04/24HLos Angeles Clippers111-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWLLWL70%
AwayWWWLW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games944747
Win %68%70%66%
Points / game112.4111.3113.4
Allowed / game105.7103.2108.3
Point differential+6.6+8.1+5.1
Avg total218.1214.6221.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)47% (15)71% (7)
Overtime %5%4%6%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954748
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game116.3117.2115.4
Allowed / game114.0113.6114.3
Point differential+2.4+3.6+1.1
Avg total230.3230.9229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%30%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)64% (14)71% (7)
Overtime %1%2%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics93741980%119.5108.0+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder92632968%118.5111.2+7.3
3 Minnesota Timberwolves94643068%112.4105.7+6.6
4 Denver Nuggets94643068%113.2108.9+4.3
5 Dallas Mavericks95593662%116.3114.0+2.4
6 New York Knicks94573761%112.3108.3+4.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers88533560%114.6112.0+2.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks86503658%118.0115.9+2.1
9 Phoenix Suns85493658%115.8113.5+2.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans86493757%113.8109.9+3.9
11 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
12 Cleveland Cavaliers94534156%110.8109.4+1.4
13 Philadelphia 76ers89503956%114.1111.2+2.8
14 Orlando Magic89503956%109.7107.4+2.2
15 Indiana Pacers95534256%121.9119.2+2.7
16 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers86473955%117.2117.3-0.1
18 Miami Heat89484154%109.1108.1+1.0
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves32282622108
Dallas Mavericks26223130109
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