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Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 117-132
36-31 27-40 16-30 38-31
Position#17
Record32-27
FormWWLLW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#13
Record31-25
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
116-118
116
118
-2
109avg 105
A05/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
127-120
127
120
+7
123avg 105
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-105
116
105
+11
107avg 105
H08/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
128-129 OT
128
129
-1
116avg 105
H11/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
111-107
111
107
+4
99avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
118-113
118
113
+5
112avg 105
H14/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-103
111
103
+8
106avg 105
H22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
102-126
102
126
-24
95avg 105
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
99-107
99
107
-8
83avg 105
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
34-22
22-36
29-24
32-23
35-33
37-27
23-37
33-20
32-28
24-33
27-24
35-27
26-34
32-26
23-29
32-31
25-25
26-22
28-29
21-22
34-34
29-27
34-30
32-22
24-31
30-29
25-21
18-33
26-28
31-39
27-26
20-28
31-31
26-19
22-29
25-24
25-25
23-18
30-29
225.5Avg total
113.1Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)115.1113.1228.2+2.154%
Season at home (30)114.4108.7223.1+5.763%
Season away (29)115.9117.6233.4-1.745%
Last 10 (10)113.1112.4225.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)106.6109.0215.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)111.7118.2229.9-6.540%
vs Similar ◀ (13)108.8112.5221.3-3.638%
vs Weaker (7)116.9112.9229.7+4.057%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
112-102
112
102
+10
112avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
110-115
110
115
-5
100avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
135-127
135
127
+8
126avg 106
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
111-125
111
125
-14
100avg 106
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
103-101
103
101
+2
97avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-110
116
110
+6
110avg 106
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
120-113
120
113
+7
113avg 106
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
97-100
97
100
-3
80avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
114avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-26
28-30
20-21
26-25
26-36
47-19
17-37
20-23
40-39
25-24
38-28
32-36
27-29
24-29
32-31
28-36
36-24
15-26
19-19
33-32
28-29
29-21
23-39
36-21
19-32
31-24
34-19
20-26
23-37
32-28
30-28
35-20
25-30
34-27
26-28
12-15
30-30
24-27
30-24
37-31
223.5Avg total
112.9Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)114.1112.6226.8+1.555%
Season at home (28)117.8111.4229.2+6.468%
Season away (28)110.5113.9224.4-3.443%
Last 10 (10)112.9110.6223.5+2.370%
Last 5 (5)111.6107.2218.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0125.0221.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.8113.3228.1+1.556%
vs Weaker (13)117.3112.9230.2+4.462%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A05/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H08/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H11/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H13/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H14/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H22/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/02
NBA
112.8Avg total
57.1Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.558.0114.5-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.655.3111.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)56.360.7117.1-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)57.155.7112.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.6106.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)56.360.0116.3-3.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.958.2113.1-3.238%-
vs Weaker (7)59.654.9114.4+4.757%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A06/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A22/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A26/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/02
NBA
114.8Avg total
58.1Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.057.5117.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.554.9115.4+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)59.560.1119.7-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)58.156.7114.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.0112.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.078.0122.0-34.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.456.8116.1+2.656%-
vs Weaker (13)62.156.8118.9+5.269%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.7
51.6%
54.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.8
39.0%
35.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
77.8%16.3
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.425.3
53.4%
54.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.9
37.7%
35.9%44.7
🏀 Free throws21.917.6
80.4%
77.8%17.6
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWWLWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#13
+0.7
Net rating
+2.3
112.4
Offensive rating
111.1
111.7
Defensive rating
108.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.0%
3-point %
37.7%
61.4%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 111.1Defence111.7 · 108.8Shooting54.3% · 54.8%3-point %39.0% · 37.7%Ball care11.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds22.6% · 17.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HCharlotte Hornets103-96
26/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers99-107
23/02/25AGolden State Warriors102-126
22/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans111-103
14/02/25HMiami Heat118-113
13/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-107
11/02/25HSacramento Kings128-129 OT
08/02/25HHouston Rockets116-105
07/02/25ABoston Celtics127-120
05/02/25APhiladelphia 76ers116-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HDenver Nuggets121-112
26/02/25AHouston Rockets97-100
23/02/25HMiami Heat120-113
22/02/25AWashington Wizards104-101
21/02/25HLos Angeles Clippers116-110
13/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves103-101
11/02/25HGolden State Warriors111-125
09/02/25HPhiladelphia 76ers135-127
08/02/25AAtlanta Hawks110-115
06/02/25ACharlotte Hornets112-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLWWWW63%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %54%63%45%
Points / game115.1114.4115.9
Allowed / game113.1108.7117.6
Point differential+2.1+5.7-1.7
Avg total228.2223.1233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%37%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)50% (6)27% (11)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWLWWW68%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %55%68%43%
Points / game114.1117.8110.5
Allowed / game112.6111.4113.9
Point differential+1.5+6.4-3.4
Avg total226.8229.2224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)25% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers59491083%122.9111.3+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder57461181%119.1106.4+12.6
3 Boston Celtics60421870%116.9108.3+8.6
4 New York Knicks58391967%118.0113.0+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets60392165%121.4116.1+5.3
6 Los Angeles Lakers58372164%112.8111.3+1.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies60382263%123.2116.7+6.4
8 Houston Rockets58362262%113.3109.1+4.2
9 Indiana Pacers58332557%116.4115.4+1.0
10 Detroit Pistons61342756%114.4113.0+1.3
11 Milwaukee Bucks56312555%114.1112.6+1.5
12 Golden State Warriors58322655%113.3111.5+1.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers59322754%110.7108.6+2.2
14 Dallas Mavericks59322754%115.1113.1+2.1
15 Sacramento Kings59312853%116.8115.3+1.5
16 Minnesota Timberwolves61322952%112.0109.2+2.8
17 Orlando Magic60293148%104.0105.6-1.6
18 Miami Heat58283048%110.3110.8-0.5
19 Phoenix Suns60283247%114.0115.9-1.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers60273345%110.2114.1-3.9
21 Atlanta Hawks58263245%117.0119.9-2.9
22 San Antonio Spurs58253343%112.7114.7-2.0
23 Chicago Bulls60243640%116.5120.3-3.8
24 Brooklyn Nets60213935%104.8111.3-6.5
25 Philadelphia 76ers58203834%108.9113.4-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors60184230%110.4116.4-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans60164427%110.7118.7-8.0
28 Utah Jazz59154425%112.3119.3-7.0
29 Charlotte Hornets59144524%105.2112.8-7.6
30 Washington Wizards59114819%108.4120.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks36271638117
Milwaukee Bucks31403031132
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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