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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 112-118
33-25 22-32 32-33 25-28
Position#5
Record48-29
FormWLWWL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Position#7
Record48-30
FormLWWWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game104.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-122
109
122
-13
95avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
117-111
117
111
+6
107avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
135-126
135
126
+9
126avg 107
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
119-138
119
138
-19
112avg 107
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
126-98
126
98
+28
131avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
110avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
102-127
102
127
-25
86avg 107
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
118-116
118
116
+2
113avg 107
A29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
120-119 OT
120
119
+1
112avg 107
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
119-153
119
153
-34
110avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
30-39
26-36
25-19
37-39
31-20
21-34
28-18
28-31
40-30
33-31
34-34
28-34
28-34
26-38
37-32
33-20
26-23
32-26
35-29
32-13
28-29
32-24
22-36
28-32
18-27
33-39
23-29
27-24
24-37
30-28
37-27
23-30
33-30
31-26
23-24
30-34
32-39
26-41
31-39
239.1Avg total
117.9Scored
121.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)115.0111.9226.9+3.162%
Season at home (39)115.1110.7225.7+4.467%
Season away (38)115.0113.2228.2+1.858%
Last 10 (10)117.9121.2239.1-3.360%
Last 5 (5)114.6123.4238.0-8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)117.7122.2239.9-4.550%
vs Weaker (12)123.1111.1234.2+12.092%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
113-111
113
111
+2
104avg 100
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
101-111
101
111
-10
92avg 100
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
108-129
108
129
-21
94avg 100
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
110-108
110
108
+2
108avg 100
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 100
H24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
95-116
95
116
-21
82avg 100
A26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
114-100
114
100
+14
110avg 100
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
128-110
128
110
+18
125avg 100
H29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
120-112
120
112
+8
114avg 100
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
103-135
103
135
-32
89avg 100
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
35-31
21-30
34-20
27-26
26-32
23-26
25-27
24-35
28-26
28-41
28-27
23-29
37-25
26-27
24-27
25-21
27-32
30-19
28-19
22-26
28-35
17-28
28-27
21-29
37-30
32-20
24-21
43-25
39-31
31-28
15-26
34-30
27-37
39-22
20-23
30-41
23-26
25-27
25-41
222.5Avg total
110.2Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)107.1104.7211.7+2.462%
Season at home (39)107.3102.2209.5+5.169%
Season away (39)106.8107.1213.9-0.354%
Last 10 (10)110.2112.3222.5-2.160%
Last 5 (5)112.0114.6226.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.0106.8213.8+0.268%
vs Weaker (11)116.3107.8224.1+8.573%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A13/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H23/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H25/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H02/04
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.4Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.158.6119.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.057.2118.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)61.260.2121.4+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)58.459.3117.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)55.059.0114.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)60.161.8121.9-1.733%-
vs Weaker (12)62.653.8116.4+8.892%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H29/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A01/04
NBA
117.6Avg total
57.9Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.9114.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.855.0112.8+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)57.858.8116.6-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)57.959.7117.6-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)60.862.0122.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.956.9111.8-2.037%-
vs Weaker (11)62.856.9119.7+5.955%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.6
55.8%
53.1%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.5
37.4%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
77.4%18.2
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.526.5
58.2%
53.1%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.613.4
34.7%
35.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
77.4%17.0
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWLWWL
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWLWWLLW
#5
League position
#7
-3.2
Net rating
-2.2
113.9
Offensive rating
115.8
117.1
Defensive rating
118.0
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
12.6%
Turnover %
11.3%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.4%
3-point %
34.7%
55.0%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 115.8Defence117.1 · 118.0Shooting55.9% · 55.4%3-point %37.4% · 34.7%Ball care12.6% · 11.3%Off. rebounds21.4% · 21.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/22HLos Angeles Clippers119-153
31/03/22ABrooklyn Nets120-119 OT
29/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers118-116
27/03/22AMemphis Grizzlies102-127
25/03/22HWashington Wizards114-102
23/03/22HChicago Bulls126-98
19/03/22AMinnesota Timberwolves119-138
17/03/22ASacramento Kings135-126
15/03/22AUtah Jazz117-111
13/03/22AGolden State Warriors109-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/22AWashington Wizards103-135
30/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers120-112
29/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers128-110
27/03/22HUtah Jazz114-100
26/03/22AMinnesota Timberwolves95-116
24/03/22HHouston Rockets110-91
22/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves110-108
19/03/22ACharlotte Hornets108-129
18/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers101-111
16/03/22ABrooklyn Nets113-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game115.0115.1115.0
Allowed / game111.9110.7113.2
Point differential+3.1+4.4+1.8
Avg total226.9225.7228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)57% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game107.1107.3106.8
Allowed / game104.7102.2107.1
Point differential+2.4+5.1-0.3
Avg total211.7209.5213.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)67% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns77621581%115.2107.0+8.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies78552371%115.4109.2+6.2
3 Miami Heat78502864%109.5105.1+4.4
4 Golden State Warriors78492963%110.7105.7+5.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks77482962%115.0111.9+3.1
6 Boston Celtics78483062%110.8104.3+6.5
7 Dallas Mavericks78483062%107.1104.7+2.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers77473061%109.2106.8+2.4
9 Utah Jazz78463259%113.4107.9+5.5
10 Denver Nuggets78463259%112.2109.8+2.4
11 Toronto Raptors77453258%109.3106.8+2.4
12 Chicago Bulls78453358%111.7111.4+0.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves78443456%115.5112.6+2.9
14 Cleveland Cavaliers78433555%107.4105.1+2.3
15 Atlanta Hawks78413753%113.8112.4+1.4
16 Brooklyn Nets78403851%112.5112.3+0.3
17 Charlotte Hornets78403851%114.8114.8+0.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers78384049%107.7108.9-1.2
19 New Orleans Pelicans77344344%109.0109.8-0.8
20 Washington Wizards77344344%108.7111.3-2.6
21 New York Knicks78344444%106.4107.1-0.8
22 San Antonio Spurs77324542%113.2113.3-0.1
23 Los Angeles Lakers77314640%111.5114.6-3.1
24 Sacramento Kings78294937%110.7115.8-5.2
25 Portland Trail Blazers77275035%107.4115.1-7.6
26 Indiana Pacers78255332%111.0114.2-3.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder77225529%103.9111.5-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons78225628%104.6111.9-7.4
29 Orlando Magic78205826%104.0111.9-7.9
30 Houston Rockets78205826%109.4117.8-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33223225112
Dallas Mavericks25323328118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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