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Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-101
29-31 26-25 25-28 36-17
Position#9
Record30-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#5
Record32-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game113.6
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
132-92
132
92
+40
132avg 104
A22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
128-108
128
108
+20
121avg 104
A25/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
94-109
94
109
-15
78avg 104
H27/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 104
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
127-106
127
106
+21
121avg 104
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
113-108
113
108
+5
107avg 104
A31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
89avg 104
A02/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
109-87
109
87
+22
no box
A03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
111-103
111
103
+8
100avg 104
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
93-102
93
102
-9
78avg 104
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
38-24
38-15
29-23
30-33
26-22
32-18
40-35
29-31
19-30
27-21
19-27
20-35
33-18
25-27
25-32
33-24
38-39
29-20
27-23
30-25
34-20
26-28
23-35
22-25
27-21
23-23
27-17
24-19
28-28
23-20
34-20
27-25
23-17
37-27
24-34
23-24
19-23
22-28
29-27
212.2Avg total
110.9Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)112.1109.8221.9+2.257%
Season at home (23)110.7112.0222.6-1.352%
Season away (30)113.1108.2221.3+4.960%
Last 10 (10)110.9101.3212.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)105.097.2202.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)104.0107.0211.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)114.0110.6224.6+3.463%
vs Weaker (9)113.8105.2219.0+8.678%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
120-113
120
113
+7
114avg 111
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
140-113
140
113
+27
145avg 111
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
121-119
121
119
+2
110avg 111
H24/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 111
H26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-129
105
129
-24
91avg 111
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-109
127
109
+18
125avg 111
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
129-128
129
128
+1
no box
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
121-122
121
122
-1
115avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
31-17
31-34
32-29
48-26
35-34
27-34
30-19
35-30
35-29
30-27
21-33
26-32
29-28
34-43
25-19
25-32
29-25
23-24
19-21
38-26
17-31
31-39
19-33
24-30
33-19
32-26
23-22
34-21
26-32
37-20
30-36
31-28
30-29
38-34
30-37
26-28
24-25
38-30
33-39
233.9Avg total
118.5Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)118.7113.6232.2+5.160%
Season at home (27)118.2111.4229.6+6.867%
Season away (26)119.2115.8235.0+3.354%
Last 10 (10)118.5115.4233.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)118.8117.0235.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)112.2112.8225.0-0.650%
vs Weaker (20)121.5113.8235.4+7.775%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H27/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A02/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A03/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A08/04
NBA
106.3Avg total
55.0Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.9112.0+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.954.9112.7+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)56.454.9111.3+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)55.051.3106.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)51.445.496.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.550.597.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.955.9114.8+3.163%-
vs Weaker (9)55.753.8109.4+1.967%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H24/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H26/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/04
NBA
115.7Avg total
60.2Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.256.5115.7+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.856.7118.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)56.756.3112.9+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)60.255.5115.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)55.056.1111.1-1.140%-
vs Weaker (20)61.456.6118.0+4.765%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.727.2
53.6%
52.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.3
37.1%
36.6%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
77.7%13.4
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.629.5
55.0%
52.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.515.0
42.3%
36.6%45.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
77.7%14.3
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWWWLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#5
+9.7
Net rating
+2.8
113.9
Offensive rating
114.5
104.2
Defensive rating
111.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
58.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
10.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.1%
3-point %
42.3%
50.6%
Assist %
55.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 114.5Defence104.2 · 111.7Shooting54.5% · 58.4%3-point %37.1% · 42.3%Ball care10.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 22.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/21AHouston Rockets93-102
05/04/21HUtah Jazz111-103
03/04/21AWashington Wizards109-87
02/04/21ANew York Knicks99-86
31/03/21ABoston Celtics113-108
30/03/21AOklahoma City Thunder127-106
28/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans103-112
27/03/21HIndiana Pacers94-109
25/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves128-108
22/03/21APortland Trail Blazers132-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/21AGolden State Warriors121-122
04/04/21ASacramento Kings129-128
03/04/21APortland Trail Blazers127-109
01/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-97
30/03/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-129
28/03/21HNew York Knicks96-102
26/03/21HBoston Celtics114-122
24/03/21HBoston Celtics121-119
23/03/21HIndiana Pacers140-113
21/03/21HSan Antonio Spurs120-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWLWLW52%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532330
Win %57%52%60%
Points / game112.1110.7113.1
Allowed / game109.8112.0108.2
Point differential+2.2-1.3+4.9
Avg total221.9222.6221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%26%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %4%4%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game118.7118.2119.2
Allowed / game113.6111.4115.8
Point differential+5.1+6.8+3.3
Avg total232.2229.6235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%48%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)100% (4)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz54411376%116.9107.0+9.9
2 Brooklyn Nets54381670%118.9113.7+5.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers53371670%113.9108.8+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns54361867%113.9108.2+5.6
5 Denver Nuggets54351965%115.7109.3+6.4
6 Los Angeles Lakers56362064%110.0105.6+4.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%113.7108.4+5.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks53322160%118.7113.6+5.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers54312357%114.5115.5-0.9
10 Dallas Mavericks53302357%112.1109.8+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies53292455%113.0110.9+2.1
12 Miami Heat54282652%106.5107.4-0.9
13 Atlanta Hawks56292752%113.4111.9+1.4
14 New York Knicks56282850%104.5103.0+1.5
15 Charlotte Hornets54272750%110.9111.9-1.0
16 Boston Celtics54262848%111.2110.3+0.9
17 Golden State Warriors54262848%112.0113.8-1.8
18 Chicago Bulls54252946%112.5112.9-0.4
19 San Antonio Spurs52242846%109.8112.4-2.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans53242945%115.1115.0+0.1
21 Sacramento Kings55243144%114.3118.3-4.0
22 Indiana Pacers53233043%112.8113.5-0.8
23 Toronto Raptors55223340%111.8111.6+0.2
24 Cleveland Cavaliers55213438%103.4110.6-7.2
25 Oklahoma City Thunder55213438%105.8113.7-7.9
26 Washington Wizards53193436%112.8117.8-5.1
27 Orlando Magic55193635%105.3112.1-6.8
28 Detroit Pistons55173831%106.5109.8-3.3
29 Houston Rockets55173831%108.1113.0-4.9
30 Minnesota Timberwolves55144125%109.9117.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29262536116
Milwaukee Bucks31252817101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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