PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-75 (OT)
19-27 28-12 12-17 15-18 12-1
Position#24
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game100.2
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
17 Oct 2024
DAL109
MIL84
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
11 Oct 2019
DAL111
MIL118
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
02 Oct 2017
DAL106
MIL104
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
13 Jul 2016
DAL81
MIL64
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A09/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
114-109
114
109
+5
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A15/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H20/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
121-130 OT
121
130
-9
A26/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A31/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
13-22
27-25
15-21
29-20
27-22
26-40
32-27
25-24
32-35
25-32
25-21
22-27
16-20
29-25
24-34
17-24
16-27
16-26
26-24
21-33
31-26
33-35
30-21
24-24
26-28
17-25
31-29
25-34
28-29
17-17
22-13
14-15
19-26
26-25
22-31
26-26
26-29
24-24
19-26
199.5Avg total
94.8Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)95.4104.2199.7-8.817%
Season at home (5)98.6102.8201.4-4.240%
Season away (7)93.1105.3198.4-12.10%
Last 10 (10)94.8104.7199.5-9.910%
Last 5 (5)97.4106.2203.6-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.1100.1188.3-12.07%
vs Similar ◀ (12)95.798.2193.8-2.550%
vs Weaker (4)84.280.5164.8+3.850%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A12/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
86-107
86
107
-21
H16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H20/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
96-107
96
107
-11
H27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
110-108
110
108
+2
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
117-113
117
113
+4
A02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
117-91
117
91
+26
H06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
10-33
33-20
19-19
32-19
28-24
19-27
7-37
26-16
22-24
17-36
13-26
24-25
31-27
27-33
29-18
24-32
17-24
25-27
30-24
24-18
22-23
34-32
30-35
21-24
18-26
26-25
18-23
29-32
34-22
21-32
33-27
29-30
34-27
27-22
35-28
34-24
27-24
29-15
27-28
204.3Avg total
100.6Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)98.9100.2199.1-1.258%
Season at home (7)104.799.6204.3+5.171%
Season away (5)90.8101.0191.8-10.240%
Last 10 (10)100.6103.7204.3-3.150%
Last 5 (5)110.4103.4213.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)88.7100.1188.8-11.410%
vs Similar ◀ (18)97.198.6195.7-1.644%
vs Weaker (2)109.5108.0217.5+1.5100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H12/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A15/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H20/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A26/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A31/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H05/11
NBA
96.7Avg total
45.6Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.647.390.9-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.644.488.1-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)43.549.893.3-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)45.651.196.7-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)48.054.0102.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.549.592.0-7.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.947.492.3-2.542%-
vs Weaker (4)43.239.282.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A12/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H20/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H06/11
NBA
101.0Avg total
50.7Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.649.698.2-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.151.1100.3-2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)48.148.396.4-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.750.3101.0+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)54.450.0104.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.452.799.1-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.248.797.8+0.567%-
vs Weaker (2)54.043.097.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.425.9
45.9%
50.2%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.416.3
79.9%
77.0%16.3
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.330.2
49.3%
50.2%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.818.0
78.9%
77.0%18.0
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLLLLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLWLWLLL
#24
League position
#14
-10.0
Net rating
-3.2
95.6
Offensive rating
102.9
105.6
Defensive rating
106.0
45.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
32.3%
53.4%
Assist %
62.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 102.9Defence105.6 · 106.0Shooting45.9% · 49.0%3-point %30.6% · 32.3%Ball care14.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds21.6% · 24.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16HPortland Trail Blazers95-105
03/11/16AUtah Jazz81-97
31/10/16AHouston Rockets92-93
29/10/16HHouston Rockets98-106
26/10/16AIndiana Pacers121-130 OT
22/10/16ADenver Nuggets75-101
20/10/16HHouston Rockets91-106
15/10/16APhoenix Suns107-112
12/10/16HOklahoma City Thunder114-109
09/10/16AMilwaukee Bucks74-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/16HSacramento Kings117-91
04/11/16HIndiana Pacers125-107
02/11/16ANew Orleans Pelicans117-113
30/10/16ADetroit Pistons83-98
30/10/16HBrooklyn Nets110-108
27/10/16HCharlotte Hornets96-107
20/10/16HIndiana Pacers111-103
17/10/16ADetroit Pistons78-102
16/10/16HChicago Bulls86-107
12/10/16AIndiana Pacers83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game95.498.693.1
Allowed / game104.2102.8105.3
Point differential-8.8-4.2-12.1
Avg total199.7201.4198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game98.9104.790.8
Allowed / game100.299.6101.0
Point differential-1.2+5.1-10.2
Avg total199.1204.3191.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1310377%112.5105.5+7.1
2 Oklahoma City Thunder107370%103.4100.5+2.9
3 Atlanta Hawks139469%102.394.3+8.0
4 San Antonio Spurs139469%100.195.3+4.8
5 Boston Celtics128467%107.4103.5+3.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers128467%107.1105.0+2.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers128467%97.396.6+0.8
8 Detroit Pistons127558%97.391.3+6.0
9 Houston Rockets127558%112.2109.3+2.9
10 Toronto Raptors127558%100.898.6+2.2
11 Milwaukee Bucks127558%98.9100.2-1.2
12 Charlotte Hornets127558%96.097.7-1.7
13 Portland Trail Blazers148657%104.9105.4-0.5
14 Utah Jazz137654%97.395.3+2.0
15 Memphis Grizzlies137654%101.0101.7-0.7
16 Minnesota Timberwolves126650%101.197.0+4.1
17 Indiana Pacers126650%108.4108.5-0.1
18 New York Knicks126650%105.5108.4-2.9
19 Phoenix Suns126650%104.4107.5-3.1
20 Miami Heat136746%102.298.6+3.6
21 Chicago Bulls136746%105.3102.7+2.6
22 Denver Nuggets136746%103.4104.2-0.8
23 Washington Wizards125742%102.3100.8+1.5
24 Sacramento Kings135838%99.5103.5-4.0
25 Orlando Magic135838%97.0103.5-6.5
26 Los Angeles Lakers145936%107.1107.8-0.6
27 Brooklyn Nets123925%102.2109.2-7.1
28 Dallas Mavericks1221017%95.4104.2-8.8
29 Philadelphia 76ers1221017%94.9105.9-11.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans121118%102.9109.1-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dallas Mavericks192812151286
Milwaukee Bucks27121718175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.