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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-109
30-23 25-24 29-34 28-28
Position#5
Record8-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game112.1
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Dallas Mavericks
USA
Position#9
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game106.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
110-130
110
130
-20
96avg 111
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
144-97
144
97
+47
144avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
108-119
108
119
-11
94avg 111
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
126-96
126
96
+30
120avg 111
H02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
125-115
125
115
+10
131avg 111
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
130-115
130
115
+15
131avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
118-131
118
131
-13
100avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
100-90
100
90
+10
94avg 111
H10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
121-99
121
99
+22
113avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
110-101
110
101
+9
111avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
18-31
30-35
35-34
46-26
37-25
32-24
29-22
19-25
37-26
35-37
17-31
27-21
35-19
34-35
30-21
33-26
34-30
30-24
28-35
44-33
38-23
26-26
22-33
31-34
27-31
38-39
22-27
27-14
20-23
31-26
22-27
25-23
38-31
23-28
35-17
27-13
31-34
31-28
21-26
228.5Avg total
119.2Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)118.5112.1230.6+6.553%
Season at home (8)118.9110.8229.6+8.162%
Season away (7)118.1113.6231.7+4.643%
Last 10 (10)119.2109.3228.5+9.970%
Last 5 (5)115.8107.2223.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)109.6123.0232.6-13.40%
vs Weaker (25)117.6110.5228.2+7.160%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-106
102
106
-4
86avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
115-138
115
138
-23
98avg 107
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-73
124
73
+51
124avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
99-118
99
118
-19
82avg 107
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-118
108
118
-10
95avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
113avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
118avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 107
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
104-93
104
93
+11
92avg 107
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-30
26-24
31-29
30-33
27-36
28-30
30-39
36-13
41-14
27-30
20-16
29-36
28-32
12-30
30-20
20-16
26-15
27-22
20-30
31-31
29-28
21-27
27-32
33-21
28-28
23-28
29-23
22-28
21-24
33-26
33-31
36-27
20-23
29-25
27-23
32-16
28-27
27-29
17-21
213.8Avg total
109.4Scored
104.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)112.4106.7219.1+5.762%
Season at home (4)107.8107.0214.8+0.850%
Season away (9)114.4106.6221.0+7.967%
Last 10 (10)109.4104.4213.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)112.2105.2217.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)136.0132.0268.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)115.6117.5233.1-1.845%
vs Weaker (7)114.3111.7226.0+2.657%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
83-51
83
51
+32
A30/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A14/01
NBA
113.9Avg total
62.1Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.1115.6+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.755.9116.6+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)60.254.1114.4+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)62.151.8113.9+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.8113.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)56.861.0117.8-4.240%-
vs Weaker (25)61.253.9115.1+7.372%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
77-27
77
27
+50
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A14/01
NBA
106.3Avg total
56.2Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.259.0117.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (12)59.861.1120.8-1.342%-
Last 30 away (18)57.257.7114.8-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)56.250.1106.3+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.050.6106.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.071.0133.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.659.2116.9-1.641%-
vs Weaker (7)59.456.7116.1+2.757%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.6
55.3%
52.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.816.4
40.2%
36.6%49.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
77.7%14.8
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.7
54.2%
52.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.613.8
34.8%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws24.718.6
75.3%
77.7%18.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLWWWLWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWWWLWLWLL
#5
League position
#9
+9.6
Net rating
+5.0
115.1
Offensive rating
108.8
105.5
Defensive rating
103.8
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
34.8%
62.5%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 108.8Defence105.5 · 103.8Shooting57.6% · 53.3%3-point %40.2% · 34.8%Ball care14.1% · 12.6%Off. rebounds23.8% · 19.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateGameScore
15/12/20Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks112-128
13/12/20Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks102-112
09/08/20Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks136-132 OT
17/12/19Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks116-120
09/02/19Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks107-122
21/01/19Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks116-106
09/12/17Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks109-102
19/11/17Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks111-79
02/04/17Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks105-109
07/11/16Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks86-75 OT
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/21ADetroit Pistons110-101
12/01/21AOrlando Magic121-99
10/01/21HCleveland Cavaliers100-90
09/01/21HUtah Jazz118-131
07/01/21HDetroit Pistons130-115
05/01/21HDetroit Pistons125-115
02/01/21HChicago Bulls126-96
31/12/20AMiami Heat108-119
30/12/20AMiami Heat144-97
28/12/20ANew York Knicks110-130
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/21ACharlotte Hornets104-93
10/01/21HOrlando Magic112-98
08/01/21ADenver Nuggets124-117 OT
05/01/21AHouston Rockets113-100
04/01/21AChicago Bulls108-118
02/01/21HMiami Heat93-83
31/12/20HCharlotte Hornets99-118
27/12/20ALos Angeles Clippers124-73
26/12/20ALos Angeles Lakers115-138
24/12/20APhoenix Suns102-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game118.5118.9118.1
Allowed / game112.1110.8113.6
Point differential+6.5+8.1+4.6
Avg total230.6229.6231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %62%50%67%
Points / game112.4107.8114.4
Allowed / game106.7107.0106.6
Point differential+5.7+0.8+7.9
Avg total219.1214.8221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %15%25%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1714382%114.6104.4+10.2
2 Philadelphia 76ers1511473%113.8109.7+4.1
3 Utah Jazz1410471%111.9105.4+6.6
4 Dallas Mavericks138562%112.4106.7+5.7
5 Brooklyn Nets159660%118.3111.4+6.9
6 Boston Celtics127558%109.8111.1-1.2
7 Denver Nuggets158753%117.0110.1+6.9
8 Milwaukee Bucks158753%118.5112.1+6.5
9 Indiana Pacers158753%112.6108.9+3.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies158753%109.7107.9+1.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers158753%108.9111.2-2.3
12 Golden State Warriors158753%111.3113.9-2.6
13 Orlando Magic158753%108.3112.1-3.7
14 New Orleans Pelicans126650%109.2106.2+3.0
15 Houston Rockets147750%111.9109.7+2.2
16 Atlanta Hawks147750%113.6111.6+2.0
17 New York Knicks168850%100.6102.2-1.6
18 Portland Trail Blazers168850%113.5116.8-3.3
19 Phoenix Suns157847%108.8108.7+0.1
20 Chicago Bulls157847%114.3116.9-2.7
21 Cleveland Cavaliers167944%99.1104.8-5.7
22 Sacramento Kings167944%113.7120.2-6.5
23 Oklahoma City Thunder146843%105.1111.2-6.1
24 Miami Heat125742%109.9113.2-3.2
25 Charlotte Hornets1771041%108.4109.2-0.8
26 San Antonio Spurs156940%109.3113.5-4.2
27 Toronto Raptors145936%110.7111.4-0.6
28 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1441029%109.5118.8-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons1541127%104.3108.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30252928112
Dallas Mavericks23243428109
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