PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-107
41-34 28-18 26-31 30-24
Position#2
Record55-25
FormLLWWW
Points / game119.8
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#8
Record48-30
FormLLLWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
119-112
119
112
+7
118avg 113
A27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
118avg 113
H28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-103
128
103
+25
129avg 113
H30/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-112
113
112
+1
110avg 113
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
105-109
105
109
-4
100avg 113
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
100-135
100
135
-35
86avg 113
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
112-126
112
126
-14
103avg 113
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
121-118
121
118
+3
118avg 113
A07/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
112-105
112
105
+7
104avg 113
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
127-89
127
89
+38
128avg 113
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-34
40-24
23-32
23-22
17-28
33-21
35-31
27-32
34-32
36-27
31-21
27-23
17-22
33-24
25-39
38-27
22-25
32-19
26-29
25-36
23-30
24-31
36-32
17-42
32-31
27-38
30-31
23-26
31-29
34-26
21-30
35-33
28-31
17-33
39-23
28-18
34-11
34-24
30-29
29-25
230.4Avg total
116.3Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)119.8113.1232.9+6.869%
Season at home (39)122.8110.9233.6+11.979%
Season away (41)117.0115.2232.2+1.959%
Last 10 (10)116.3114.1230.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)114.4114.6229.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.7119.7230.3-9.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)119.0112.9231.9+6.167%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
118-93
118
93
+25
123avg 111
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
124-128 OT
124
128
-4
114avg 111
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
100-107
100
107
-7
92avg 111
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
121avg 111
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-117
113
117
-4
107avg 111
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
101-111
101
111
-10
88avg 111
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
111-117
111
117
-6
97avg 111
H06/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-122
109
122
-13
106avg 111
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
104-91
104
91
+13
109avg 111
H09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
117-99
117
99
+18
114avg 111
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
23-25
34-17
36-29
32-16
26-26
30-32
13-27
25-26
20-35
28-24
27-22
33-28
26-17
30-29
33-39
28-27
26-31
32-33
27-26
22-26
27-27
29-26
23-32
27-21
27-37
31-32
26-27
31-25
30-25
24-39
24-33
37-21
26-22
15-24
26-24
27-23
37-27
32-27
21-22
221.7Avg total
111.9Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)119.2116.1235.2+3.162%
Season at home (40)120.6114.3234.9+6.375%
Season away (38)117.7117.9235.6-0.247%
Last 10 (10)111.9109.8221.7+2.140%
Last 5 (5)108.4108.0216.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)113.7102.0215.7+11.767%
vs Similar (18)111.7114.1225.8-2.350%
vs Weaker (9)114.0105.2219.2+8.856%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H30/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A03/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A07/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H11/04
NBA
112.1Avg total
58.1Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.7114.9+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.754.2113.9+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.856.9115.6+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)58.154.0112.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)56.856.8113.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)56.755.0111.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)59.455.8115.3+3.663%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H26/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A30/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H11/04
NBA
106.2Avg total
55.5Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.854.1111.9+3.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.150.2108.2+7.962%-
Last 30 away (14)57.458.6116.0-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)55.550.7106.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.8109.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)55.753.0108.7+2.767%-
vs Similar (18)57.757.4115.2+0.344%-
vs Weaker (9)58.647.8106.3+10.856%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.2
55.9%
54.4%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.9
38.7%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
78.2%17.2
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.729.1
57.4%
54.4%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.613.3
33.6%
36.3%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
78.2%13.8
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLLWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#8
+2.1
Net rating
+2.1
113.6
Offensive rating
110.9
111.4
Defensive rating
108.8
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.7%
3-point %
33.6%
64.5%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 110.9Defence111.4 · 108.8Shooting56.8% · 54.3%3-point %38.7% · 33.6%Ball care13.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds20.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HSan Antonio Spurs127-89
10/04/24HSacramento Kings112-105
07/04/24ACharlotte Hornets121-118
05/04/24AIndiana Pacers112-126
03/04/24ABoston Celtics100-135
02/04/24APhiladelphia 76ers105-109
31/03/24ANew York Knicks113-112
30/03/24HPhoenix Suns128-103
28/03/24HHouston Rockets126-132 OT
27/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans119-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24HOrlando Magic117-99
09/04/24HBoston Celtics104-91
07/04/24HNew York Knicks109-122
06/04/24HToronto Raptors111-117
04/04/24HMemphis Grizzlies101-111
02/04/24AWashington Wizards113-117
30/03/24AAtlanta Hawks122-113
29/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans100-107
26/03/24HLos Angeles Lakers124-128 OT
24/03/24HOklahoma City Thunder118-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWLLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %69%79%59%
Points / game119.8122.8117.0
Allowed / game113.1110.9115.2
Point differential+6.8+11.9+1.9
Avg total232.9233.6232.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%51%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)57% (7)60% (10)
Overtime %5%8%2%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeLLLWW75%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %62%75%47%
Points / game119.2120.6117.7
Allowed / game116.1114.3117.9
Point differential+3.1+6.3-0.2
Avg total235.2234.9235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)88% (8)27% (11)
Overtime %5%8%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics80631779%120.5108.9+11.6
2 Denver Nuggets80562470%114.7109.4+5.2
3 Minnesota Timberwolves80552569%113.1106.3+6.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder80552569%119.8113.1+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers80512964%115.8112.3+3.5
6 Dallas Mavericks80503062%118.6115.5+3.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks78483062%119.2116.1+3.1
8 New York Knicks80493161%112.6107.6+5.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans78473160%115.4110.1+5.2
10 Phoenix Suns79473259%116.4113.4+3.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers81483359%112.7110.1+2.6
12 Sacramento Kings79453457%116.6115.2+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers81463557%114.7111.9+2.8
14 Orlando Magic81463557%110.4108.7+1.7
15 Golden State Warriors80453556%117.8115.2+2.6
16 Indiana Pacers79443556%122.8120.4+2.4
17 Los Angeles Lakers78433555%117.9118.1-0.2
18 Miami Heat80443655%109.9108.5+1.3
19 Houston Rockets80394149%114.3113.4+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls81394248%112.2113.6-1.4
21 Atlanta Hawks80364445%118.5120.2-1.7
22 Brooklyn Nets81324940%110.7113.3-2.7
23 Utah Jazz80305038%115.7120.7-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies80275334%105.6112.5-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors80255531%112.6118.7-6.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers80215926%106.7115.3-8.7
27 San Antonio Spurs80206025%111.8118.9-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets81206125%106.4116.9-10.5
29 Washington Wizards81156619%113.6122.9-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons80136716%110.1119.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder41282630125
Milwaukee Bucks34183124107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.