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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 100-105
20-27 29-22 24-29 27-27
Position#6
Record61-36
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game113.8
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record64-32
FormWWLLL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game105.9
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· American Airlines Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
114-101
114
101
+13
108avg 108
H04/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
95-117
95
117
-22
79avg 108
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
119-110
119
110
+9
113avg 108
A10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
105-101
105
101
+4
92avg 108
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
96-100
96
100
-4
86avg 108
H14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
104-92
104
92
+12
108avg 108
A16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
115avg 108
H19/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
108-105
108
105
+3
103avg 108
A23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
109-108
109
108
+1
103avg 108
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
116-107
116
107
+9
111avg 108
H27/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
18-26
35-20
27-29
23-23
30-39
26-27
16-28
36-32
32-30
31-27
20-21
26-23
25-29
31-26
23-23
30-20
24-23
15-22
27-35
24-22
30-22
25-23
25-25
23-30
25-34
35-26
34-26
27-33
32-29
23-21
26-22
26-32
22-28
31-26
30-22
33-28
27-24
27-35
29-20
214.0Avg total
108.3Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (97)116.2113.8230.1+2.463%
Season at home (48)117.2113.5230.7+3.762%
Season away (49)115.3114.1229.4+1.163%
Last 10 (10)108.3105.7214.0+2.680%
Last 5 (5)110.8105.6216.4+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)103.1110.1213.3-7.057%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.5104.2216.6+8.382%
vs Weaker (6)111.5102.5214.0+9.083%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-99
106
99
+7
102avg 107
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
103avg 107
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
90-117
90
117
-27
82avg 107
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
107-115
107
115
-8
97avg 107
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
93avg 107
A15/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
115-70
115
70
+45
118avg 107
H17/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 107
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-108
105
108
-3
91avg 107
H23/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
108-109
108
109
-1
98avg 107
H25/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
97avg 107
A27/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-19
33-27
33-28
28-20
33-15
21-25
24-20
20-28
21-28
25-37
24-24
24-29
25-35
30-26
28-25
26-28
18-22
30-38
23-24
31-14
28-26
27-21
29-9
19-24
19-29
28-14
32-23
33-27
29-32
21-23
22-26
32-26
28-22
26-31
22-30
28-33
24-27
35-27
20-29
205.5Avg total
103.9Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (96)112.2105.9218.1+6.467%
Season at home (48)111.3103.3214.6+7.969%
Season away (48)113.2108.4221.6+4.865%
Last 10 (10)103.9101.6205.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)106.698.6205.2+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)107.5104.5211.9+3.050%
vs Weaker (10)115.6103.0218.6+12.690%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H04/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H19/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H27/05
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.7Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.054.9109.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.554.5108.9+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)55.455.2110.6+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.755.3110.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)53.856.4110.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.758.4111.1-5.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.253.9108.1+0.441%-
vs Weaker (6)59.853.5113.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A04/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A07/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H13/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A15/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H17/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H23/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H25/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A27/05
NBA
101.5Avg total
50.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.2106.4-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.654.2107.8-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)52.752.0104.7+0.738%-
Last 10 (10)50.650.9101.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)54.252.0106.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.053.2105.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)55.553.3108.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.7
53.0%
54.4%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.7
38.6%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws23.716.8
70.9%
78.2%16.8
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.026.3
53.7%
54.4%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.7
35.3%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
78.2%16.2
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWWWLWWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLLLWW
#6
League position
#4
+2.7
Net rating
+2.5
114.2
Offensive rating
112.6
111.5
Defensive rating
110.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.6%
3-point %
35.3%
60.4%
Assist %
64.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 112.6Defence111.5 · 110.1Shooting54.9% · 53.4%3-point %38.6% · 35.3%Ball care13.5% · 11.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
27/05/24Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves116-107
25/05/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks108-109
23/05/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks105-108
01/02/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks121-87
08/01/24Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves115-108
29/12/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks118-110
15/12/23Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves101-119
14/02/23Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves121-124
22/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks99-104
20/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks116-106
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-107
25/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves109-108
23/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves108-105
19/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder117-116
16/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder104-92
14/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder96-100
11/05/24HOklahoma City Thunder105-101
10/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder119-110
08/05/24AOklahoma City Thunder95-117
04/05/24HLos Angeles Clippers114-101
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24ADallas Mavericks107-116
25/05/24HDallas Mavericks108-109
23/05/24HDallas Mavericks105-108
20/05/24ADenver Nuggets98-90
17/05/24HDenver Nuggets115-70
15/05/24ADenver Nuggets97-112
13/05/24HDenver Nuggets107-115
11/05/24HDenver Nuggets90-117
07/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-80
04/05/24ADenver Nuggets106-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games974849
Win %63%62%63%
Points / game116.2117.2115.3
Allowed / game113.8113.5114.1
Point differential+2.4+3.7+1.1
Avg total230.1230.7229.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (22)64% (14)75% (8)
Overtime %1%2%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeLLWLL69%
AwayWWLWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games964848
Win %67%69%65%
Points / game112.2111.3113.2
Allowed / game105.9103.3108.4
Point differential+6.4+7.9+4.8
Avg total218.1214.6221.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)44% (16)71% (7)
Overtime %5%4%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics95761980%119.3107.9+11.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder92632968%118.5111.2+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets94643068%113.2108.9+4.3
4 Minnesota Timberwolves96643267%112.2105.9+6.4
5 Dallas Mavericks97613663%116.2113.8+2.4
6 New York Knicks94573761%112.3108.3+4.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers88533560%114.6112.0+2.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks86503658%118.0115.9+2.1
9 Phoenix Suns85493658%115.8113.5+2.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans86493757%113.8109.9+3.9
11 Sacramento Kings83473657%116.3114.3+2.0
12 Cleveland Cavaliers94534156%110.8109.4+1.4
13 Philadelphia 76ers89503956%114.1111.2+2.8
14 Orlando Magic89503956%109.7107.4+2.2
15 Golden State Warriors83463755%117.5115.2+2.3
16 Los Angeles Lakers86473955%117.2117.3-0.1
17 Indiana Pacers97534455%121.6119.0+2.6
18 Miami Heat89484154%109.1108.1+1.0
19 Houston Rockets82414150%114.3113.2+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84404448%112.2113.7-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks83364743%118.3120.6-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets82325039%110.4113.3-2.9
23 Utah Jazz82315138%115.7120.5-4.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies82275533%105.8112.8-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors82255730%112.4118.8-6.4
26 San Antonio Spurs82226027%112.1118.6-6.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers82216126%106.4115.4-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets82216126%106.6116.8-10.2
29 Washington Wizards82156718%113.7123.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons82146817%109.9119.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks20292427100
Minnesota Timberwolves27222927105
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