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Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 114-116
31-27 26-26 31-26 26-37
Position#24
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Position#21
Record6-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game118.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
14 Dec 2026
DAL v MIL
upcoming
10 Nov 2025
DAL114
MIL116
01 Mar 2025
DAL117
MIL132
03 Feb 2024
DAL117
MIL129
09 Dec 2022
DAL105
MIL106
23 Dec 2021
DAL95
MIL102
08 Apr 2021
DAL116
MIL101
08 Aug 2020
DAL136
MIL132
08 Feb 2019
DAL107
MIL122
18 Nov 2017
DAL111
MIL79
06 Nov 2016
DAL86
MIL75
28 Dec 2015
DAL103
MIL93
07 Dec 2014
DAL125
MIL102
14 Dec 2013
DAL106
MIL93
26 Feb 2013
DAL90
MIL95
13 Jan 2012
DAL102
MIL76
13 Dec 2010
DAL99
MIL103
26 Jan 2010
DAL108
MIL107
25 Feb 2009
DAL116
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
92-125
92
125
-33
77avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
107-117
107
117
-10
98avg 104
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
139-129
139
129
+10
142avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
76avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
110-122
110
122
-12
103avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
102-110
102
110
-8
94avg 104
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
99-101
99
101
-2
84avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-118
104
118
-14
98avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-105
111
105
+6
103avg 104
A09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
22-32
21-33
20-32
35-28
17-30
26-33
29-26
32-32
32-34
39-25
36-38
24-28
18-20
27-39
25-14
25-30
27-25
29-19
26-31
30-27
31-32
32-28
17-35
28-24
27-34
23-23
24-29
19-29
30-23
28-26
22-23
24-34
27-40
29-28
24-16
35-24
22-29
25-33
29-19
219.8Avg total
106.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)106.5113.3219.8-6.830%
Season at home (6)106.3113.0219.3-6.733%
Season away (4)106.8113.8220.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)106.5113.3219.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)105.2111.2216.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)104.0122.6226.6-18.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.1114.6229.7+0.457%
vs Weaker (5)114.4113.2227.6+1.240%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 109
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 109
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
106avg 109
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-111
121
111
+10
120avg 109
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-110
120
110
+10
104avg 109
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
133-135
133
135
-2
130avg 109
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-115
117
115
+2
107avg 109
A04/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-128
100
128
-28
91avg 109
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
126-110
126
110
+16
117avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
115-122
115
122
-7
104avg 109
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-23
32-30
29-37
32-30
27-19
25-35
34-32
36-30
31-29
25-36
28-21
29-32
27-26
32-45
35-20
27-20
34-25
26-33
27-26
33-26
47-36
24-34
31-38
31-27
31-22
25-31
28-24
33-38
29-39
25-34
26-32
20-23
23-25
30-27
32-28
41-30
30-28
31-22
24-32
30-40
238.5Avg total
120.0Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)120.0118.5238.5+1.560%
Season at home (6)124.7118.0242.7+6.767%
Season away (4)113.0119.2232.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)120.0118.5238.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)118.2122.0240.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)115.2117.5232.7-2.350%
vs Similar ◀ (18)116.4117.1233.6-0.750%
vs Weaker (6)124.2113.7237.8+10.583%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Dallas MavericksMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H23/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H30/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A09/11
NBA
111.7Avg total
53.4Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.358.9115.2-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.357.3114.6+0.031%-
Last 30 away (17)55.560.1115.6-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)53.458.3111.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)54.659.2113.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)52.761.2113.9-8.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)57.658.1115.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker (5)60.456.2116.6+4.280%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A04/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H09/11
NBA
119.3Avg total
59.4Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.459.3116.7-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.859.9119.6-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)55.258.8114.1-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)59.459.9119.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)59.059.6118.6-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.061.8118.8-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.059.9115.9-3.939%-
vs Weaker (6)61.855.0116.8+6.8100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.928.6
53.1%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws26.820.2
75.4%
78.1%20.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.829.3
58.8%
54.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.215.3
40.1%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws22.515.5
68.9%
78.1%15.5
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLLWLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWLWWLWW
#24
League position
#21
-6.5
Net rating
+1.5
102.3
Offensive rating
116.7
108.8
Defensive rating
115.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
59.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.3%
3-point %
40.1%
62.1%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 116.7Defence108.8 · 115.2Shooting50.2% · 59.4%3-point %30.3% · 40.1%Ball care15.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds20.4% · 20.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25AWashington Wizards111-105
08/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-118
06/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans99-101
04/11/25AHouston Rockets102-110
02/11/25ADetroit Pistons110-122
30/10/25HIndiana Pacers107-105
28/10/25HOklahoma City Thunder94-101
26/10/25HToronto Raptors139-129
25/10/25HWashington Wizards107-117
23/10/25HSan Antonio Spurs92-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HHouston Rockets115-122
08/11/25HChicago Bulls126-110
05/11/25AToronto Raptors100-128
04/11/25AIndiana Pacers117-115
01/11/25HSacramento Kings133-135
31/10/25HGolden State Warriors120-110
29/10/25HNew York Knicks121-111
26/10/25ACleveland Cavaliers113-118
24/10/25AToronto Raptors122-116
23/10/25HWashington Wizards133-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game106.5106.3106.8
Allowed / game113.3113.0113.8
Point differential-6.8-6.7-7.0
Avg total219.8219.3220.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game120.0124.7113.0
Allowed / game118.5118.0119.2
Point differential+1.5+6.7-6.2
Avg total238.5242.7232.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1110191%122.4108.8+13.5
2 Detroit Pistons119282%118.0112.7+5.3
3 San Antonio Spurs108280%119.3111.3+8.0
4 Denver Nuggets97278%124.2111.0+13.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers118373%118.1116.5+1.5
6 Houston Rockets96367%122.8113.1+9.7
7 New York Knicks96367%120.6111.9+8.7
8 Miami Heat117464%125.5119.8+5.7
9 Cleveland Cavaliers117464%122.3117.7+4.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves106460%121.3116.0+5.3
11 Philadelphia 76ers106460%122.4118.5+3.9
12 Milwaukee Bucks106460%120.0118.5+1.5
13 Chicago Bulls106460%119.2118.4+0.8
14 Golden State Warriors116555%115.9113.6+2.3
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.3117.1+2.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers105550%120.6119.3+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks105550%115.2115.0+0.2
18 Phoenix Suns105550%116.4116.7-0.3
19 Boston Celtics115645%112.8110.4+2.5
20 Orlando Magic115645%115.9115.8+0.1
21 Memphis Grizzlies114736%113.7118.6-4.9
22 Los Angeles Clippers93633%109.7115.0-5.3
23 Utah Jazz93633%112.1120.1-8.0
24 Charlotte Hornets103730%118.2121.0-2.8
25 Dallas Mavericks103730%106.5113.3-6.8
26 Sacramento Kings103730%115.3123.9-8.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans92722%109.1121.3-12.2
28 Indiana Pacers101910%107.6118.7-11.1
29 Brooklyn Nets101910%110.0125.5-15.5
30 Washington Wizards111109%113.6129.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks31263126114
Milwaukee Bucks27262637116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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