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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-96
30-22 26-33 19-18 24-23
Position#18
Record21-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#14
Record21-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
108avg 103
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
122-113
122
113
+9
114avg 103
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
119-113
119
113
+6
120avg 103
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-102
114
102
+12
106avg 103
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
109-117
109
117
-8
102avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-121
104
121
-17
92avg 103
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 103
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-113
97
113
-16
92avg 103
A06/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
118avg 103
H09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
120-128
120
128
-8
109avg 103
H11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
43-26
21-22
26-34
33-26
29-34
26-26
34-27
26-22
37-27
23-37
33-27
22-25
36-26
33-25
23-26
28-27
25-27
35-34
21-29
35-23
23-36
27-36
19-26
25-18
28-27
19-22
38-29
29-33
26-29
20-32
22-19
34-27
25-32
32-23
29-31
35-29
34-36
27-34
24-29
225.2Avg total
113.0Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)112.9112.1224.9+0.857%
Season at home (17)117.1116.9234.1+0.259%
Season away (20)109.2107.9217.2+1.355%
Last 10 (10)113.0112.2225.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)110.2114.2224.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.0120.0234.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.6112.8227.4+1.857%
vs Weaker (7)112.7108.3221.0+4.486%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-110
117
110
+7
113avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
127-119
127
119
+8
119avg 104
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
92-112
92
112
-20
81avg 104
H28/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-108
117
108
+9
108avg 104
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
98avg 104
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
115-121
115
121
-6
99avg 104
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
135-138 OT
135
138
-3
130avg 104
A04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
122-120
122
120
+2
114avg 104
A06/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
117-110 OT
117
110
+7
108avg 104
H07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
92-113
92
113
-21
74avg 104
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-27
37-32
20-33
24-18
33-33
30-27
35-28
29-31
25-26
21-26
29-32
17-28
26-29
29-15
31-30
31-34
24-37
34-30
29-22
20-23
28-30
27-25
26-32
34-34
30-27
25-40
34-24
29-27
28-37
26-30
41-31
27-22
32-28
19-32
34-18
20-27
16-33
21-34
29-23
26-23
230.4Avg total
114.1Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)113.3112.0225.3+1.357%
Season at home (18)115.7108.2223.9+7.472%
Season away (19)111.1115.5226.6-4.542%
Last 10 (10)114.1116.3230.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)116.2120.4236.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.0112.7219.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.5112.1223.5-0.653%
vs Weaker (10)121.6116.2237.8+5.470%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H23/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H26/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A04/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A06/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H11/01
NBA
115.2Avg total
59.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.055.0114.0+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.957.8118.7+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)57.652.8110.4+4.859%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.4115.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)58.858.0116.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.559.5127.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)59.255.6114.8+3.657%-
vs Weaker (7)56.151.7107.9+4.457%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A06/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
37-67
37
67
-30
H10/01
NBA
114.5Avg total
54.7Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.4113.8-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.957.3113.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)56.957.6114.5-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.8114.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)50.463.2113.6-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.760.3110.0-10.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.255.6110.8-0.435%-
vs Weaker (10)60.459.7120.1+0.760%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.0
51.5%
54.4%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.713.0
37.5%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws27.922.0
78.9%
78.2%22.0
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.427.2
50.9%
54.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.613.2
38.2%
36.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.620.1
75.6%
78.2%20.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWLLWWWW
Orlando Magic
LWWLLLWLWW
#18
League position
#14
+0.8
Net rating
-2.1
113.0
Offensive rating
110.0
112.2
Defensive rating
112.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.5%
3-point %
38.2%
65.1%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 110.0Defence112.2 · 112.1Shooting53.4% · 53.4%3-point %37.5% · 38.2%Ball care12.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds23.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder120-128
09/01/24HHouston Rockets120-113
06/01/24APhoenix Suns97-113
04/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-96
02/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers104-121
30/12/23AUtah Jazz109-117
29/12/23AGolden State Warriors114-102
26/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers119-113
23/12/23HAtlanta Hawks122-113
21/12/23AOrlando Magic115-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves92-113
07/01/24HAtlanta Hawks117-110 OT
06/01/24ADenver Nuggets122-120
04/01/24ASacramento Kings135-138 OT
03/01/24AGolden State Warriors115-121
01/01/24APhoenix Suns107-112
30/12/23HNew York Knicks117-108
28/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers92-112
27/12/23AWashington Wizards127-119
24/12/23AIndiana Pacers117-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeLWWWL59%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %57%59%55%
Points / game112.9117.1109.2
Allowed / game112.1116.9107.9
Point differential+0.8+0.2+1.4
Avg total224.9234.1217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLLWWL72%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %57%72%42%
Points / game113.3115.7111.1
Allowed / game112.0108.2115.5
Point differential+1.3+7.4-4.5
Avg total225.3223.9226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %5%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3729878%121.1111.3+9.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder37261170%122.8113.7+9.1
3 Minnesota Timberwolves37261170%113.1107.8+5.4
4 Milwaukee Bucks36251169%123.9119.1+4.8
5 Denver Nuggets39261367%115.9111.0+4.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers37241365%119.6111.5+8.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers37241365%117.4111.8+5.6
8 Sacramento Kings37231462%117.6116.8+0.8
9 New Orleans Pelicans36221461%116.9110.7+6.2
10 New York Knicks37221559%115.7111.2+4.5
11 Cleveland Cavaliers37221559%113.2111.3+1.9
12 Dallas Mavericks39231659%118.8117.1+1.7
13 Indiana Pacers36211558%126.7123.8+2.8
14 Orlando Magic37211657%113.3112.0+1.3
15 Miami Heat37211657%112.9112.1+0.8
16 Phoenix Suns37201754%115.9114.5+1.4
17 Houston Rockets37191851%112.6110.5+2.1
18 Utah Jazz39192049%115.3118.5-3.2
19 Chicago Bulls39182146%109.7111.7-2.0
20 Golden State Warriors37172046%116.8117.6-0.8
21 Los Angeles Lakers37172046%113.5116.4-2.9
22 Brooklyn Nets38162242%114.6116.4-1.8
23 Atlanta Hawks37152241%122.3124.0-1.8
24 Toronto Raptors38152339%115.6116.4-0.8
25 Memphis Grizzlies37142338%108.1113.2-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers37102727%107.4116.8-9.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3582723%109.2120.1-10.9
28 San Antonio Spurs3663017%111.9122.3-10.4
29 Washington Wizards3763116%115.2125.9-10.8
30 Detroit Pistons393368%111.3122.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3026192499
Orlando Magic2233182396
← all games of the day
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