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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 110-119
26-24 33-41 24-29 27-25
Position#6
Record24-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game117.4
vs
Position#1
Record33-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
132-122
132
122
+10
127avg 108
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
90-127
90
127
-37
78avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
126-97
126
97
+29
118avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
139-103
139
103
+36
143avg 108
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-108
115
108
+7
99avg 108
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-120
103
120
-17
88avg 108
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
128-124
128
124
+4
119avg 108
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
108-118
108
118
-10
98avg 108
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-120
125
120
+5
116avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
110-127
110
127
-17
102avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
29-28
38-35
31-33
26-37
29-25
24-31
11-34
35-25
43-22
24-27
24-23
38-26
24-27
40-16
37-34
30-29
30-27
31-26
24-26
22-29
31-39
30-35
20-17
44-26
30-29
27-31
27-38
20-29
34-20
27-39
27-30
33-17
26-42
33-40
33-21
26-32
27-23
27-42
30-30
234.2Avg total
117.6Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)118.5117.4235.9+1.157%
Season at home (22)120.7116.2236.9+4.559%
Season away (20)116.0118.7234.7-2.655%
Last 10 (10)117.6116.6234.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)114.8121.8236.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)120.0126.0246.0-6.00%
vs Similar (19)113.5119.2232.6-5.742%
vs Weaker (10)121.9111.6233.5+10.370%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-97
126
97
+29
121avg 111
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-101
118
101
+17
116avg 111
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
131-133
131
133
-2
122avg 111
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
117avg 111
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
102-135
102
135
-33
81avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
145-113
145
113
+32
140avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
105-96
105
96
+9
100avg 111
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-98
117
98
+19
112avg 111
H18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 111
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
116-107
116
107
+9
112avg 111
A22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
41-25
36-35
19-22
29-17
29-32
26-32
34-20
34-33
34-26
33-44
30-30
32-27
22-26
25-32
32-26
23-41
15-34
32-36
32-24
35-31
34-27
43-28
33-27
29-25
32-30
23-20
21-21
30-25
40-20
24-33
23-20
32-31
29-24
21-26
18-21
35-25
35-30
20-25
26-27
228.9Avg total
118.7Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)120.5110.4230.9+10.279%
Season at home (21)122.9108.1231.0+14.895%
Season away (21)118.1112.6230.8+5.562%
Last 10 (10)118.7110.2228.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)116.6103.2219.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.3111.6232.9+9.779%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A18/01
NBA
116.9Avg total
61.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.958.1119.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.458.6121.0+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)58.957.4116.3+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)61.155.8116.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)58.657.2115.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (19)59.057.4116.4+1.653%-
vs Weaker (10)65.058.0123.0+7.070%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H18/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A22/01
NBA
116.4Avg total
62.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.355.8119.1+7.687%-
Last 30 at home (16)64.854.9119.7+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)61.656.8118.4+4.993%-
Last 10 (10)62.054.4116.4+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)66.253.6119.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)63.455.7119.1+7.786%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.3
56.2%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.014.2
37.4%
36.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.818.4
77.3%
78.2%18.4
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.324.5
50.7%
54.4%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.216.7
39.6%
36.3%50.1
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
78.2%19.6
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWLWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WLWWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+8.3
115.4
Offensive rating
116.2
114.4
Defensive rating
107.9
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.2%
Turnover %
10.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
39.6%
59.5%
Assist %
58.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 116.2Defence114.4 · 107.9Shooting56.1% · 54.8%3-point %37.4% · 39.6%Ball care12.2% · 10.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-127
15/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-120
14/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans108-118
12/01/24HNew York Knicks128-124
10/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies103-120
08/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves115-108
06/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers139-103
04/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers126-97
02/01/24AUtah Jazz90-127
31/12/23AGolden State Warriors132-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24AHouston Rockets116-107
20/01/24HDenver Nuggets100-102
18/01/24HSan Antonio Spurs117-98
16/01/24AToronto Raptors105-96
14/01/24HHouston Rockets145-113
12/01/24AMilwaukee Bucks102-135
11/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves127-120 OT
09/01/24AIndiana Pacers131-133
07/01/24AIndiana Pacers118-101
06/01/24HUtah Jazz126-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayWLWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %57%59%55%
Points / game118.5120.7116.0
Allowed / game117.4116.2118.7
Point differential+1.1+4.5-2.6
Avg total235.9236.9234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%23%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWL95%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %79%95%62%
Points / game120.5122.9118.1
Allowed / game110.4108.1112.6
Point differential+10.2+14.8+5.5
Avg total230.9231.0230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %12%10%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4233979%120.5110.4+10.2
2 Milwaukee Bucks41291271%124.2120.2+3.9
3 Minnesota Timberwolves43301370%113.4107.8+5.6
4 Philadelphia 76ers42291369%119.8111.5+8.3
5 Oklahoma City Thunder42291369%121.7113.7+8.1
6 Denver Nuggets44301468%115.9110.9+5.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%117.8112.0+5.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers41261563%114.0109.7+4.3
9 New York Knicks42261662%115.0109.7+5.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans41241759%117.1111.7+5.4
11 Phoenix Suns41241759%116.4114.4+2.0
12 Sacramento Kings40231757%118.3117.8+0.5
13 Dallas Mavericks42241857%118.5117.4+1.1
14 Miami Heat43241956%110.9110.7+0.2
15 Indiana Pacers41221954%125.0123.5+1.5
16 Orlando Magic44232152%111.4111.2+0.3
17 Utah Jazz44222250%117.3118.7-1.5
18 Chicago Bulls44212348%110.6112.0-1.4
19 Houston Rockets42202248%112.5112.1+0.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers42202248%114.5116.5-2.0
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks42182443%120.0122.5-2.4
23 Brooklyn Nets42172540%114.2115.8-1.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies43162737%107.8113.3-5.5
25 Toronto Raptors44162836%114.3116.4-2.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers42123029%107.5117.1-9.5
27 Charlotte Hornets41103124%108.8119.9-11.1
28 San Antonio Spurs4383519%112.8121.7-9.0
29 Washington Wizards4273517%115.4124.9-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons434399%112.4123.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks26332427110
Boston Celtics24412925119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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