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Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 109-132
34-25 24-32 20-43 31-32
Position#6
Record24-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game117.4
vs
Position#9
Record25-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Phoenix Suns
08 Jan 2027
DAL v PHX
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
DAL v PHX
upcoming
12 Nov 2025
DAL114
PHX123
09 Mar 2025
DAL116
PHX125
08 Nov 2024
DAL113
PHX114
22 Feb 2024
DAL123
PHX113
24 Jan 2024
DAL109
PHX132
05 Mar 2023
DAL126
PHX130
05 Dec 2022
DAL130
PHX111
12 May 2022
DAL113
PHX86
08 May 2022
DAL111
PHX101
06 May 2022
DAL103
PHX94
20 Jan 2022
DAL101
PHX109
01 Feb 2021
DAL108
PHX109
30 Jan 2021
DAL105
PHX111
28 Jan 2020
DAL104
PHX133
09 Apr 2019
DAL120
PHX109
09 Jan 2019
DAL104
PHX94
10 Apr 2018
DAL97
PHX124
18 Dec 2017
DAL91
PHX97
11 Mar 2017
DAL98
PHX100
05 Jan 2017
DAL95
PHX102
31 Jan 2016
DAL91
PHX78
14 Dec 2015
DAL104
PHX94
08 Apr 2015
DAL107
PHX104
05 Dec 2014
DAL106
PHX118
12 Apr 2014
DAL101
PHX98
10 Apr 2013
DAL91
PHX102
27 Jan 2013
DAL110
PHX95
23 Jan 2012
DAL93
PHX87
04 Jan 2012
DAL98
PHX89
10 Apr 2011
DAL115
PHX90
17 Dec 2010
DAL106
PHX91
17 Feb 2010
DAL107
PHX97
08 Dec 2009
DAL102
PHX101
05 Apr 2009
DAL140
PHX116
04 Dec 2008
DAL112
PHX97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
L
90-127
90
127
-37
78avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
126-97
126
97
+29
118avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
139-103
139
103
+36
143avg 108
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-108
115
108
+7
99avg 108
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-120
103
120
-17
88avg 108
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
128-124
128
124
+4
119avg 108
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
108-118
108
118
-10
98avg 108
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-120
125
120
+5
116avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
110-127
110
127
-17
102avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
110-119
110
119
-9
98avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
29-25
24-31
11-34
35-25
43-22
24-27
24-23
38-26
24-27
40-16
37-34
30-29
30-27
31-26
24-26
22-29
31-39
30-35
20-17
44-26
30-29
27-31
27-38
20-29
34-20
27-39
27-30
33-17
26-42
33-40
33-21
26-32
27-23
27-42
30-30
26-24
33-41
24-29
27-25
231.7Avg total
115.4Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)118.3117.4235.7+0.956%
Season at home (23)120.2116.3236.6+3.957%
Season away (20)116.0118.7234.7-2.655%
Last 10 (10)115.4116.3231.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)116.2121.6237.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0122.5237.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)112.8118.4231.3-5.644%
vs Weaker (10)121.9111.6233.5+10.370%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
122-131
122
131
-9
114avg 109
H04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-97
113
97
+16
110avg 109
H06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
115-121
115
121
-6
104avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-138
111
138
-27
95avg 109
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-109
127
109
+18
119avg 109
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
127-116
127
116
+11
130avg 109
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
119-117
119
117
+2
121avg 109
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
123-109
123
109
+14
121avg 109
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-110
117
110
+7
117avg 109
H22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
115-113
115
113
+2
113avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
31-35
40-37
31-24
33-29
29-26
32-20
19-22
32-26
31-32
34-28
18-35
31-34
32-37
28-30
20-37
36-25
30-27
39-26
22-31
31-33
40-28
35-31
21-24
27-39
24-29
33-28
35-21
41-28
28-24
31-28
23-29
33-25
32-36
26-22
26-27
22-37
27-29
34-24
32-23
235.0Avg total
118.9Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)116.4114.4230.8+2.060%
Season at home (25)116.9114.9231.8+2.056%
Season away (17)115.7113.5229.2+2.265%
Last 10 (10)118.9116.1235.0+2.870%
Last 5 (5)120.2113.0233.2+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)116.9117.1234.0-0.261%
vs Weaker (12)116.9110.9227.8+6.067%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H23/01
NBA
117.6Avg total
60.7Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.958.2119.2+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.258.9121.2+3.361%-
Last 30 away (12)59.057.2116.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)60.756.9117.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.856.6116.4+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.568.5126.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)59.157.2116.3+1.856%-
vs Weaker (10)65.058.0123.0+7.070%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
51-70
51
70
-19
H04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H17/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A20/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H23/01
NBA
122.4Avg total
61.0Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.0117.9+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (19)57.858.7116.5-0.853%-
Last 30 away (11)63.456.9120.3+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)61.061.4122.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)61.061.6122.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)60.859.9120.7+0.856%-
vs Weaker (12)58.555.2113.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.9
54.4%
54.4%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.014.0
36.8%
36.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws23.017.6
76.5%
78.2%17.6
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.731.3
59.4%
54.4%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.8
38.6%
36.3%38.4
🏀 Free throws22.017.9
81.4%
78.2%17.9
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLWLWWWL
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#9
-0.9
Net rating
+2.8
113.1
Offensive rating
119.2
114.0
Defensive rating
116.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.3%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
38.6%
60.1%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 119.2Defence114.0 · 116.4Shooting54.8% · 58.8%3-point %36.8% · 38.6%Ball care12.3% · 12.3%Off. rebounds22.6% · 22.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
3
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HBoston Celtics110-119
18/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-127
15/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-120
14/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans108-118
12/01/24HNew York Knicks128-124
10/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies103-120
08/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves115-108
06/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers139-103
04/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers126-97
02/01/24AUtah Jazz90-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HChicago Bulls115-113
22/01/24HIndiana Pacers117-110
20/01/24ANew Orleans Pelicans123-109
17/01/24HSacramento Kings119-117
15/01/24APortland Trail Blazers127-116
12/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-109
09/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers111-138
08/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies115-121
06/01/24HMiami Heat113-97
04/01/24HLos Angeles Clippers122-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWLWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432320
Win %56%57%55%
Points / game118.3120.2116.0
Allowed / game117.4116.3118.7
Point differential+0.9+3.9-2.6
Avg total235.7236.6234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%22%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422517
Win %60%56%65%
Points / game116.4116.9115.7
Allowed / game114.4114.9113.5
Point differential+2.0+2.0+2.2
Avg total230.8231.8229.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%24%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)62% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4334979%120.5110.3+10.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks42301271%124.2120.1+4.1
3 Minnesota Timberwolves44311370%113.5107.8+5.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder43301370%121.5113.6+7.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers42291369%119.8111.5+8.3
6 Denver Nuggets45311469%115.9110.9+5.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers42281467%118.0112.1+5.9
8 New York Knicks43271663%114.8109.6+5.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers42261662%114.0110.1+4.0
10 New Orleans Pelicans42251760%118.0112.0+6.0
11 Phoenix Suns42251760%116.4114.4+2.0
12 Sacramento Kings41241759%118.4117.5+0.9
13 Dallas Mavericks43241956%118.3117.4+0.9
14 Miami Heat44242055%110.5110.5-0.0
15 Indiana Pacers42222052%124.6123.3+1.4
16 Orlando Magic44232152%111.4111.2+0.3
17 Utah Jazz45222349%117.4119.5-2.1
18 Chicago Bulls45212447%110.6112.1-1.4
19 Houston Rockets43202347%112.9112.7+0.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers43202347%114.6116.8-2.2
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks43182542%119.7122.4-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets43172640%113.9115.6-1.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies44172739%107.8112.9-5.1
25 Toronto Raptors44162836%114.3116.4-2.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers44133130%108.2117.3-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets42103224%108.7119.8-11.0
28 San Antonio Spurs4383519%112.8121.7-9.0
29 Washington Wizards4373616%115.2124.7-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons4453911%112.5122.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks34242031109
Phoenix Suns25324332132
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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