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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-108
30-29 30-27 31-26 24-26
Position#6
Record21-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game117.0
Dallas Mavericks 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
Position#4
Record25-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-120
111
120
-9
94avg 108
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
96-122
96
122
-26
73avg 108
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
144-119
144
119
+25
137avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-114
128
114
+14
123avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
110-113
110
113
-3
96avg 108
H28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
110-118
110
118
-8
102avg 108
A29/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
132-122
132
122
+10
127avg 108
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
90-127
90
127
-37
78avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
126-97
126
97
+29
118avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
139-103
139
103
+36
143avg 108
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
34-32
27-18
28-35
17-23
22-33
21-33
36-33
40-29
32-37
45-20
27-33
36-24
28-30
27-38
37-22
39-27
30-27
21-28
20-31
26-37
30-24
35-37
19-20
34-26
29-28
38-35
31-33
26-37
29-25
24-31
11-34
35-25
43-22
24-27
24-23
38-26
24-27
40-16
37-34
234.1Avg total
118.6Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)119.1117.0236.1+2.158%
Season at home (17)122.1115.7237.8+6.459%
Season away (19)116.4118.2234.6-1.858%
Last 10 (10)118.6115.5234.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)119.4113.4232.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0126.0246.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.4119.4234.8-4.144%
vs Weaker (11)123.8112.7236.5+11.173%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-127
113
127
-14
106avg 108
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
98avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
118-110
118
110
+8
113avg 108
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
108avg 108
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
95avg 108
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
106-117
106
117
-11
94avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
125avg 108
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
32-33
23-17
35-25
24-28
36-36
27-26
26-37
36-32
27-27
24-24
31-28
28-20
31-27
22-23
29-28
35-40
25-26
31-36
15-27
37-26
24-30
37-35
20-19
29-31
32-26
21-20
26-29
32-23
17-38
29-33
28-18
24-27
22-32
25-33
35-25
32-24
24-22
28-26
38-23
223.2Avg total
111.9Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)113.1107.4220.5+5.674%
Season at home (16)112.6102.9215.5+9.688%
Season away (18)113.6111.4225.0+2.161%
Last 10 (10)111.9111.3223.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)112.0108.0220.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)114.0109.0223.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)113.4112.1225.5+1.462%
vs Weaker (13)114.8103.7218.5+11.292%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A29/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A02/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H06/01
NBA
118.8Avg total
61.4Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.858.5120.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.058.7122.7+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)59.958.2118.1+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)61.457.4118.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)62.855.4118.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)59.658.7118.3+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)66.056.8122.8+9.273%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/01
NBA
115.0Avg total
56.9Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.756.7113.4+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.755.1111.8+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)56.858.1114.9-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)56.958.1115.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.8110.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.658.8115.3-2.238%-
vs Weaker (13)57.354.3111.6+3.077%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.529.3
55.8%
54.4%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.1
36.2%
36.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
78.2%17.7
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.9
55.7%
54.4%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.912.0
38.8%
36.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.820.1
81.0%
78.2%20.1
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWLLWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
+3.0
Net rating
+0.6
113.4
Offensive rating
112.0
110.4
Defensive rating
111.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.2%
3-point %
38.8%
59.4%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 112.0Defence110.4 · 111.4Shooting55.1% · 56.7%3-point %36.2% · 38.8%Ball care11.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds20.7% · 20.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks118-110
15/12/23Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves101-119
14/02/23Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves121-124
22/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks99-104
20/12/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks116-106
26/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks116-95
22/03/22Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves110-108
22/12/21Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves114-102
20/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks111-105
17/05/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks136-121
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers139-103
04/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers126-97
02/01/24AUtah Jazz90-127
31/12/23AGolden State Warriors132-122
29/12/23AMinnesota Timberwolves110-118
28/12/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-113
26/12/23APhoenix Suns128-114
24/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs144-119
23/12/23AHouston Rockets96-122
21/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-120
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AHouston Rockets122-95
04/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans106-117
01/01/24ANew York Knicks106-112
31/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
29/12/23HDallas Mavericks118-110
27/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder106-129
24/12/23ASacramento Kings110-98
22/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers118-111
21/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers113-127
19/12/23AMiami Heat112-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLWLWW59%
AwayLWLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %58%59%58%
Points / game119.1122.1116.4
Allowed / game117.0115.7118.2
Point differential+2.1+6.4-1.8
Avg total236.1237.8234.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW74%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWLLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %74%88%61%
Points / game113.1112.6113.6
Allowed / game107.4102.9111.4
Point differential+5.6+9.6+2.1
Avg total220.5215.5225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3428682%121.1109.7+11.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3425974%113.1107.4+5.6
3 Milwaukee Bucks34241071%123.8119.2+4.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%115.7110.6+5.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers35231266%119.5111.3+8.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%117.0111.7+5.3
8 Sacramento Kings34211362%117.8117.7+0.1
9 New Orleans Pelicans35211460%116.2110.9+5.4
10 New York Knicks35211460%115.6111.5+4.1
11 Dallas Mavericks36211558%119.1117.0+2.1
12 Orlando Magic36211558%113.9111.9+1.9
13 Cleveland Cavaliers36211558%113.2111.5+1.7
14 Miami Heat35201557%112.5111.6+0.9
15 Phoenix Suns34191556%115.7113.8+1.9
16 Indiana Pacers33181555%126.9124.7+2.2
17 Houston Rockets34181653%112.5109.9+2.6
18 Golden State Warriors35171849%117.1116.5+0.6
19 Utah Jazz37172046%114.6118.7-4.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers34151944%113.4116.1-2.7
21 Brooklyn Nets37162143%114.9116.6-1.6
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%109.1111.5-2.4
23 Toronto Raptors35142140%114.5115.6-1.1
24 Atlanta Hawks35142140%122.2123.7-1.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies35122334%107.4113.4-6.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers35102529%109.0116.3-7.4
27 Charlotte Hornets3382524%109.5120.1-10.6
28 Washington Wizards3562917%115.1126.1-10.9
29 San Antonio Spurs3553014%111.3122.7-11.4
30 Detroit Pistons353329%111.4122.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks30303124115
Minnesota Timberwolves29272626108
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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