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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 114-115
22-17 31-38 29-31 32-29
Position#17
Record23-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#7
Record22-21
FormWLWLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 106
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
122-134
122
134
-12
114avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
104-119
104
119
-15
92avg 106
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-97
118
97
+21
116avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 106
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
101-112
101
112
-11
90avg 106
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
99-118
99
118
-19
82avg 106
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
109avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
106-98
106
98
+8
105avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
105-110
105
110
-5
96avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
22-37
23-28
24-21
21-32
32-37
32-31
37-34
36-26
19-30
25-31
24-32
24-27
31-23
34-26
29-21
20-28
33-30
28-31
36-22
32-17
29-41
28-21
12-33
21-36
24-35
22-20
32-27
27-33
34-30
30-24
25-32
22-26
41-17
14-33
29-22
27-24
28-31
28-27
22-28
221.5Avg total
108.7Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)115.4111.6227.1+3.855%
Season at home (21)114.0107.8221.7+6.262%
Season away (21)116.9115.5232.4+1.448%
Last 10 (10)108.7112.8221.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)105.4111.4216.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)110.9113.0223.9-2.150%
vs Similar (14)118.7115.4234.1+3.464%
vs Weaker (5)119.2103.0222.2+16.260%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
105-119
105
119
-14
91avg 105
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 105
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
99avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
104-89
104
89
+15
95avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
125-127
125
127
-2
130avg 105
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-106
120
106
+14
116avg 105
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
115-116
115
116
-1
102avg 105
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
116-99
116
99
+17
115avg 105
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-108
106
108
-2
96avg 105
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
15-22
38-41
24-23
16-27
30-26
31-23
31-30
34-33
20-21
29-21
21-22
29-18
23-21
26-23
26-27
33-35
32-29
38-35
22-28
25-20
26-27
31-32
38-27
12-34
30-21
36-32
37-29
28-21
35-38
18-19
35-21
32-29
28-31
19-29
38-35
28-21
26-22
22-28
30-37
221.1Avg total
112.0Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)110.0108.0218.0+2.051%
Season at home (20)110.8109.1219.9+1.750%
Season away (23)109.3107.1216.3+2.252%
Last 10 (10)112.0109.1221.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)114.8110.6225.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.5115.5226.0-5.00%
vs Similar (16)108.1105.8213.9+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)108.4105.2213.6+3.270%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
45-71
45
71
-26
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/01
NBA
113.7Avg total
55.3Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.7114.2+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.253.5108.7+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)61.157.4118.4+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)55.358.4113.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.0115.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.252.9108.1+2.350%-
vs Similar (14)60.558.3118.8+2.264%-
vs Weaker (5)60.653.6114.2+7.060%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/01
NBA
105.9Avg total
53.0Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.151.5104.6+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.956.2108.1-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)54.147.4101.5+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)53.052.9105.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)54.052.8106.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.855.8109.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (16)52.351.4103.8+0.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)54.049.9103.9+4.160%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.528.0
53.3%
54.3%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.9
34.0%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
77.8%17.0
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.6
50.6%
54.3%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.415.8
40.1%
35.9%47.4
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
77.8%17.4
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLLWWLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWLWWWL
#17
League position
#7
-4.1
Net rating
+2.9
108.1
Offensive rating
113.9
112.2
Defensive rating
111.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
40.1%
63.4%
Assist %
61.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 113.9Defence112.2 · 111.0Shooting52.4% · 55.0%3-point %34.0% · 40.1%Ball care14.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds24.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ACharlotte Hornets105-110
18/01/25HOklahoma City Thunder106-98
16/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans116-119
15/01/25HDenver Nuggets99-118
12/01/25HDenver Nuggets101-112
10/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers117-111
08/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers118-97
07/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-119
04/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers122-134
02/01/25AHouston Rockets99-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
19/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-124
18/01/25ANew York Knicks116-99
16/01/25HGolden State Warriors115-116
14/01/25AWashington Wizards120-106
12/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-127
10/01/25AOrlando Magic104-89
08/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans104-97
07/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers108-106
05/01/25ADetroit Pistons105-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %55%62%48%
Points / game115.4114.0116.9
Allowed / game111.6107.8115.5
Point differential+3.8+6.2+1.4
Avg total227.1221.7232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)50% (2)22% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL51%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWWWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %51%50%52%
Points / game110.0110.8109.3
Allowed / game108.0109.1107.1
Point differential+2.0+1.7+2.2
Avg total218.0219.9216.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)56% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4236686%122.0111.6+10.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4033782%116.5103.8+12.7
3 Boston Celtics43301370%117.7108.1+9.6
4 Houston Rockets40271368%114.8108.2+6.6
5 New York Knicks44291566%117.0110.8+6.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies43281565%123.1114.9+8.2
7 Denver Nuggets43271663%120.7115.4+5.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers42241857%109.5106.6+2.8
9 Milwaukee Bucks39221756%114.1111.4+2.7
10 Los Angeles Lakers41231856%111.2113.2-2.0
11 Indiana Pacers43241956%115.2114.6+0.6
12 Dallas Mavericks42231955%115.4111.6+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks40211952%117.7119.7-2.1
14 Sacramento Kings42222052%116.7113.9+2.8
15 Orlando Magic44232152%103.8104.2-0.4
16 Golden State Warriors41212051%111.3111.7-0.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves43222151%110.0108.0+2.0
18 Detroit Pistons43222151%112.2113.1-1.0
19 Miami Heat42212150%111.1110.1+1.0
20 Phoenix Suns42212150%112.7114.4-1.7
21 San Antonio Spurs41192246%111.6113.0-1.4
22 Chicago Bulls44192543%117.1120.0-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers42152736%107.5112.4-4.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers43152835%108.1116.5-8.4
25 Brooklyn Nets44143032%106.4113.7-7.3
26 Charlotte Hornets39112828%107.1112.5-5.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans44123227%109.2117.2-8.0
28 Toronto Raptors43113226%110.9117.9-7.0
29 Utah Jazz41103124%111.4118.2-6.8
30 Washington Wizards4263614%108.1122.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks22312932114
Minnesota Timberwolves17383129115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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