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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 107-122
29-25 20-34 27-37 31-26
Position#17
Record24-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#3
Record31-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game108.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
104-119
104
119
-15
92avg 107
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-97
118
97
+21
116avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
117-111
117
111
+6
115avg 107
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
101-112
101
112
-11
90avg 107
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
99-118
99
118
-19
82avg 107
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-119
116
119
-3
109avg 107
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
106-98
106
98
+8
105avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
105-110
105
110
-5
96avg 107
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
114-115
114
115
-1
104avg 107
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-115
121
115
+6
121avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
19-30
25-31
24-32
24-27
31-23
34-26
29-21
20-28
33-30
28-31
36-22
32-17
29-41
28-21
12-33
21-36
24-35
22-20
32-27
27-33
34-30
30-24
25-32
22-26
41-17
14-33
29-22
27-24
28-31
28-27
22-28
22-17
31-38
29-31
32-29
33-34
27-28
31-21
30-32
221.5Avg total
110.1Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)115.5111.8227.3+3.755%
Season at home (22)114.0108.1222.0+5.959%
Season away (22)117.1115.5232.6+1.650%
Last 10 (10)110.1111.4221.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)112.4111.4223.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)111.2112.8224.0-1.645%
vs Similar (14)118.7115.4234.1+3.464%
vs Weaker (4)116.0106.0222.0+10.050%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
92-105
92
105
-13
80avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
118-106
118
106
+12
115avg 110
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
97-114
97
114
-17
87avg 110
H11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
120-119
120
119
+1
109avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
97-110
97
110
-13
83avg 110
A16/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
121-94
121
94
+27
119avg 110
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
100avg 110
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
125-85
125
85
+40
128avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
102avg 110
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
96-117
96
117
-21
81avg 110
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
30-23
15-21
12-29
37-25
20-32
31-26
30-23
27-34
28-19
21-23
21-38
29-35
33-26
28-27
30-31
29-25
24-30
29-33
15-22
35-28
31-26
30-22
25-18
33-21
15-31
30-21
26-31
29-18
25-21
43-24
28-22
33-34
27-25
21-25
22-19
23-34
25-33
20-16
28-34
218.0Avg total
109.8Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)117.2108.4225.6+8.869%
Season at home (23)118.0109.3227.4+8.765%
Season away (22)116.3107.4223.6+8.973%
Last 10 (10)109.8108.2218.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)114.8105.6220.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)101.5110.0211.5-8.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)116.0106.4222.4+9.568%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H08/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
45-71
45
71
-26
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H23/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A24/01
NBA
113.2Avg total
56.1Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.055.9113.9+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.553.8108.2+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)60.757.6118.3+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)56.157.1113.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.6114.0+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)54.553.5107.9+1.036%-
vs Similar (14)60.558.3118.8+2.264%-
vs Weaker (4)60.054.2114.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A05/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H12/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A16/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A24/01
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.753.8112.5+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.253.5112.7+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)58.254.1112.3+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)56.855.2112.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)55.254.2109.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.053.0110.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)58.953.8112.7+5.064%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.628.2
53.6%
54.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.8
34.9%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.418.3
78.2%
77.8%18.3
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.0
53.6%
54.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.014.6
33.2%
35.9%43.8
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
77.8%16.0
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWLLLWWL
Boston Celtics
LWWLWLWLWL
#17
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+1.6
109.9
Offensive rating
110.5
111.2
Defensive rating
108.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.1%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.9%
3-point %
33.2%
63.5%
Assist %
61.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 110.5Defence111.2 · 108.9Shooting53.1% · 51.8%3-point %34.9% · 33.2%Ball care14.1% · 12.1%Off. rebounds23.3% · 25.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-115
23/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-115
20/01/25ACharlotte Hornets105-110
18/01/25HOklahoma City Thunder106-98
16/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans116-119
15/01/25HDenver Nuggets99-118
12/01/25HDenver Nuggets101-112
10/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers117-111
08/01/25HLos Angeles Lakers118-97
07/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25ALos Angeles Lakers96-117
23/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-113 OT
20/01/25AGolden State Warriors125-85
19/01/25HAtlanta Hawks115-119 OT
18/01/25HOrlando Magic121-94
16/01/25AToronto Raptors97-110
12/01/25HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
11/01/25HSacramento Kings97-114
08/01/25ADenver Nuggets118-106
05/01/25AOklahoma City Thunder92-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWLLWL59%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %55%59%50%
Points / game115.5114.0117.1
Allowed / game111.8108.1115.5
Point differential+3.7+5.9+1.6
Avg total227.3222.0232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%41%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)33% (3)22% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWLWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %69%65%73%
Points / game117.2118.0116.3
Allowed / game108.4109.3107.4
Point differential+8.8+8.7+8.9
Avg total225.6227.4223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%39%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)62% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %11%13%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4436882%121.8112.0+9.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4234881%116.6104.5+12.2
3 Boston Celtics45311469%117.2108.4+8.8
4 Houston Rockets41281368%114.7108.2+6.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies45301567%123.6115.3+8.4
6 New York Knicks44291566%117.0110.8+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets45281762%120.6116.0+4.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks40231757%114.4111.0+3.4
9 Los Angeles Lakers42241857%111.4112.8-1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers44251957%109.6106.6+3.0
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks44242055%115.5111.8+3.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves45242153%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Sacramento Kings44232152%117.0114.4+2.6
15 Detroit Pistons44232152%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Golden State Warriors43222151%111.9111.8+0.1
17 Phoenix Suns43222151%112.6113.7-1.1
18 Orlando Magic45232251%103.3104.1-0.8
19 Atlanta Hawks42212150%117.4119.6-2.3
20 Miami Heat43212249%110.8110.5+0.3
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls45192642%116.9120.2-3.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers45172838%107.8115.2-7.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers43162737%108.1112.7-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets45143131%105.9113.6-7.7
26 Toronto Raptors44123227%111.2118.0-6.8
27 Charlotte Hornets41113027%107.2112.7-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans45123327%109.6117.7-8.1
29 Utah Jazz42103224%111.5118.3-6.8
30 Washington Wizards4363714%107.7122.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks29202731107
Boston Celtics25343726122
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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