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Darussafaka vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-72
21-26 25-8 22-18 15-20
Position#31
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#26
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Volkswagen Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Darussafaka v Ludwigsburg
10 Jan 2024
DAR83
LUD72
02 Nov 2022
DAR70
LUD90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Tofas
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
71avg 70
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
78avg 70
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
86-97
86
97
-11
79avg 70
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 70
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
68avg 70
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 70
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
42avg 70
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 70
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
63-82
63
82
-19
49avg 70
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 70
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-13
19-23
22-27
24-20
23-22
23-21
11-20
14-25
25-20
19-26
28-26
34-21
15-24
20-23
18-21
21-22
22-28
16-29
19-33
22-17
19-24
21-23
25-17
14-29
15-22
12-25
15-22
22-26
17-17
16-19
23-23
17-20
16-20
12-25
18-17
25-29
20-19
16-18
25-18
167.1Avg total
77.8Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.783.1161.9-4.443%
Season at home (3)85.085.3170.3-0.367%
Season away (4)74.081.5155.5-7.525%
Last 10 (10)77.889.3167.1-11.520%
Last 5 (5)74.086.0160.0-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.485.2162.6-7.944%
vs Similar (13)85.086.2171.2-1.238%
vs Weaker (1)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
104-76
104
76
+28
109avg 75
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 75
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 75
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 75
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 75
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 75
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
102avg 75
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
99avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
82-63
82
63
+19
72avg 75
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
50avg 75
A06/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
37-18
23-12
27-18
20-21
14-15
23-17
18-19
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
21-18
14-20
22-18
26-23
25-20
26-23
18-19
13-21
31-18
27-15
29-18
17-29
24-31
26-17
24-26
30-20
20-17
20-16
25-12
17-18
16-14
14-24
16-15
20-32
163.1Avg total
83.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.379.0159.3+1.357%
Season at home (4)81.577.2158.8+4.275%
Season away (3)78.781.3160.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)83.879.3163.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.681.0168.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.385.3159.7-11.017%
vs Similar (10)85.777.5163.2+8.270%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.881.2167.9+5.662%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
DarussafakaLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.7Avg total
40.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.984.2-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.442.383.7-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.584.7-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.783.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.682.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.842.981.8-4.125%-
vs Similar (13)43.443.486.8+0.038%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/01
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.383.3+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.780.8-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.682.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.084.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.338.873.2-4.517%-
vs Similar (10)41.738.079.7+3.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.243.787.9+0.554%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.3
47.2%
51.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.5
34.4%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.0
71.9%
74.5%12.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.7
46.1%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
74.5%15.0
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
WLLLWLLLLL
Ludwigsburg
LWWWLWLLWW
#31
League position
#26
-15.4
Net rating
+6.2
105.8
Offensive rating
106.8
121.1
Defensive rating
100.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
33.8%
59.4%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 106.8Defence121.1 · 100.7Shooting49.0% · 48.0%3-point %34.4% · 33.8%Ball care14.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds27.9% · 30.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
2
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
02/01/24Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka82-63
30/11/22Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka63-77
02/11/22Darussafaka v Ludwigsburg70-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HTurk Telekom86-84
02/01/24ALudwigsburg63-82
30/12/23AAnadolu Efes78-85
25/12/23HFenerbahce56-98
19/12/23HVEF Riga87-81
15/12/23APetkim Spor78-112
10/12/23HManisa87-89
05/12/23ACholet86-97
02/12/23AMerkezefendi81-83
26/11/23HTofas76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AChemnitz66-85
02/01/24HDarussafaka82-63
30/12/23HTubingen104-94
27/12/23HOldenburg104-80
23/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
20/12/23HAEK Athens83-79
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
02/12/23AHeidelberg75-72
28/11/23AGottingen104-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game78.785.074.0
Allowed / game83.185.381.5
Point differential-4.4-0.3-7.5
Avg total161.9170.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.381.578.7
Allowed / game79.077.281.3
Point differential+1.3+4.2-2.7
Avg total159.3158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
7 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
8 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
9 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
10 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
11 Promitheas85362%85.677.6+8.0
12 Galatasaray85362%84.981.4+3.5
13 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
14 Cholet106460%80.981.7-0.8
15 Rytas74357%85.980.7+5.1
16 Karsiyaka74357%83.481.7+1.7
17 Ludwigsburg74357%80.379.0+1.3
18 Peristeri74357%81.983.6-1.7
19 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Hapoel Holon84450%75.574.6+0.9
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 Oostende84450%75.480.0-4.6
28 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
29 PAOK84450%75.882.5-6.8
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
32 Breogan73443%78.178.3-0.1
33 Sassari73443%86.087.9-1.9
34 Darussafaka73443%78.783.1-4.4
35 Tofas83538%89.287.8+1.5
36 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
37 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Darussafaka2125221583
Ludwigsburg268182072
← all games of the day
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