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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 07 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#19
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v New Orleans Pelicans
06 Apr 2027
DEN v NOP
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
DEN141
NOP135
29 Oct 2025
DEN122
NOP88
05 Feb 2025
DEN144
NOP119
03 Feb 2025
DEN125
NOP113
20 Jul 2024
DEN91
NOP82
12 Jan 2024
DEN125
NOP113
06 Nov 2023
DEN134
NOP116
30 Mar 2023
DEN88
NOP107
31 Jan 2023
DEN122
NOP113
06 Mar 2022
DEN138
NOP130
04 Feb 2022
DEN105
NOP113
28 Apr 2021
DEN114
NOP112
21 Mar 2021
DEN108
NOP113
25 Dec 2019
DEN100
NOP112
02 Mar 2019
DEN112
NOP120
29 Oct 2018
DEN116
NOP111
15 Dec 2017
DEN117
NOP111
17 Nov 2017
DEN146
NOP114
14 Jul 2017
DEN96
NOP91
07 Apr 2017
DEN122
NOP106
26 Mar 2017
DEN90
NOP115
20 Dec 2015
DEN125
NOP130
01 Mar 2015
DEN92
NOP99
21 Nov 2014
DEN117
NOP97
02 Apr 2014
DEN137
NOP107
15 Dec 2013
DEN102
NOP93
01 Feb 2013
DEN113
NOP98
25 Nov 2012
DEN102
NOP84
09 Mar 2012
DEN110
NOP97
09 Jan 2012
DEN81
NOP94
09 Jan 2011
DEN87
NOP96
18 Mar 2010
DEN93
NOP80
23 Jan 2010
DEN116
NOP110
29 Apr 2009
DEN107
NOP86
22 Apr 2009
DEN108
NOP93
19 Apr 2009
DEN113
NOP84
03 Jan 2009
DEN105
NOP100
27 Nov 2008
DEN101
NOP105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#20
L
97-109
97
109
-12
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
117-106
117
106
+11
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
133-128
133
128
+5
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
110-122
110
122
-12
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
121-106
121
106
+15
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-134
114
134
-20
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
24-31
41-28
30-22
22-25
29-27
30-41
40-26
34-34
24-24
31-34
26-38
29-26
36-22
26-33
26-28
33-23
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Season at home (4)121.2126.5247.8-5.250%
Season away (6)110.5106.8217.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0115.2229.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)126.2123.2249.5+3.075%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.0111.7222.7-0.753%
vs Weaker (11)129.6118.7248.4+10.991%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-132
126
132
-6
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
116-110
116
110
+6
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
118-128
118
128
-10
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
W
107-106
107
106
+1
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
L
120-123
120
123
-3
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
119-120
119
120
-1
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
35-39
31-24
36-35
28-34
24-33
38-26
26-17
36-33
28-40
32-20
22-35
24-18
32-27
19-18
26-34
23-17
33-34
25-19
26-36
31-38
35-18
26-30
28-37
28-31
24-31
38-24
29-34
38-24
35-33
35-32
18-37
18-37
27-20
28-22
18-25
24-30
39-31
39-27
30-32
234.6Avg total
116.5Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)115.4116.6232.0-1.144%
Season at home (4)112.5113.2225.8-0.850%
Season away (5)117.8119.2237.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)116.5118.1234.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)119.4121.6241.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)112.0119.5231.5-7.520%
vs Similar ◀ (11)118.0117.7235.7+0.345%
vs Weaker (4)129.0119.5248.5+9.575%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#20
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.9119.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.261.4122.6-0.235%-
Last 30 away (13)58.955.6114.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)58.259.2117.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.559.8122.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.656.8113.4-0.253%-
vs Weaker (11)64.361.5125.7+2.845%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A07/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A08/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A15/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H17/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#25
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H22/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.8Avg total
58.6Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.360.9119.3-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.758.2116.8+0.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.163.1121.1-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)58.660.2118.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.858.6118.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.362.2117.5-6.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.759.2118.9+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)65.861.0126.8+4.8100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.5
56.0%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.4
32.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.7
73.9%
76.4%20.7
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.833.1
53.6%
54.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.3
32.2%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws31.124.5
78.8%
76.4%24.5
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
New Orleans Pelicans
WLLLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#19
-4.0
Net rating
-1.9
103.4
Offensive rating
105.0
107.4
Defensive rating
106.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
11.0%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
32.2%
68.9%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 105.0Defence107.4 · 106.9Shooting53.4% · 51.8%3-point %32.8% · 32.2%Ball care13.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds11.0% · 38.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
17/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers121-106
15/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers110-122
12/10/26HChicago Bulls133-128
07/10/26AUtah Jazz117-106
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSacramento Kings132-120
29/10/26HDenver Nuggets91-104
25/10/26ADenver Nuggets135-141 OT
24/10/26AUtah Jazz119-120
22/10/26HIndiana Pacers120-123
17/10/26HWashington Wizards107-106
15/10/26ADallas Mavericks101-97
08/10/26AMiami Heat118-128
07/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-110
13/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves126-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.8121.2110.5
Allowed / game114.7126.5106.8
Point differential+0.1-5.2+3.7
Avg total229.5247.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game115.4112.5117.8
Allowed / game116.6113.2119.2
Point differential-1.1-0.8-1.4
Avg total232.0225.8237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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