PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 122-106
30-25 21-25 41-24 30-32
Position#16
Record41-45
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#22
Record34-50
FormLWWLL
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v New Orleans Pelicans
06 Apr 2027
DEN v NOP
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
DEN141
NOP135
29 Oct 2025
DEN122
NOP88
05 Feb 2025
DEN144
NOP119
03 Feb 2025
DEN125
NOP113
20 Jul 2024
DEN91
NOP82
12 Jan 2024
DEN125
NOP113
06 Nov 2023
DEN134
NOP116
30 Mar 2023
DEN88
NOP107
31 Jan 2023
DEN122
NOP113
06 Mar 2022
DEN138
NOP130
04 Feb 2022
DEN105
NOP113
28 Apr 2021
DEN114
NOP112
21 Mar 2021
DEN108
NOP113
25 Dec 2019
DEN100
NOP112
02 Mar 2019
DEN112
NOP120
29 Oct 2018
DEN116
NOP111
15 Dec 2017
DEN117
NOP111
17 Nov 2017
DEN146
NOP114
14 Jul 2017
DEN96
NOP91
07 Apr 2017
DEN122
NOP106
26 Mar 2017
DEN90
NOP115
20 Dec 2015
DEN125
NOP130
01 Mar 2015
DEN92
NOP99
21 Nov 2014
DEN117
NOP97
02 Apr 2014
DEN137
NOP107
15 Dec 2013
DEN102
NOP93
01 Feb 2013
DEN113
NOP98
25 Nov 2012
DEN102
NOP84
09 Mar 2012
DEN110
NOP97
09 Jan 2012
DEN81
NOP94
09 Jan 2011
DEN87
NOP96
18 Mar 2010
DEN93
NOP80
23 Jan 2010
DEN116
NOP110
29 Apr 2009
DEN107
NOP86
22 Apr 2009
DEN108
NOP93
19 Apr 2009
DEN113
NOP84
03 Jan 2009
DEN105
NOP100
27 Nov 2008
DEN101
NOP105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
126-113
126
113
+13
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
90-115
90
115
-25
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
134-131
134
131
+3
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
25-36
25-23
29-26
25-25
232.8Avg total
115.1Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)111.0110.9222.0+0.148%
Season at home (41)113.9110.5224.4+3.454%
Season away (45)108.4111.3219.7-3.042%
Last 10 (10)115.1117.7232.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)116.2119.6235.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4115.0227.4-2.620%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.5113.6228.1+0.955%
vs Weaker (5)114.2102.8217.0+11.480%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
128-112
128
112
+16
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
123-109
123
109
+14
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
107-117
107
117
-10
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
115-90
115
90
+25
A27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
100-108
100
108
-8
A28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
121-118
121
118
+3
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
117-89
117
89
+28
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
110-117
110
117
-7
H02/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
131-134
131
134
-3
H05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
32-27
31-31
29-31
28-34
20-20
40-30
35-25
21-23
13-18
32-13
29-28
33-28
17-21
29-31
28-37
29-26
26-14
32-19
28-31
21-28
30-28
20-25
29-27
27-23
36-28
26-32
32-35
32-19
26-19
26-26
33-25
21-28
26-35
32-24
31-30
31-27
44-42
30-33
26-32
222.3Avg total
114.7Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)104.6106.4211.0-1.940%
Season at home (44)107.5107.3214.8+0.250%
Season away (40)101.3105.5206.8-4.130%
Last 10 (10)114.7107.6222.3+7.160%
Last 5 (5)115.8113.2229.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)99.3108.9208.2-9.610%
vs Similar ◀ (19)109.8104.8214.6+4.963%
vs Weaker (1)105.097.0202.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A06/04
NBA
119.9Avg total
60.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.9115.1+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.953.0112.9+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)58.558.9117.3-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)60.559.4119.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)61.462.8124.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.056.4116.4+3.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)59.557.2116.7+2.240%-
vs Weaker (5)57.250.2107.4+7.080%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H02/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H05/04
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.9Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.952.0104.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.951.1104.0+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)52.952.7105.6+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)54.951.1106.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)58.855.4114.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.951.9102.8-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)53.851.6105.5+2.258%-
vs Weaker (1)55.059.0114.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.333.9
53.6%
50.2%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.6
33.2%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.318.5
83.0%
77.0%18.5
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.031.7
53.7%
50.2%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.4
37.0%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.217.1
80.7%
77.0%17.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLLWWLL
New Orleans Pelicans
LLWWLWLWWW
#16
League position
#22
-2.5
Net rating
+7.0
112.7
Offensive rating
113.8
115.3
Defensive rating
106.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
11.2%
Turnover %
10.5%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
37.0%
62.1%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 113.8Defence115.3 · 106.7Shooting52.4% · 54.3%3-point %33.2% · 37.0%Ball care11.2% · 10.5%Off. rebounds23.2% · 19.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/17AHouston Rockets104-110
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/17HDenver Nuggets131-134
02/04/17HChicago Bulls110-117
01/04/17HSacramento Kings117-89
30/03/17HDallas Mavericks121-118
28/03/17AUtah Jazz100-108
27/03/17ADenver Nuggets115-90
25/03/17AHouston Rockets107-117
22/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-82
19/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-109
18/03/17HHouston Rockets128-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864145
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game111.0113.9108.4
Allowed / game110.9110.5111.3
Point differential+0.1+3.4-3.0
Avg total222.0224.4219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (23)30% (10)54% (13)
Overtime %5%10%0%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844440
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game104.6107.5101.3
Allowed / game106.4107.3105.5
Point differential-1.9+0.2-4.1
Avg total211.0214.8206.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (23)47% (15)50% (8)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors86711583%115.8104.2+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs85652076%105.297.7+7.4
3 Houston Rockets85572867%115.3109.1+6.2
4 Boston Celtics86553164%107.5104.9+2.6
5 Cleveland Cavaliers85533262%109.8106.8+3.0
6 Utah Jazz84513361%100.496.3+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors86523460%106.5102.9+3.6
8 Washington Wizards86523460%109.1106.7+2.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers85513460%107.4104.7+2.7
10 Oklahoma City Thunder82473557%106.6105.5+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies86473955%101.2100.1+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks86464053%102.7103.1-0.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks85434251%103.1103.7-0.6
14 Portland Trail Blazers86434350%107.7108.3-0.7
15 Indiana Pacers85424349%104.8105.4-0.6
16 Chicago Bulls86424449%102.6103.0-0.4
17 Miami Heat87424548%102.9101.6+1.4
18 Denver Nuggets86414548%111.0110.9+0.1
19 Detroit Pistons85394646%100.7101.5-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets86394745%104.3104.2+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves85364942%105.0105.4-0.4
22 New Orleans Pelicans84345040%104.6106.4-1.9
23 Sacramento Kings83335040%102.3106.3-3.9
24 Dallas Mavericks86345240%97.5100.7-3.2
25 New York Knicks86345240%104.6107.9-3.2
26 Philadelphia 76ers86305635%102.0108.1-6.1
27 Orlando Magic86305635%100.9107.1-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns85265931%107.1112.6-5.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers86256129%104.8111.5-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets85206524%105.8112.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30214130122
New Orleans Pelicans25252432106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.