PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-115
26-29 14-26 19-32 31-28
Position#16
Record39-41
FormWLLWW
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Position#22
Record31-47
FormLWWWL
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v New Orleans Pelicans
06 Apr 2027
DEN v NOP
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
DEN141
NOP135
29 Oct 2025
DEN122
NOP88
05 Feb 2025
DEN144
NOP119
03 Feb 2025
DEN125
NOP113
20 Jul 2024
DEN91
NOP82
12 Jan 2024
DEN125
NOP113
06 Nov 2023
DEN134
NOP116
30 Mar 2023
DEN88
NOP107
31 Jan 2023
DEN122
NOP113
06 Mar 2022
DEN138
NOP130
04 Feb 2022
DEN105
NOP113
28 Apr 2021
DEN114
NOP112
21 Mar 2021
DEN108
NOP113
25 Dec 2019
DEN100
NOP112
02 Mar 2019
DEN112
NOP120
29 Oct 2018
DEN116
NOP111
15 Dec 2017
DEN117
NOP111
17 Nov 2017
DEN146
NOP114
14 Jul 2017
DEN96
NOP91
07 Apr 2017
DEN122
NOP106
26 Mar 2017
DEN90
NOP115
20 Dec 2015
DEN125
NOP130
01 Mar 2015
DEN92
NOP99
21 Nov 2014
DEN117
NOP97
02 Apr 2014
DEN137
NOP107
15 Dec 2013
DEN102
NOP93
01 Feb 2013
DEN113
NOP98
25 Nov 2012
DEN102
NOP84
09 Mar 2012
DEN110
NOP97
09 Jan 2012
DEN81
NOP94
09 Jan 2011
DEN87
NOP96
18 Mar 2010
DEN93
NOP80
23 Jan 2010
DEN116
NOP110
29 Apr 2009
DEN107
NOP86
22 Apr 2009
DEN108
NOP93
19 Apr 2009
DEN113
NOP84
03 Jan 2009
DEN105
NOP100
27 Nov 2008
DEN101
NOP105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Orleans Pelicans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
113-123
113
123
-10
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
119-99
119
99
+20
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
129-101
129
101
+28
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
126-113
126
113
+13
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
227.2Avg total
118.3Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)111.0110.3221.3+0.649%
Season at home (40)114.5110.4224.9+4.155%
Season away (40)107.4110.3217.7-2.942%
Last 10 (10)118.3108.9227.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)121.8115.6237.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.5116.2230.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)112.9110.7223.6+2.356%
vs Weaker (8)117.1108.2225.4+8.975%
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
105-97
105
97
+8
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A07/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H09/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
125-122 OT
125
122
+3
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H15/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
112-120
112
120
-8
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
128-112
128
112
+16
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
123-109
123
109
+14
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
107-117
107
117
-10
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
29-39
28-14
22-24
14-29
20-14
18-18
31-27
26-22
20-23
18-23
23-26
32-27
27-31
24-20
29-34
23-16
27-20
27-18
23-23
21-28
31-26
27-31
33-35
36-23
32-27
31-31
29-31
28-34
20-20
40-30
35-25
21-23
13-18
32-13
29-28
33-28
17-21
29-31
28-37
208.3Avg total
106.5Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)103.7106.2209.9-2.540%
Season at home (40)106.2106.6212.8-0.350%
Season away (38)101.0105.8206.8-4.829%
Last 10 (10)106.5101.8208.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)113.0108.0221.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)102.5109.4211.9-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.5103.9210.3+2.660%
vs Weaker (3)112.3112.7225.0-0.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
113.9Avg total
61.0Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.754.9113.6+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.753.1112.8+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)57.457.4114.8+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)61.052.9113.9+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)63.454.2117.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.555.8118.2+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.355.4113.8+2.944%-
vs Weaker (8)57.653.4111.0+4.262%-
This opponent (New Orleans Pelicans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Orleans PelicansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A06/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H15/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A15/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H18/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A25/03
NBA
98.5Avg total
49.6Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.052.9104.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.252.6103.8-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)52.953.4106.3-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)49.648.998.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)50.449.6100.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.352.2103.6-0.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)51.352.3103.6-0.947%-
vs Weaker (3)58.059.0117.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.231.2
56.5%
50.2%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.9
39.4%
35.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws24.820.2
81.5%
77.0%20.2
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Orleans Pelicanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Orleans Pelicans: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.729.8
50.8%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
77.0%15.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWWLW
New Orleans Pelicans
LWWWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#22
+9.4
Net rating
+4.7
118.6
Offensive rating
106.1
109.2
Defensive rating
101.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.5%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.4%
3-point %
36.1%
65.7%
Assist %
58.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 106.1Defence109.2 · 101.4Shooting57.4% · 51.9%3-point %39.4% · 36.1%Ball care13.6% · 12.5%Off. rebounds23.9% · 20.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ New Orleans Pelicans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/17AHouston Rockets107-117
22/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-82
19/03/17HMinnesota Timberwolves123-109
18/03/17HHouston Rockets128-112
15/03/17AMiami Heat112-120
15/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers100-77
12/03/17ACharlotte Hornets125-122 OT
09/03/17HToronto Raptors87-94
07/03/17AUtah Jazz83-88
06/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers105-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayWWWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %49%55%42%
Points / game111.0114.5107.4
Allowed / game110.3110.4110.3
Point differential+0.6+4.1-2.9
Avg total221.3224.9217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (21)30% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %5%10%0%
New Orleans Pelicans
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games784038
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game103.7106.2101.0
Allowed / game106.2106.6105.8
Point differential-2.5-0.3-4.8
Avg total209.9212.8206.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)46% (13)50% (8)
Overtime %12%10%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors79641581%115.8104.2+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs78601877%105.698.0+7.6
3 Houston Rockets79552470%115.8108.9+6.9
4 Boston Celtics81532865%107.5104.6+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers78492963%109.9106.8+3.0
6 Washington Wizards80493161%108.9106.1+2.8
7 Toronto Raptors79473259%106.4102.7+3.7
8 Utah Jazz79473259%100.196.5+3.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers81473458%106.7104.3+2.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder76433357%106.9106.1+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies78443456%101.5100.4+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks80423852%102.7103.4-0.8
13 Milwaukee Bucks79403951%103.3103.6-0.3
14 Indiana Pacers79403951%104.5105.2-0.7
15 Denver Nuggets80394149%111.0110.3+0.6
16 Miami Heat81394248%103.0101.8+1.2
17 Portland Trail Blazers79384148%107.5108.7-1.2
18 Chicago Bulls81384347%102.6103.2-0.6
19 Detroit Pistons79374247%100.7101.4-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets80364445%103.9103.7+0.2
21 Minnesota Timberwolves79334642%104.5104.8-0.3
22 Dallas Mavericks79334642%97.5100.4-3.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans78314740%103.7106.2-2.5
24 New York Knicks79314839%105.3108.5-3.2
25 Sacramento Kings78304838%102.7106.4-3.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers80295136%101.9107.7-5.8
27 Orlando Magic80295136%100.2106.2-6.0
28 Phoenix Suns80265432%106.9112.2-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers80235729%105.1111.8-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets79176222%105.6113.1-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2614193190
New Orleans Pelicans29263228115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.