PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 29 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
28 Mar 2027
DEN v PHI
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
DEN124
PHI96
21 Jan 2025
DEN144
PHI109
27 Jan 2024
DEN111
PHI105
27 Mar 2023
DEN116
PHI111
15 Jul 2022
DEN71
PHI97
18 Nov 2021
DEN89
PHI103
30 Mar 2021
DEN104
PHI95
08 Nov 2019
DEN100
PHI97
26 Jan 2019
DEN126
PHI110
30 Dec 2017
DEN102
PHI107
30 Dec 2016
DEN122
PHI124
23 Mar 2016
DEN104
PHI103
25 Mar 2015
DEN85
PHI99
01 Jan 2014
DEN102
PHI114
21 Mar 2013
DEN101
PHI100
26 Dec 2010
DEN89
PHI95
03 Jan 2010
DEN105
PHI108
26 Dec 2008
DEN105
PHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Philadelphia 76ers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#21
L
97-109
97
109
-12
78avg 106
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
117-106
117
106
+11
104avg 106
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
133-128
133
128
+5
112avg 106
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
110-122
110
122
-12
81avg 106
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
121-106
121
106
+15
98avg 106
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 106
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 106
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
24-31
41-28
30-22
22-25
29-27
30-41
40-26
34-34
24-24
31-34
26-38
29-26
36-22
26-33
26-28
33-23
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Season at home (4)121.2126.5247.8-5.250%
Season away (6)110.5106.8217.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0115.2229.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)126.2123.2249.5+3.075%
vs Similar ◀ (13)111.6112.3223.9-0.754%
vs Weaker (13)126.2117.0243.2+9.285%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form76ers
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
108-114
108
114
-6
101avg 96
A08/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
106-144
106
144
-38
67avg 96
A11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
120-125 OT
120
125
-5
96avg 96
H16/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
106-100
106
100
+6
98avg 96
A20/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
114-106
114
106
+8
102avg 96
H22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
127-116
127
116
+11
111avg 96
H24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
93-106
93
106
-13
70avg 96
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 96
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 96
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
109-104
109
104
+5
72avg 96
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
25-23
23-37
27-21
20-24
22-39
27-41
37-40
28-34
32-24
34-26
21-31
23-25
31-33
29-18
23-24
18-35
27-34
37-21
32-16
34-25
30-35
33-27
30-29
22-34
22-22
25-23
24-27
25-25
37-27
13-36
39-21
29-21
24-23
24-24
21-25
27-37
30-17
20-29
32-21
221.2Avg total
109.5Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)110.5110.4220.8+0.164%
Season at home (6)112.0107.2219.2+4.867%
Season away (5)108.6114.2222.8-5.660%
Last 10 (10)109.5111.7221.2-2.260%
Last 5 (5)108.2105.6213.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)102.9115.4218.4-12.524%
vs Similar ◀ (5)112.0105.8217.8+6.280%
vs Weaker (8)118.0105.1223.1+12.9100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
Denver NuggetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#21
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.9119.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.261.4122.6-0.235%-
Last 30 away (13)58.955.6114.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)58.259.2117.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.559.8122.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.356.2112.5+0.254%-
vs Weaker (13)63.461.4124.8+2.046%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A08/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H16/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A20/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
45-69
45
69
-24
H22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A31/10
NBA
110.9Avg total
53.9Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.059.3114.3-4.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.958.7112.5-4.840%-
Last 30 away (15)56.160.0116.1-3.953%-
Last 10 (10)53.957.0110.9-3.160%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)52.661.4114.0-8.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)53.055.8108.8-2.860%-
vs Weaker (8)61.157.2118.4+3.975%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.5
56.0%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.4
32.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.7
73.9%
76.3%20.7
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.610.9
29.8%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws30.123.8
79.1%
76.3%23.8
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
Philadelphia 76ers
WWWLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#6
-4.0
Net rating
-4.0
103.4
Offensive rating
97.4
107.4
Defensive rating
101.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
11.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
29.8%
68.9%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 97.4Defence107.4 · 101.4Shooting53.4% · 49.7%3-point %32.8% · 29.8%Ball care13.2% · 13.1%Off. rebounds11.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Philadelphia 76ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
17/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers121-106
15/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers110-122
12/10/26HChicago Bulls133-128
07/10/26AUtah Jazz117-106
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ACharlotte Hornets109-104
30/10/26HNew York Knicks98-93
28/10/26AIndiana Pacers114-109
25/10/26HDetroit Pistons93-106
24/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks127-116
22/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-106
20/10/26ANew York Knicks106-100
16/10/26HBoston Celtics120-125 OT
11/10/26ABoston Celtics106-144
08/10/26ABrooklyn Nets108-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.8121.2110.5
Allowed / game114.7126.5106.8
Point differential+0.1-5.2+3.7
Avg total229.5247.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game110.5112.0108.6
Allowed / game110.4107.2114.2
Point differential+0.1+4.8-5.6
Avg total220.8219.2222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.