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Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 122-124
28-30 32-30 27-31 35-33
Position#17
Record14-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game109.2
vs
Position#27
Record7-24
FormWLLLL
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
28 Mar 2027
DEN v PHI
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
DEN124
PHI96
21 Jan 2025
DEN144
PHI109
27 Jan 2024
DEN111
PHI105
27 Mar 2023
DEN116
PHI111
18 Nov 2021
DEN89
PHI103
30 Mar 2021
DEN104
PHI95
08 Nov 2019
DEN100
PHI97
26 Jan 2019
DEN126
PHI110
30 Dec 2017
DEN102
PHI107
30 Dec 2016
DEN122
PHI124
23 Mar 2016
DEN104
PHI103
25 Mar 2015
DEN85
PHI99
01 Jan 2014
DEN102
PHI114
21 Mar 2013
DEN101
PHI100
26 Dec 2010
DEN89
PHI95
03 Jan 2010
DEN105
PHI108
26 Dec 2008
DEN105
PHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philadelphia 76ers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 97
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
119avg 97
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
92-112
92
112
-20
82avg 97
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
126avg 97
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 97
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 97
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 97
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 97
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 97
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 97
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
218.6Avg total
109.5Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)107.4109.2216.6-1.844%
Season at home (15)112.1112.0224.1+0.147%
Season away (17)103.3106.8210.1-3.541%
Last 10 (10)109.5109.1218.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)107.6108.0215.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5126.5232.0-21.00%
vs Similar (22)104.6107.5212.1-3.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)117.5109.8227.3+7.783%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form76ers
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 89
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
99-88
99
88
+11
91avg 89
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-79
97
79
+18
101avg 89
A11/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
114-123
114
123
-9
110avg 89
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
89-100
89
100
-11
78avg 89
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-107
108
107
+1
100avg 89
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
93-108
93
108
-15
81avg 89
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
116-123
116
123
-7
104avg 89
A24/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
100-102
100
102
-2
91avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
83-100
83
100
-17
67avg 89
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
23-19
34-29
14-20
26-31
26-26
19-12
28-19
32-12
26-23
22-29
17-15
25-22
29-38
20-32
40-31
18-30
22-23
24-21
25-26
30-32
24-25
29-29
25-21
23-15
21-42
25-27
24-24
31-24
35-29
19-28
31-42
23-24
24-27
30-19
23-32
24-22
27-27
23-21
9-30
201.6Avg total
99.0Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)98.2106.0204.3-7.823%
Season at home (19)99.3105.5204.7-6.226%
Season away (12)96.6106.9203.5-10.317%
Last 10 (10)99.0102.6201.6-3.630%
Last 5 (5)100.0108.0208.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)96.9106.8203.7-10.019%
vs Similar (9)101.6104.6206.1-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
112.8Avg total
57.6Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.955.2111.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.455.2112.6+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)54.655.1109.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)57.655.2112.8+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.4110.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.069.0126.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (22)55.054.5109.5+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)59.053.2112.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A11/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H17/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A24/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A27/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/12
NBA
102.8Avg total
50.9Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.252.0102.2-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.751.3101.0-1.644%-
Last 30 away (12)51.053.1104.1-2.142%-
Last 10 (10)50.951.9102.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)52.453.4105.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.952.0101.8-2.148%-
vs Similar (9)51.152.1103.2-1.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.530.5
56.0%
50.2%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.618.5
75.2%
77.0%18.5
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.527.2
50.8%
50.2%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.9
33.1%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
77.0%14.9
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWLWL
Philadelphia 76ers
LLLLWLLWWL
#17
League position
#27
+0.4
Net rating
-3.7
113.0
Offensive rating
100.6
112.6
Defensive rating
104.2
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
33.1%
62.5%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 100.6Defence112.6 · 104.2Shooting55.0% · 50.4%3-point %35.5% · 33.1%Ball care15.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.6% · 23.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Philadelphia 76ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/16AUtah Jazz83-100
27/12/16ASacramento Kings100-102
24/12/16APhoenix Suns116-123
21/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans93-108
18/12/16HBrooklyn Nets108-107
17/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers89-100
15/12/16HToronto Raptors114-123
11/12/16ADetroit Pistons97-79
09/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans99-88
07/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW44%
HomeWWWLW47%
AwayLWLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%47%41%
Points / game107.4112.1103.3
Allowed / game109.2112.0106.8
Point differential-1.8+0.1-3.5
Avg total216.6224.1210.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLLWL26%
AwayWWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %23%26%17%
Points / game98.299.396.6
Allowed / game106.0105.5106.9
Point differential-7.8-6.2-10.3
Avg total204.3204.7203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%5%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)29% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %10%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3328585%117.3104.5+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3327682%105.297.8+7.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3124777%110.6103.5+7.1
4 Houston Rockets3425974%114.5106.7+7.8
5 Toronto Raptors32221069%110.8102.9+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers35221363%108.6102.7+5.8
7 Utah Jazz33201361%99.295.0+4.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder33201361%106.2105.1+1.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies35211460%98.297.6+0.5
10 Boston Celtics34201459%106.1104.3+1.9
11 Charlotte Hornets33191458%104.8102.0+2.8
12 Atlanta Hawks33171652%101.9103.7-1.8
13 Washington Wizards32161650%105.7106.1-0.5
14 New York Knicks32161650%104.9107.6-2.7
15 Chicago Bulls33161748%100.7100.2+0.5
16 Milwaukee Bucks31151648%104.8102.8+1.9
17 Indiana Pacers34161847%104.1105.8-1.7
18 Orlando Magic34151944%98.8103.0-4.2
19 Denver Nuggets32141844%107.4109.2-1.8
20 Sacramento Kings32141844%101.9104.0-2.2
21 Detroit Pistons35152043%98.598.7-0.2
22 New Orleans Pelicans35142140%102.9105.9-3.1
23 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%107.6111.5-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves33112233%104.2105.6-1.5
25 Los Angeles Lakers36122433%103.9110.1-6.1
26 Dallas Mavericks33102330%95.0100.4-5.4
27 Phoenix Suns33102330%106.8113.6-6.8
28 Miami Heat34102429%98.4101.7-3.3
29 Brooklyn Nets3282425%106.0114.4-8.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers3172423%98.2106.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28322735122
Philadelphia 76ers30303133124
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