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Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-107
29-31 32-27 19-25 22-24
Position#12
Record22-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#5
Record17-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game107.9
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
28 Mar 2027
DEN v PHI
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
DEN124
PHI96
21 Jan 2025
DEN144
PHI109
27 Jan 2024
DEN111
PHI105
27 Mar 2023
DEN116
PHI111
15 Jul 2022
DEN71
PHI97
18 Nov 2021
DEN89
PHI103
30 Mar 2021
DEN104
PHI95
08 Nov 2019
DEN100
PHI97
26 Jan 2019
DEN126
PHI110
30 Dec 2017
DEN102
PHI107
30 Dec 2016
DEN122
PHI124
23 Mar 2016
DEN104
PHI103
25 Mar 2015
DEN85
PHI99
01 Jan 2014
DEN102
PHI114
21 Mar 2013
DEN101
PHI100
26 Dec 2010
DEN89
PHI95
03 Jan 2010
DEN105
PHI108
26 Dec 2008
DEN105
PHI101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philadelphia 76ers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
116-126 OT
116
126
-10
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
104-112
104
112
-8
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
102-85
102
85
+17
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
A28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-22
31-37
22-31
26-24
26-18
23-22
31-20
23-24
31-30
28-38
33-29
26-27
20-33
26-25
30-28
28-18
18-32
26-20
32-18
18-25
24-17
28-33
32-30
20-32
28-22
24-19
28-25
22-19
22-20
31-21
20-21
23-19
28-20
22-14
26-25
31-24
23-35
35-36
24-17
32-26
211.1Avg total
108.2Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)107.1105.8212.9+1.355%
Season at home (16)110.1102.7212.8+7.475%
Season away (24)105.2107.9213.1-2.842%
Last 10 (10)108.2102.9211.1+5.350%
Last 5 (5)106.897.8204.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.0111.0218.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.3107.1214.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (8)112.9103.4216.2+9.588%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
124-131
124
131
-7
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
118-112 OT
118
112
+6
A13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
H16/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
115-117
115
117
-2
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-114
109
114
-5
H22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A25/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
110-114
110
114
-4
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-29
27-26
25-27
26-32
29-34
40-21
29-44
20-27
28-24
26-25
26-24
23-28
24-27
30-26
17-13
25-30
34-37
28-22
28-28
27-30
30-18
21-23
17-30
31-30
34-22
23-34
21-28
27-27
19-28
17-26
23-21
21-24
29-24
29-27
26-23
30-27
21-25
34-20
25-42
219.0Avg total
107.7Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)107.9108.9216.8-1.044%
Season at home (19)107.5106.7214.3+0.842%
Season away (20)108.2111.0219.2-2.845%
Last 10 (10)107.7111.3219.0-3.620%
Last 5 (5)101.0105.8206.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)110.1109.9219.9+0.244%
vs Weaker (14)107.9108.0215.9-0.150%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
Denver NuggetsPhiladelphia 76ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A10/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A28/12
NBA
104.3Avg total
52.9Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.855.1108.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.552.3108.8+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.757.2108.9-5.535%-
Last 10 (10)52.951.4104.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)53.047.4100.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.055.5107.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.155.7108.8-2.639%-
vs Weaker (8)56.153.6109.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A25/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A29/12
NBA
107.0Avg total
52.4Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.5108.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.151.2107.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)52.955.8108.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)52.454.6107.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)53.851.0104.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)53.952.1106.1+1.844%-
vs Weaker (14)55.155.1110.2+0.157%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.929.1
54.0%
51.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.7
36.2%
36.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
76.5%14.9
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.328.8
53.0%
51.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
36.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
76.5%17.1
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLWLWL
Philadelphia 76ers
LWLLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#5
+5.4
Net rating
-3.4
111.1
Offensive rating
102.4
105.6
Defensive rating
105.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
34.6%
59.8%
Assist %
67.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 102.4Defence105.6 · 105.8Shooting54.1% · 52.6%3-point %36.2% · 34.6%Ball care15.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 24.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Philadelphia 76ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves125-128 OT
27/12/17HUtah Jazz107-83
24/12/17AGolden State Warriors96-81
23/12/17APortland Trail Blazers102-85
21/12/17HMinnesota Timberwolves104-112
19/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder94-95
16/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-111 OT
14/12/17ABoston Celtics118-124
13/12/17ADetroit Pistons103-84
10/12/17AIndiana Pacers116-126 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/17APortland Trail Blazers110-114
25/12/17ANew York Knicks105-98
23/12/17AToronto Raptors86-102
22/12/17HToronto Raptors109-114
20/12/17HSacramento Kings95-101
19/12/17AChicago Bulls115-117
16/12/17HOklahoma City Thunder117-119 OT
13/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves118-112 OT
11/12/17ANew Orleans Pelicans124-131
10/12/17ACleveland Cavaliers98-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401624
Win %55%75%42%
Points / game107.1110.1105.2
Allowed / game105.8102.7107.9
Point differential+1.3+7.4-2.8
Avg total212.9212.8213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%8%
Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %44%42%45%
Points / game107.9107.5108.2
Allowed / game108.9106.7111.0
Point differential-1.0+0.8-2.8
Avg total216.8214.3219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%32%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics43331077%103.698.0+5.6
2 Golden State Warriors41311076%115.0105.7+9.4
3 Houston Rockets38281074%113.3104.9+8.4
4 Toronto Raptors39271269%110.5102.8+7.7
5 San Antonio Spurs42281467%102.098.3+3.7
6 Minnesota Timberwolves39241562%108.7107.1+1.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers41251661%108.8107.1+1.6
8 Washington Wizards40231757%106.2103.8+2.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder39221756%102.999.6+3.3
10 Portland Trail Blazers40221855%103.0100.8+2.2
11 Denver Nuggets40221855%107.1105.8+1.3
12 Detroit Pistons40221855%102.3101.2+1.1
13 Indiana Pacers39211854%107.1106.4+0.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks38201853%104.3105.4-1.1
15 Miami Heat42222052%100.2102.5-2.3
16 Utah Jazz40192148%102.0101.5+0.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans40192148%110.3111.4-1.1
18 New York Knicks41182344%102.9104.8-1.9
19 Los Angeles Clippers39172244%105.4106.2-0.7
20 Philadelphia 76ers39172244%107.9108.9-1.0
21 Brooklyn Nets39162341%108.1109.3-1.2
22 Chicago Bulls41162539%100.3106.3-6.0
23 Charlotte Hornets40152538%104.0105.7-1.7
24 Dallas Mavericks43162737%100.9102.4-1.5
25 Phoenix Suns41152637%105.7112.3-6.6
26 Orlando Magic43152835%104.1108.5-4.3
27 Memphis Grizzlies41142734%99.0101.4-2.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers40132732%105.2109.1-3.9
29 Sacramento Kings41132832%96.1104.8-8.7
30 Atlanta Hawks41122929%102.9106.9-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29321922102
Philadelphia 76ers31272524107
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