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Drake vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 68-60 (OT)
29-28 30-31 9-1
Position#8
Record26-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game59.2
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#334
Record9-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Drake v Missouri State
02 Mar 2025
DRAK68
MISS60
02 Dec 2023
DRAK74
MISS57
18 Jan 2023
DRAK62
MISS65
09 Feb 2022
DRAK62
MISS66
06 Mar 2021
DRAK71
MISS69
26 Jan 2020
DRAK71
MISS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H20/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
64-58 OT
64
58
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
20-30
36-24
30-28
28-27
47-38
32-18
23-27
41-29
31-43
40-32
44-45
30-31
29-30
45-28
29-29
30-27
25-28
38-27
27-34
131.5Avg total
69.6Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.959.2130.1+11.790%
Season at home (16)71.456.4127.8+15.188%
Season away (13)70.262.7132.8+7.592%
Last 10 (10)69.661.9131.5+7.790%
Last 5 (5)69.262.8132.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)61.361.3122.7+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)70.759.9130.7+10.892%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H23/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
43-19
34-37
30-34
31-32
44-45
24-40
36-26
35-28
30-35
28-28
30-26
34-40
32-35
36-35
24-34
41-40
133.6Avg total
66.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.771.0139.7-2.330%
Season at home (16)70.669.4140.0+1.244%
Season away (14)66.572.9139.4-6.414%
Last 10 (10)66.167.5133.6-1.420%
Last 5 (5)65.265.4130.6-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.169.8134.9-4.621%
vs Similar (14)71.374.5145.8-3.229%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
DrakeMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
32-18
32
18
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H20/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
35.5Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.826.961.8+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.226.262.4+10.175%-
Last 30 away (14)33.227.861.0+5.486%-
Last 10 (10)35.526.862.3+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)36.629.065.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)30.031.761.7-1.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)34.826.561.3+8.388%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H27/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.163.1-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.131.862.8-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)31.032.563.5-1.529%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.464.4+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.261.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.132.663.6-1.529%-
vs Similar (14)30.732.463.1-1.736%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Drake wins
5
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Missouri State v Drake62-69 OT
25/01/24Missouri State v Drake83-80 OT
02/12/23Drake v Missouri State74-57
19/01/23Drake v Missouri State62-65 OT
01/01/23Missouri State v Drake52-49
10/02/22Drake v Missouri State62-66
03/01/22Missouri State v Drake61-56
06/03/21Drake v Missouri State71-69
28/01/21Missouri State v Drake73-78
27/01/21Missouri State v Drake61-68
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AEvansville65-61
23/02/25ANorthern Iowa64-58 OT
20/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-57
16/02/25HBradley59-61
13/02/25AIllinois State84-77
08/02/25HIndiana State85-81 OT
05/02/25AMurray State55-45
01/02/25ASouthern Illinois75-65
30/01/25HNorthern Iowa66-52
25/01/25AMissouri State69-62 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HBelmont65-74
23/02/25HIllinois State68-70
20/02/25AValparaiso64-66
16/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)58-63
13/02/25HEvansville71-54
08/02/25ABelmont68-85
06/02/25HNorthern Iowa61-66
01/02/25HMurray State77-56
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %90%88%92%
Points / game70.971.470.2
Allowed / game59.256.462.7
Point differential+11.7+15.1+7.5
Avg total130.1127.8132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %14%6%23%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %30%44%14%
Points / game68.770.666.5
Allowed / game71.069.472.9
Point differential-2.3+1.2-6.4
Avg total139.7140.0139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2926390%70.959.2+11.7
2 Bradley3124777%78.269.3+8.9
3 Belmont30201067%80.778.3+2.4
4 Northern Iowa31201165%73.967.3+6.6
5 Illinois State30171357%76.673.0+3.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%77.474.1+3.3
7 Murray State30151550%72.569.6+2.9
8 Indiana State31141745%79.979.3+0.6
9 Valparaiso30131743%75.775.1+0.6
10 Southern Illinois31131842%73.174.3-1.2
11 Evansville30111937%66.970.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2923679%75.461.7+13.7
2 Middle Tenn. St.2920969%75.971.4+4.5
3 Jacksonville State30201067%74.668.6+6.1
4 Louisiana Tech29191066%74.468.5+5.9
5 UTEP29171259%72.769.8+2.9
6 Kennesaw State30171357%76.473.0+3.5
7 New Mexico State29161355%69.565.5+4.0
8 Western Kentucky29161355%75.874.9+0.9
9 Delaware31121939%76.478.7-2.3
10 Sam Houston St.29111838%75.275.8-0.6
11 Florida International2992031%70.472.4-2.0
12 Missouri State3092130%68.771.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Drake2930968
Missouri State2831160
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