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Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 93-77
18-23 26-11 25-10 24-33
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#18
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.7
SpainACBRound 7
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes
25 Oct 2020
MAD93
EST77
09 May 2019
MAD109
EST92
15 Feb 2019
MAD94
EST63
31 Dec 2017
MAD96
EST89
30 Apr 2017
MAD79
EST72
07 Feb 2016
MAD97
EST79
29 Mar 2015
MAD92
EST66
24 Nov 2013
MAD72
EST57
05 May 2013
MAD93
EST82
22 Apr 2012
MAD85
EST80
22 Jan 2011
MAD82
EST61
03 Apr 2010
MAD101
EST77
06 Dec 2008
MAD98
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 79
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
106avg 79
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
90avg 79
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 79
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
72avg 79
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
90-65
90
65
+25
89avg 79
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 79
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
16-20
25-12
20-17
26-13
21-28
28-17
27-25
20-9
22-14
21-12
24-29
16-15
13-18
20-19
14-24
19-17
20-27
14-24
24-25
18-12
26-22
20-11
26-20
25-25
24-16
21-16
24-28
19-10
23-21
13-23
15-24
23-25
17-19
21-10
23-23
14-18
13-30
25-16
20-15
159.5Avg total
82.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.871.8161.6+18.0100%
Season at home (2)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)87.766.3154.0+21.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.577.0159.5+5.560%
Last 5 (5)82.076.8158.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar (5)78.883.4162.2-4.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.075.8163.9+12.295%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
no box
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
no box
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
70avg 75
H20/09
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 75
A24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 75
H26/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 75
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
85avg 75
H15/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 75
A18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-21
25-30
23-20
21-20
13-22
19-18
15-22
9-14
21-20
23-9
20-26
10-16
10-16
17-14
18-18
18-25
19-15
25-21
22-27
15-24
21-15
21-31
23-23
19-16
28-22
11-19
26-29
18-16
12-22
25-19
27-24
23-21
17-13
30-18
24-16
18-16
20-23
19-17
24-24
159.5Avg total
78.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.282.7166.8+1.550%
Season at home (3)87.380.7168.0+6.733%
Season away (3)81.084.7165.7-3.767%
Last 10 (10)78.780.8159.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)84.281.6165.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.179.4150.5-8.322%
vs Similar (5)81.077.8158.8+3.260%
vs Weaker (2)70.576.0146.5-5.50%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Real MadridEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A02/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A16/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A23/10
Euroleague
78.0Avg total
40.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.978.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.838.780.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)39.737.377.0+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.078.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.036.877.7+4.264%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H13/02
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/02
Liga A
Regatas
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H07/03
Liga A
Libertad
#20
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H14/03
Liga A
Manresa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/09
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H26/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H15/10
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/10
ACB
73.3Avg total
35.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.338.171.4-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.336.270.5-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)32.240.072.2-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.373.3-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.675.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.338.171.3-4.826%-
vs Similar (5)33.839.473.2-5.620%-
vs Weaker (2)32.035.067.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.6
55.9%
53.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.2
39.3%
36.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws13.010.3
79.2%
76.6%10.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.5
51.3%
53.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.9
39.9%
36.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
76.6%13.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLWWLLWWW
Estudiantes
WWWLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#18
+6.6
Net rating
-6.8
111.2
Offensive rating
112.1
104.6
Defensive rating
118.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.3%
3-point %
39.9%
60.1%
Assist %
50.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.1Defence104.6 · 118.9Shooting57.3% · 54.7%3-point %39.3% · 39.9%Ball care19.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Estudiantes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/20ABarcelona72-79
20/10/20HObradoiro CAB84-77
16/10/20AOlimpia Milano70-78
14/10/20HKhimki M.94-85
11/10/20AGran Canaria90-65
08/10/20HValencia77-93
02/10/20ABaskonia63-76
27/09/20AJoventut Badalona87-64
25/09/20HBasket Zaragoza102-83
19/09/20AGipuzkoa86-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/20AReal Betis81-80
15/10/20HGran Canaria94-68
04/10/20AFuenlabrada82-81
26/09/20HBaskonia84-86
24/09/20AMurcia80-93
20/09/20HManresa84-88
14/03/20HLibertad55-64
07/03/20HRegatas73-69
29/02/20HBoca Juniors68-82
13/02/20HQuimsa86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.893.087.7
Allowed / game71.880.066.3
Point differential+18.0+13.0+21.3
Avg total161.6173.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game84.287.381.0
Allowed / game82.780.784.7
Point differential+1.5+6.7-3.7
Avg total166.8168.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%89.871.8+18.0
2 Tenerife660100%86.581.0+5.5
3 Barcelona54180%81.672.4+9.2
4 Obradoiro CAB75271%85.181.7+3.4
5 Joventut Badalona75271%80.779.0+1.7
6 San Pablo Burgos64267%90.281.3+8.8
7 Baskonia74357%82.779.7+3.0
8 Manresa74357%83.983.1+0.7
9 Valencia63350%81.779.3+2.3
10 Estudiantes63350%84.282.7+1.5
11 MoraBanc Andorra63350%80.278.8+1.3
12 Murcia63350%80.782.2-1.5
13 Unicaja73443%77.780.0-2.3
14 Basket Zaragoza72529%84.687.6-3.0
15 Bilbao51420%83.287.8-4.6
16 Fuenlabrada61517%87.289.5-2.3
17 Real Betis61517%77.583.0-5.5
18 Gipuzkoa61517%70.885.8-15.0
19 Gran Canaria71614%75.190.7-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1826252493
Estudiantes2311103377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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