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Olimpia Milano vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-76
24-16 23-24 15-15 23-21
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#8
Record3-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Real Madrid
13 Oct 2026
MIL89
MAD98
16 Dec 2025
MIL89
MAD82
07 Nov 2024
MIL85
MAD76
08 Feb 2024
MIL81
MAD76
03 Nov 2022
MIL77
MAD83
16 Dec 2021
MIL73
MAD75
16 Oct 2020
MIL78
MAD70
17 Oct 2018
MIL85
MAD91
13 Mar 2018
MIL77
MAD88
27 Oct 2016
MIL90
MAD101
05 Dec 2013
MIL71
MAD78
01 Dec 2011
MIL65
MAD72
13 Jan 2010
MIL66
MAD75
08 Jan 2009
MIL70
MAD61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 75
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 75
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 75
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 75
H17/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
69avg 75
H24/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 75
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
94avg 75
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
42avg 75
A03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-21
23-18
21-17
27-24
20-21
25-18
16-22
17-23
10-16
21-24
20-26
24-17
25-14
17-17
16-37
21-14
15-23
26-18
21-23
11-23
14-23
34-20
25-30
20-13
19-22
27-26
23-21
21-20
24-32
18-15
20-21
21-14
23-21
22-32
33-23
18-21
11-27
13-18
15-25
167.0Avg total
81.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.187.9170.0-5.729%
Season at home (4)86.086.2172.2-0.250%
Season away (3)77.090.0167.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.285.8167.0-4.650%
Last 5 (5)82.489.4171.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.392.7170.0-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.281.8165.0+1.469%
vs Weaker (10)89.378.8168.1+10.590%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
93-86
93
86
+7
91avg 85
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 85
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 85
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 85
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 85
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
104avg 85
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 85
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 85
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 85
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 85
A03/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
26-23
18-17
25-22
18-22
16-24
25-14
20-23
18-16
17-20
17-12
20-28
28-19
15-19
27-20
20-28
23-18
22-16
31-15
19-18
22-10
24-19
25-25
24-18
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
22-11
18-20
26-17
19-16
159.5Avg total
84.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.782.1165.9+1.643%
Season at home (3)92.781.3174.0+11.3100%
Season away (4)77.082.8159.8-5.80%
Last 10 (10)84.275.3159.5+8.960%
Last 5 (5)82.671.0153.6+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.483.4167.8+1.050%
vs Weaker (20)90.280.1170.3+10.180%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
Olimpia MilanoReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H17/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A20/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H24/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
Lega A
78.3Avg total
37.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.480.2+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.438.883.2+5.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.940.276.2-4.323%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.778.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.279.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.044.070.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.540.481.9+1.156%-
vs Weaker (10)44.138.182.2+6.060%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/10
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
ACB
77.1Avg total
41.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.784.2+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.138.684.7+7.589%-
Last 30 away (12)42.241.283.4+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.477.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.030.672.6+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.140.586.6+5.662%-
vs Weaker (20)44.038.882.8+5.385%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.0
50.8%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
78.0%15.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.1
57.9%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.9
35.0%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
78.0%15.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLWLLWW
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#8
-6.4
Net rating
+11.9
112.2
Offensive rating
113.7
118.6
Defensive rating
101.8
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.6%
3-point %
35.0%
52.7%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 113.7Defence118.6 · 101.8Shooting52.3% · 55.4%3-point %36.6% · 35.0%Ball care16.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ATrento57-91
31/10/24HVirtus Bologna99-90
29/10/24ABaskonia83-88
26/10/24HBasket Napoli89-82
24/10/24HAnadolu Efes84-96
20/10/24AScafati83-78
17/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas82-85
15/10/24AOlympiacos68-89
13/10/24HBrescia88-85
11/10/24HParis79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24AMurcia85-64
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61
24/10/24HCrvena zvezda95-72
20/10/24HBasquet Girona95-67
17/10/24HPanathinaikos90-86
15/10/24ABaskonia72-76
13/10/24ABilbao79-83
10/10/24HPartizan93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game82.186.077.0
Allowed / game87.986.290.0
Point differential-5.7-0.2-13.0
Avg total170.0172.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game83.792.777.0
Allowed / game82.181.382.8
Point differential+1.6+11.3-5.8
Avg total165.9174.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%75.071.4+3.6
2 Panathinaikos75271%85.978.7+7.1
3 Barcelona75271%85.782.6+3.1
4 Fenerbahce75271%78.475.9+2.6
5 Bayern75271%88.387.3+1.0
6 Olympiacos74357%82.476.6+5.9
7 Anadolu Efes74357%86.683.3+3.3
8 Baskonia74357%76.773.6+3.1
9 Monaco74357%81.679.1+2.4
10 Paris74357%84.082.3+1.7
11 Crvena zvezda84450%81.679.5+2.1
12 Real Madrid73443%83.782.1+1.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv73443%80.684.1-3.6
14 Partizan72529%80.082.3-2.3
15 Olimpia Milano72529%82.187.9-5.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%78.084.7-6.7
17 Virtus Bologna71614%78.484.3-5.9
18 Alba Berlin81712%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2423152385
Real Madrid1624152176
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