PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 88-77
25-21 22-22 23-16 18-18
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.2
Vs
86%
14%
■ FEN 86%■ TOF 14%
Pythia win probability
Projected 89-77
Projected total 165.8
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 6· Ulker Sports and Event Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Tofas
01 Nov 2026
FEN88
TOF77
18 Jan 2026
FEN90
TOF82
14 Dec 2024
FEN90
TOF88
03 Mar 2024
FEN109
TOF77
27 May 2023
FEN93
TOF78
20 Nov 2022
FEN82
TOF68
19 Dec 2021
FEN82
TOF72
10 Feb 2021
FEN81
TOF84
15 Mar 2020
FEN84
TOF75
24 Mar 2019
FEN89
TOF56
13 Jun 2018
FEN94
TOF64
07 Jun 2018
FEN86
TOF78
05 Jun 2018
FEN103
TOF63
02 May 2018
FEN98
TOF78
24 May 2017
FEN92
TOF76
02 Apr 2017
FEN90
TOF75
01 Oct 2013
FEN87
TOF76
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Fenerbahce host Tofas in the Basketbol Super Ligi. Pythia makes Fenerbahce the favourite at 86% and projects 89-77, about 166 points in all (over 170.25: 40%). On the market's main spread (Fenerbahce -11) Pythia gives Fenerbahce 56% to cover. Overtime chance: 3%. Fenerbahce are 3-2 this season (88.4 scored, 84.2 allowed a game), form LWWLL; Tofas are 2-3 this season (79.8 scored, 84.0 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
86.0%fair 1.16
Best odds1.15
Implied82.2%
Edge+3.8pp
Tofas winLost
14.0%fair 7.13
Best odds6.50
Implied17.8%
Edge-3.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 15:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#11
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 79
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
65avg 79
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 79
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 79
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 79
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#9
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
162.6Avg total
82.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.484.2172.6+4.260%
Season at home (2)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
Season away (3)93.385.0178.3+8.367%
Last 10 (10)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.585.5153.0-18.00%
vs Similar (19)82.280.5162.7+1.763%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.075.2164.2+13.889%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
90-89
90
89
+1
76avg 79
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 79
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#14
L
87-101
87
101
-14
79avg 79
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 79
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 79
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 79
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 79
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 79
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 79
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.884.0163.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.889.1169.9-8.30%
vs Similar (12)83.388.4171.8-5.125%
vs Weaker (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1251%1302%1354%1406%1459%15011%15512%16012%16511%17010%1757%1805%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14511%15512%16510%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 170.25.
Over/Under 165Push
Over 165
51.5%
@ 1.60-6.4pp
Under 165
48.5%
@ 2.20+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
Bet365
2.20
Over/Under 170.25 · main lineActual: Under 170.25
Over 170.25
39.6%
@ 1.81-10.4pp
Under 170.25
60.4%
@ 1.81+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 175Actual: Under 175
Over 175
28.2%
@ 2.62-7.2pp
Under 175
71.8%
@ 1.49+7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Under
Marathon Be
1.49
Bet365
1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Fenerbahce total 86.5Actual: Fenerbahce over 86.5
Over 86.5
60.5%
@ 1.36-4.0pp
Under 86.5
39.5%
@ 2.48+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.48
Fenerbahce total 90.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce under 90.5
Over 90.5
45.1%
@ 1.84-5.3pp
Under 90.5
54.9%
@ 1.91+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.68
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Fenerbahce total 94.5Actual: Fenerbahce under 94.5
Over 94.5
30.4%
@ 2.29-7.7pp
Under 94.5
69.6%
@ 1.41+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Under
1xBet
1.41
Tofas total 74.5Actual: Tofas over 74.5
Over 74.5
57.4%
@ 1.34-8.2pp
Under 74.5
42.6%
@ 2.56+8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
Under
1xBet
2.56
Tofas total 78.5 · main lineActual: Tofas under 78.5
Over 78.5
41.9%
@ 1.83-9.6pp
Under 78.5
58.1%
@ 1.92+9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.65
Under
Marathon Be
1.92
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Tofas total 82.5Actual: Tofas under 82.5
Over 82.5
27.7%
@ 2.24-11.1pp
Under 82.5
72.3%
@ 1.42+11.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.24
Under
1xBet
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-65%-34%+08%+39%+610%+99%+129%+159%+187%+216%+245%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
0%-211%-153%-95%-38%+310%+99%+157%+215%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Fenerbahce's side (positive = Fenerbahce win). Pythia's expected margin is +12.6; Fenerbahce win by 1+ in 79% of simulations.
Spread Fenerbahce -14Actual: Tofas +14
FEN -14
45.0%
@ 2.18+1.7pp
TOF +14
55.0%
@ 1.68-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
FEN
Marathon Be
2.18
Bet365
2.05
TOF
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.55
Spread Fenerbahce -11 · main linePush
FEN -11
55.9%
@ 1.83+5.2pp
TOF +11
44.1%
@ 2.05-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
FEN
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.68
TOF
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.86
Spread Fenerbahce -8Actual: Fenerbahce -8
FEN -8
66.4%
@ 1.49+1.9pp
TOF +8
33.6%
@ 2.62-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
FEN
Marathon Be
1.49
Bet365
1.44
TOF
Bet365
2.62

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
FenerbahceTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.25
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.353%50%
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%29%
Last 30 away (16)42.641.283.8+1.450%69%
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%60%
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%50%
vs Similar (19)40.241.781.9-1.547%53%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.036.081.0+9.078%44%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#7
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#24
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#11
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.25
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%63%
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%56%
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%71%
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%60%
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.243.384.6-2.144%56%
vs Similar (12)39.845.985.8-6.125%58%
vs Weaker (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%78%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Fenerbahce win
FEN win
76.6%
@ 1.29-0.3pp
TOF win
23.4%
@ 3.85+0.3pp
1st half Spread Fenerbahce -6.5 · main lineActual: Tofas +6.5
FEN -6.5
50.1%
@ 1.91+1.2pp
TOF +6.5
49.9%
@ 1.87-1.2pp
1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Over 84.25
Over
44.0%
@ 1.82-5.7pp
Under
56.0%
@ 1.80+5.7pp
Fenerbahce 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Fenerbahce over 45.5
Over
46.0%
@ 1.85-4.0pp
Under
54.0%
@ 1.93+4.0pp
Tofas 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Tofas over 39
Over
44.9%
@ 1.84-4.6pp
Under
55.1%
@ 1.86+4.6pp
1st half: FEN + total 84.5
FEN & over
32.8%
@ 2.55-1.2pp
FEN & under
41.1%
@ 2.50+6.4pp
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
1.4%
@ 31.00-1.4pp
Draw & under
2.0%
@ 31.00-0.8pp
1st half: TOF + total 84.5
TOF & over
9.8%
@ 6.75-3.0pp
TOF & under
12.8%
@ 6.75-0.0pp
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5
Over
40.3%
@ 2.00-8.0pp
Under
59.7%
@ 1.82+8.0pp
1st half Spread Fenerbahce -7.5Actual: Tofas +7.5
FEN -7.5
46.0%
@ 1.90-0.5pp
TOF +7.5
54.0%
@ 1.65+0.5pp
1st half Spread Fenerbahce -5.5Actual: Tofas +5.5
FEN -5.5
54.5%
@ 1.83+0.8pp
TOF +5.5
45.5%
@ 2.00-0.8pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
51.4%
@ 1.64-5.0pp
Under
48.6%
@ 2.12+5.0pp
1st half Spread Fenerbahce -8.5Actual: Tofas +8.5
FEN -8.5
41.5%
@ 2.22-0.8pp
TOF +8.5
58.5%
@ 1.58+0.8pp
1st half Spread Fenerbahce -4.5Actual: Tofas +4.5
FEN -4.5
58.8%
@ 1.62+1.8pp
TOF +4.5
41.2%
@ 2.15-1.8pp
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5
Over
59.0%
@ 1.47-4.4pp
Under
41.0%
@ 2.55+4.4pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Fenerbahce (regulation)
FEN
74.0%
@ 1.30+2.7pp
Draw
3.4%
@ 19.00-1.8pp
TOF
22.6%
@ 3.90-0.9pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FEN win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
TOF win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FEN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TOF leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FEN:TOF): FEN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Tofas under 82.572.3%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+11.1ppWon
Tofas under 84.578.3%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+10.8ppWon
Tofas under 83.575.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37
1xBet
1.36
---+9.4ppWon
2nd half: Tofas under 42.572.2%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+9.3ppWon
Under 174.570.3%1.50
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.52
Bet365
1.47
--+8.7ppWon
Q1: Fenerbahce under 26.578.6%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+8.7ppWon
Under 175.572.3%1.45
Marathon Bet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.41
--+8.4ppWon
Q1: Fenerbahce under 25.572.5%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+7.9ppWon
Fenerbahce under 96.576.0%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+7.9ppWon
Under 17673.8%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
---+7.5ppWon
Fenerbahce under 99.583.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+7.3ppWon
Under 17571.8%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.49
Bet365
1.44
---+7.2ppWon
Fenerbahce under 95.572.9%1.38
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.35
---+7.2ppWon
Fenerbahce under 101.587.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+7.2ppWon
Tofas under 85.580.9%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+7.1ppWon
2nd half: Fenerbahce (regulation)71.8%1.40
1xBet
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.40
---+7.1ppWon
Fenerbahce under 97.578.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+7.1ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 42.573.4%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+6.9ppLost
Q1: Under 48.583.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.9ppWon
Q1: Tofas under 22.574.9%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+6.9ppWon
Fenerbahce under 109.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.9ppWon
1st half: Under 94.586.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+6.8ppWon
Under 176.574.3%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.43
Bet365
1.37
---+6.8ppWon
Fenerbahce under 107.596.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.8ppWon
Tofas under 87.585.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+6.7ppWon
Fenerbahce under 105.594.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.7ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce under 53.588.9%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+6.7ppWon
Under 178.578.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Under 92.581.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce under 51.582.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Under 90.576.4%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+6.4ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 45.585.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+6.4ppWon
Fenerbahce under 111.598.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Under 46.575.2%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+6.3ppWon
Tofas under 89.589.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+6.2ppWon
Fenerbahce under 103.591.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+6.2ppWon
Under 183.585.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce under 48.570.0%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+6.0ppWon
1st half: Under 88.570.1%1.45
Bet365
1.45
----+5.9ppLost
1st half: Tofas under 43.577.8%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+5.9ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce under 49.574.6%1.32
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.30
---+5.9ppWon
Tofas under 93.594.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.8ppWon
Tofas under 95.596.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.7ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce under 55.593.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.7ppWon
Tofas under 91.592.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.6ppWon
Fenerbahce (regulation)84.2%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathon Bet
1.15
---+5.6ppWon
Under 193.594.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.5ppWon
Tofas under 97.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.5ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 49.594.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+5.4ppWon
1st half: Tofas under 47.590.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+5.2ppWon
Under 188.591.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+5.1ppWon
Overtime: no97.2%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.0pp-
Fenerbahce over 71.595.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.8ppWon
Fenerbahce over 69.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.8ppWon
Q1: Tofas +7.572.4%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce +3.585.7%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+4.3ppWon
Tofas under 99.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Fenerbahce over 73.593.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.1ppWon
Fenerbahce +7.594.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.1ppWon
Tofas +37.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.1ppWon
Fenerbahce +12.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.0ppWon
Tofas over 59.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.9ppWon
Fenerbahce win86.0%1.11
1xBet
1.15
Marathon Bet
1.15
WilliamHill
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betano
1.11
+3.8ppWon
Tofas +32.594.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.6ppWon
Highest quarter: Fenerbahce71.8%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+3.5pp-
Q1: Fenerbahce or Tofas95.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.4pp-
Tofas over 57.597.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.4ppWon
Fenerbahce over 75.590.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.2ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce over 37.584.6%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+3.2ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce -1.570.4%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce over 35.590.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.0ppWon
Tofas over 61.593.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+2.8ppWon
Fenerbahce over 77.587.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+2.8ppWon
1st half: Tofas +16.585.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+2.7ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce (regulation)74.0%1.27
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27
WilliamHill
1.25
+2.7ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce +1.580.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.6ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce over 40.572.7%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+2.6ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce -0.574.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+2.5ppWon
Fenerbahce -672.9%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.32
---+2.5ppWon
Tofas +22.580.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.4ppWon
Fenerbahce -5.573.8%1.32
Marathon Bet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
---+2.3ppWon
Fenerbahce over 79.582.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+2.2ppWon
Fenerbahce -4.576.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+2.2ppWon
Fenerbahce -6.570.7%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.31
--+2.2ppWon
Fenerbahce -576.0%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+2.2ppWon
Q1: Tofas over 16.570.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+2.2ppWon
Fenerbahce -2.581.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.2ppWon
Tofas +2074.5%1.28
Bet365
1.28
----+2.1ppWon
Tofas +20.575.2%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce over 39.577.3%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+2.0ppWon
Tofas +19.572.4%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+2.0ppWon
1st half: Tofas +14.579.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.0ppWon
Fenerbahce +2.589.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+1.7ppWon
Tofas +1971.6%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+1.6ppWon
1st half: Tofas +12.573.5%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+1.6ppWon
Q2: Fenerbahce or Tofas95.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.6pp-
Tofas over 63.590.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+1.3ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 29.589.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+1.3ppWon
Fenerbahce over 81.577.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.2ppWon
Tofas +27.588.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+1.0ppWon
Over 143.591.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+0.8ppWon
Fenerbahce over 83.571.2%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+0.2ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 31.583.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+0.2ppWon
Tofas over 65.586.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+0.1ppWon
1st half: Fenerbahce win76.6%1.24
WilliamHill
1.29
Bet365
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.16
-0.3ppWon
1st half: Over 74.579.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----0.5ppWon
Tofas over 67.581.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----1.2ppWon
1st half: Tofas over 33.574.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----1.4ppWon
Q1: Fenerbahce or draw70.2%1.32
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31
---1.5pp-
1st half: Over 76.573.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----1.6ppWon
Over 148.585.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----1.6ppWon
Q1: Over 36.576.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.7ppWon
Tofas over 69.575.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----2.6ppWon
Over 153.576.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----2.7ppWon
Q2: Fenerbahce or draw70.2%1.31
1xBet
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.34
Bet365
1.25
---6.1pp-
Fenerbahce or draw86.0%1.09
Marathon Bet
1.09
------
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
55.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
75.6%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
55.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.6%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLWWLWWWLW
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#13
+1.9
Net rating
-0.3
96.7
Offensive rating
92.3
94.8
Defensive rating
92.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.9%
3-point %
26.5%
61.1%
Assist %
58.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 92.3Defence94.8 · 92.6Shooting53.7% · 51.9%3-point %32.9% · 26.5%Ball care15.6% · 17.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Fenerbahce v Tofas90-82
27/09/25Tofas v Fenerbahce80-78
13/04/25Tofas v Fenerbahce88-89
14/12/24Fenerbahce v Tofas90-88
03/03/24Fenerbahce v Tofas109-77
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game88.481.093.3
Allowed / game84.283.085.0
Point differential+4.2-2.0+8.3
Avg total172.6164.0178.3
Over 170.2540%0%67%
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.0
Allowed / game84.083.385.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total163.8163.7164.0
Over 170.2540%33%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom65183%81.871.7+10.2
2 Bahcesehir Kol.65183%92.086.7+5.3
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Trabzonspor64267%83.382.0+1.3
5 Esenler Erokspor64267%83.283.8-0.7
6 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray63350%88.379.2+9.2
9 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
10 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
11 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
12 Korfez Basket62433%82.084.5-2.5
13 Bordo Bandirma62433%83.085.7-2.7
14 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
15 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
16 Denizli Basket61517%79.786.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2522231888
Tofas2122161877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.