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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-58
25-16 24-6 15-13 20-23
Position#2
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#4
Record3-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
60avg 81
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 81
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
34-18
24-31
23-28
19-28
24-12
28-21
23-23
18-30
25-20
14-23
14-24
22-23
25-20
16-26
27-22
22-12
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
25-27
32-17
10-25
17-21
171.3Avg total
87.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.683.0166.6+0.643%
Season at home (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
Season away (4)79.586.5166.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)87.583.8171.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)85.485.4170.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.183.8173.9+6.475%
vs Weaker (20)85.879.5165.3+6.275%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 81
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 81
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 81
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 81
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 81
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
79-69
79
69
+10
79avg 81
A24/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 81
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
17-14
16-22
28-19
31-27
29-14
22-25
23-17
17-25
13-18
18-13
33-30
27-15
16-23
22-12
22-23
20-25
11-21
17-25
21-22
14-20
23-12
25-14
26-27
23-16
21-26
14-14
27-20
18-24
26-19
14-15
21-11
33-25
27-18
17-15
15-26
13-27
22-24
21-25
23-18
166.1Avg total
84.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.982.3164.1-0.443%
Season at home (4)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
Season away (3)79.782.3162.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)84.681.5166.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)84.679.2163.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.481.5163.9+0.957%
vs Weaker (15)86.777.7164.5+9.080%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A28/10
Euroleague
90.6Avg total
47.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.684.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.883.2+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.585.4+2.346%-
Last 10 (10)47.643.090.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.843.688.4+1.162%-
vs Weaker (20)43.538.682.1+4.960%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H10/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Dubai
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A28/10
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
42.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.882.7+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.538.684.1+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)39.241.680.8-2.458%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.284.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.581.1+0.164%-
vs Weaker (15)45.239.584.7+5.773%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.6
55.7%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.419.5
79.9%
78.2%19.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.0
54.7%
60.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.7
39.9%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
78.2%16.1
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLWLWLWWW
Fenerbahce
LWWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#4
+5.1
Net rating
+5.0
115.5
Offensive rating
114.9
110.5
Defensive rating
109.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.9%
3-point %
39.9%
62.1%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 114.9Defence110.5 · 109.8Shooting53.6% · 57.0%3-point %33.9% · 39.9%Ball care18.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds35.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25ABayern84-90
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
19/10/25HSan Pablo Burgos90-80
17/10/25ACrvena zvezda75-90
15/10/25HPartizan93-86
12/10/25ABaskonia100-105
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25AValencia79-94
26/10/25HTurk Telekom92-84
24/10/25AAnadolu Efes79-69
19/10/25AGalatasaray85-76
16/10/25HBayern88-73
14/10/25HDubai69-93
12/10/25HKarsiyaka87-73
10/10/25HCrvena zvezda81-86
06/10/25HPetkim Spor105-83
03/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game83.689.079.5
Allowed / game83.078.386.5
Point differential+0.6+10.7-7.0
Avg total166.6167.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game81.983.579.7
Allowed / game82.382.282.3
Point differential-0.4+1.2-2.7
Avg total164.1165.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv76186%93.087.6+5.4
2 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%87.276.1+11.1
3 Crvena zvezda86275%87.881.6+6.1
4 Panathinaikos75271%89.987.0+2.9
5 Valencia85362%92.490.8+1.6
6 Olympiacos74357%88.784.4+4.3
7 Monaco74357%85.983.1+2.7
8 Barcelona74357%87.987.9+0.0
9 Paris84450%89.988.0+1.9
10 Virtus Bologna84450%80.183.0-2.9
11 Bayern84450%78.883.0-4.2
12 Real Madrid73443%83.683.0+0.6
13 Fenerbahce73443%81.982.3-0.4
14 Anadolu Efes73443%82.184.3-2.1
15 Partizan73443%84.789.1-4.4
16 Olimpia Milano83538%81.180.0+1.1
17 Dubai83538%81.983.6-1.8
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv82625%88.694.0-5.4
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%78.586.9-8.4
20 Baskonia71614%86.494.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2524152084
Fenerbahce166132358
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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