Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	78.8	94.0	172.8	-15.2	20%
Season at home (2)	67.5	89.5	157.0	-22.0	0%
Season away (3)	86.3	97.0	183.3	-10.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	90.8	170.4	-11.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	94.0	172.8	-15.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	81.2	93.9	175.1	-12.6	29%
vs Similar (9)	87.3	90.2	177.6	-2.9	44%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBologna

Date

Competition

Paris

#16

79-90

-11

77avg 79

A09/10

Euroleague

Udine

#13

82-80 OT

75avg 79

A11/10

Lega A

Monaco

#10

77-73

72avg 79

H15/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#20

90-83

86avg 79

A17/10

Euroleague

Cremona

#12

69-86

-17

62avg 79

H20/10

Lega A

Panathinaikos

92-75

+17

89avg 79

H24/10

Euroleague

Sassari

#16

90-71

+19

94avg 79

H26/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

65-86

-21

57avg 79

A28/10

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

70-86

-16

63avg 79

A30/10

Euroleague

Trento

102-83

102

+19

102avg 79

A01/11

Lega A

24-24

16-25

20-23

19-18

17-12

20-19

23-16

12-25

19-19

18-15

22-19

18-20

21-24

19-18

21-22

29-19

23-19

7-22

20-32

19-13

19-15

29-20

21-18

23-22

23-23

26-12

22-19

19-17

11-25

22-17

17-16

15-28

15-18

23-23

17-20

15-25

26-24

31-19

21-19

24-21

162.9Avg total

81.6Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.6	81.6	171.2	+8.0	80%
Season at home (3)	88.0	81.7	169.7	+6.3	67%
Season away (2)	92.0	81.5	173.5	+10.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	81.3	162.9	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	80.2	164.0	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.6	60%
vs Similar (11)	81.5	79.9	161.5	+1.6	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	88.8	80.1	168.9	+8.8	77%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	23.1	44.8	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.4	46.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	23.7	45.5	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.5	23.7	44.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	18.2	44.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.8	54%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basket Napoli

#14

50-41

A12/04

Lega A

Sassari

#10

46-34

+12

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

30-45

-15

A27/04

Lega A

Trieste

39-35

H04/05

Lega A

Venezia

41-43

-2

A11/05

Lega A

Sassari

#16

54-49

A05/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

32-50

-18

H11/10

Lega A

Reggiana

44-56

-12

A19/10

Lega A

Trento

40-41

-1

H25/10

Lega A

Venezia

39-46

-7

A02/11

Lega A

85.5Avg total

41.5Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.3	87.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	41.4	83.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	46.8	90.3	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	44.0	85.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	48.4	90.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	41.7	46.1	87.9	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.6	39.9	85.4	+5.7	78%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paris

#16

40-49

-9

A09/10

Euroleague

Udine

#13

37-31

A11/10

Lega A

Monaco

#10

37-34

H15/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#20

40-42

-2

A17/10

Euroleague

Cremona

#12

30-41

-11

H20/10

Lega A

Panathinaikos

48-35

+13

H24/10

Euroleague

Sassari

#16

49-35

+14

H26/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

33-42

-9

A28/10

Euroleague

Bayern

#14

38-41

-3

A30/10

Euroleague

Trento

57-43

+14

A01/11

Lega A

80.2Avg total

40.9Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.2	80.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	36.8	78.1	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	39.9	82.9	+3.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	39.2	84.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.2	39.1	79.3	+1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.2	36.8	81.1	+7.4	77%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.2	23.1	42.4	-3.9	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	23.9	44.4	-3.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.1	43.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.4	41.4	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	80%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.5	43.1	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	24.2	44.2	-4.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	23.8	41.3	-6.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.0	39.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	24.3	43.7	-5.0	11%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.3	19.5	38.7	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	46.8	86.1	-7.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	46.4	86.2	-6.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	47.2	86.0	-8.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	46.8	84.9	-8.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.0	46.2	85.2	-7.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.9	48.2	88.1	-8.3	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	41.2	83.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.3	40.2	80.5	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.8	42.6	86.5	+1.2	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.7	15.1	50.8%	54.1%	30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.1	12.0	36.3%	34.6%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	15.4	12.3	79.9%	76.1%	12.3

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	18.8	56.3%	54.1%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.5	35.3%	34.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.5	79.7%	76.1%	14.5

They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	22.0	55.6%	54.1%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.5	38.9%	34.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.5	73.8%	76.1%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	17.1	50.9%	54.1%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	34.9%	34.6%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.4	73.5%	76.1%	16.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.9	16.0	50.1%	54.1%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.1	36.3%	34.6%	36.4
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.7	76.7%	76.1%	13.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.3	56.0%	54.1%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.0	36.6%	34.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	16.3	80.0%	76.1%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.7	54.9%	54.1%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.6	37.0%	34.6%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.8	76.4%	76.1%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	18.6	54.1%	54.1%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.2	33.7%	34.6%	27.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.8	75.0%	76.1%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Varese

LLLLWLWLWW

Virtus Bologna

WLLWWLWWWL

League position

-14.9

Net rating

+0.4

101.9

Offensive rating

110.3

116.9

Defensive rating

109.9

52.7%

Effective FG%

54.8%

56.6%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

19.8%

Turnover %

20.8%

21.1%

Off. rebound %

30.6%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.30

36.3%

3-point %

35.3%

62.4%

Assist %

68.9%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Varese ■ Virtus Bologna

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
27/04/25	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-67
10/11/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	104-95
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56
27/02/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	85-76
24/10/20	Varese v Virtus Bologna	73-85

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/25	A	Venezia	75-86
25/10/25	H	Trento	74-85
19/10/25	A	Reggiana	79-103
11/10/25	H	Olimpia Milano	61-94
05/10/25	A	Sassari	105-102
11/05/25	A	Venezia	64-83
04/05/25	H	Trieste	85-80
27/04/25	A	Virtus Bologna	67-104
19/04/25	H	Sassari	89-84
12/04/25	A	Basket Napoli	97-87

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/25	A	Trento	102-83
30/10/25	A	Bayern	70-86
28/10/25	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	65-86
26/10/25	H	Sassari	90-71
24/10/25	H	Panathinaikos	92-75
20/10/25	H	Cremona	69-86
17/10/25	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	90-83
15/10/25	H	Monaco	77-73
11/10/25	A	Udine	82-80 OT
09/10/25	A	Paris	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	20%
Home	LL	0%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Points / game	78.8	67.5	86.3
Allowed / game	94.0	89.5	97.0
Point differential	-15.2	-22.0	-10.7
Avg total	172.8	157.0	183.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	89.6	88.0	92.0
Allowed / game	81.6	81.7	81.5
Point differential	+8.0	+6.3	+10.5
Avg total	171.2	169.7	173.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	5	4	1	80%	87.0	71.2	+15.8
2	Virtus Bologna	5	4	1	80%	89.6	81.6	+8.0
3	Brescia	5	4	1	80%	86.8	81.2	+5.6
4	Trapani	5	4	1	80%	91.6	87.0	+4.6
5	Tortona	5	4	1	80%	90.2	86.2	+4.0
6	Trento	5	3	2	60%	85.8	78.4	+7.4
7	Venezia	5	3	2	60%	92.0	85.2	+6.8
8	Cremona	5	3	2	60%	83.8	79.2	+4.6
9	Trieste	5	3	2	60%	87.2	91.4	-4.2
10	Reggiana	5	2	3	40%	81.0	84.2	-3.2
11	Basket Napoli	5	2	3	40%	84.8	88.4	-3.6
12	Cantu	5	2	3	40%	80.0	91.0	-11.0
13	Udine	5	1	4	20%	79.2	80.2	-1.0
14	Varese	5	1	4	20%	78.8	94.0	-15.2
15	Treviso	5	0	5	0%	90.6	99.6	-9.0
16	Sassari	5	0	5	0%	78.0	87.6	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	23	12	19	23	77
Virtus Bologna	16	23	14	30	83

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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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