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Minas vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 94-70
27-23 20-15 22-21 25-11
Position#1
Record21-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game71.6
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#3
Record20-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game73.9
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Flamengo
27 Dec 2026
MINA v FLAM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MINA85
FLAM87
19 Mar 2025
MINA94
FLAM70
01 Feb 2025
MINA61
FLAM64
11 Jan 2024
MINA86
FLAM78
14 Apr 2023
MINA75
FLAM80
15 Oct 2022
MINA73
FLAM85
17 May 2022
MINA80
FLAM91
15 May 2022
MINA63
FLAM77
20 Feb 2022
MINA88
FLAM79
09 Mar 2021
MINA93
FLAM96
09 Feb 2021
MINA94
FLAM96
12 Oct 2019
MINA85
FLAM93
15 Dec 2018
MINA80
FLAM91
21 Nov 2018
MINA76
FLAM91
15 Apr 2018
MINA70
FLAM84
15 Dec 2017
MINA76
FLAM83
12 Jan 2017
MINA60
FLAM89
15 Dec 2015
MINA74
FLAM81
18 Nov 2014
MINA78
FLAM76
05 Dec 2013
MINA84
FLAM66
21 Jan 2013
MINA90
FLAM105
24 Nov 2011
MINA70
FLAM83
09 Feb 2011
MINA78
FLAM69
03 Feb 2009
MINA85
FLAM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
50avg 77
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
84avg 77
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 77
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 77
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
70-59
70
59
+11
71avg 77
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
79-77
79
77
+2
69avg 77
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
47avg 77
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 77
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 77
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
17-15
17-18
14-21
27-20
21-10
18-19
20-15
22-19
19-20
20-21
20-17
13-15
19-30
15-13
16-14
19-13
13-21
18-12
20-13
16-21
23-18
27-21
26-26
22-29
16-13
25-14
16-21
17-17
16-20
19-14
8-16
28-23
11-16
20-14
20-17
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
146.0Avg total
74.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.271.6153.8+10.684%
Season at home (12)82.368.6150.9+13.892%
Season away (13)82.074.4156.4+7.677%
Last 10 (10)74.571.5146.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)76.875.8152.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.067.0145.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (25)80.272.1152.3+8.280%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
56avg 81
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
55avg 81
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
110-65
110
65
+45
114avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 81
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-71
85
71
+14
87avg 81
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
92avg 81
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 81
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 81
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
68avg 81
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-65
102
65
+37
101avg 81
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-13
15-17
18-17
21-14
17-24
15-32
12-28
27-12
29-19
26-17
32-13
23-16
20-21
21-19
24-17
19-22
17-22
30-19
24-17
14-13
19-12
27-22
25-22
20-25
21-20
18-19
25-17
18-21
20-15
20-22
19-21
23-27
23-19
25-24
20-17
21-12
29-12
37-21
23-17
13-15
161.2Avg total
86.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.373.9158.2+10.477%
Season at home (14)83.673.7157.4+9.979%
Season away (12)85.074.1159.1+10.975%
Last 10 (10)86.075.2161.2+10.880%
Last 5 (5)89.276.0165.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)79.073.0152.0+6.050%
vs Weaker (27)88.474.1162.6+14.381%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
MinasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/02
Super 8
Quimsa
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H15/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/03
NBB
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
74.4Avg total
37.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.476.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.336.276.5+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)38.936.575.5+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.274.4+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.877.6-2.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.731.772.3+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)40.137.377.4+2.852%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/02
Super 8
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/03
NBB
Paisas
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H14/03
Champions League Americas
82.8Avg total
43.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.583.4+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.136.582.6+9.579%-
Last 30 away (11)42.941.884.7+1.155%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.982.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.285.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (27)45.338.383.6+7.070%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.715.9
45.8%
50.9%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.5
31.4%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.713.6
69.0%
72.7%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.7
55.6%
50.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.1
36.0%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
72.7%12.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWLWWWLWWL
Flamengo
WWLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
+14.3
102.1
Offensive rating
112.7
96.9
Defensive rating
98.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.4%
3-point %
36.0%
63.4%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 112.7Defence96.9 · 98.4Shooting46.4% · 54.9%3-point %31.4% · 36.0%Ball care16.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 35.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Minas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minas wins
7
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Minas v Flamengo61-64
30/11/24Flamengo v Minas70-81
11/01/24Minas v Flamengo86-78
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
17/05/22Minas v Flamengo80-91
15/05/22Minas v Flamengo63-77
12/05/22Flamengo v Minas76-67
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79
12/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba79-70
08/03/25AInstituto de Cordoba60-67
03/03/25AUnifacisa79-77
28/02/25ACearense92-86
15/02/25HPinheiros70-59
13/02/25HCorinthians Paulista63-72
10/02/25HBigua81-77
08/02/25HQuimsa86-64
01/02/25HFlamengo61-64
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HPaisas102-65
09/03/25APaisas89-72
05/03/25ACaxias do Sul82-85
03/03/25AUniao Corinthians82-77
28/02/25HPato91-81
15/02/25HUnifacisa85-71
13/02/25HCearense84-79
11/02/25HToros del Chiriqui110-65
09/02/25ABoca Juniors71-96
01/02/25AMinas64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW84%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %84%92%77%
Points / game82.282.382.0
Allowed / game71.668.674.4
Point differential+10.6+13.8+7.6
Avg total153.8150.9156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Flamengo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %77%79%75%
Points / game84.383.685.0
Allowed / game73.973.774.1
Point differential+10.4+9.9+10.9
Avg total158.2157.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
4 Franca2617965%83.778.0+5.7
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Unifacisa28141450%75.575.3+0.2
10 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano28131546%78.876.5+2.4
13 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
14 Caxias do Sul27101737%74.779.0-4.3
15 Pato28101836%82.384.8-2.5
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
18 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2720222594
Flamengo2315211170
← all games of the day
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