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Flamengo vs Paulistano Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game75.5
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Flamengo
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.6
80.8▼ 4.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.5
74.4▼ 7.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
52%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
20.0▲ 1.7
🔥 Form · Paulistano
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.9
75.0▼ 7.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.9
77.2▼ 2.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
51%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.3
11.0▼ 3.3
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
104-77
104
77
+27
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-16
20-29
17-17
22-18
21-28
33-10
28-21
18-21
14-18
18-19
30-27
19-15
28-18
23-19
13-14
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
162.6Avg total
85.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season at home (3)79.770.7150.3+9.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.177.5162.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)84.783.9168.6+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.279.2167.5+9.065%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#8
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
156.9Avg total
77.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.275.5150.8-0.275%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)76.582.5159.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)77.679.3156.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.077.2152.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.785.7164.3-7.017%
vs Similar (14)83.081.4164.4+1.671%
vs Weaker (10)86.675.5162.1+11.180%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -4.4-4.4
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
81.2Avg total
42.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.439.886.2+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)40.842.883.7-2.054%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)43.841.885.6+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.539.785.2+5.871%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#8
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
78.3Avg total
39.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.780.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.381.3+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.080.1+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.778.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.241.381.5-1.233%-
vs Similar (14)42.238.180.4+4.164%-
vs Weaker (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.1%
31.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
71.2%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.2%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLLWLWLWW
Paulistano
WWLWLLLWLW
#7
League position
#6
+7.6
Net rating
+2.1
95.8
Offensive rating
89.1
88.2
Defensive rating
87.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
33.7%
66.0%
Assist %
49.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 89.1Defence88.2 · 87.0Shooting53.4% · 49.8%3-point %34.1% · 33.7%Ball care14.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Flamengo v Paulistano84-79
15/11/25Paulistano v Flamengo80-82
06/04/25Flamengo v Paulistano70-63
23/12/24Paulistano v Flamengo75-89
26/03/24Flamengo v Paulistano81-68
31/01/24Flamengo v Paulistano83-82
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
08/05/26HBrasilia83-66
05/05/26ABrasilia80-85
30/04/26HUniao Corinthians104-77
27/04/26AUniao Corinthians90-77
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game79.779.7-
Allowed / game70.770.7-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game75.274.076.5
Allowed / game75.568.582.5
Point differential-0.2+5.5-6.0
Avg total150.8142.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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