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FMP Akademija vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-85
21-23 20-19 12-19 19-24
Position#11
Record6-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#10
Record6-20
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game90.7
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 5· Nevena Georgieva Dunja
Other2023-24
Meetings · FMP Akademija v Vardar
25 Apr 2024
FMP 72
VARD85
10 Feb 2024
FMP 80
VARD74
20 Mar 2021
FMP 78
VARD63
23 Nov 2019
FMP 95
VARD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Akademija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP AkademijaMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkademija
Date
Competition
Vardar
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 65
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
52-99
52
99
-47
28avg 65
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 65
A09/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
65avg 65
H16/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 65
A27/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-105
67
105
-38
53avg 65
H30/03
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
86avg 65
A05/04
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
81avg 65
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
69avg 65
H17/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
75-61
75
61
+14
75avg 65
H20/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-24
20-18
27-15
10-24
7-23
24-27
11-25
22-26
17-21
12-20
9-21
16-24
28-22
11-35
27-21
24-23
25-24
13-20
27-31
18-30
15-25
19-24
15-26
23-20
22-21
24-29
24-18
23-19
13-24
26-12
22-29
29-20
19-28
27-22
10-20
24-16
13-21
22-15
16-9
167.4Avg total
77.5Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.293.5170.7-16.323%
Season at home (13)77.894.8172.5-17.031%
Season away (13)76.792.2168.9-15.515%
Last 10 (10)77.589.9167.4-12.430%
Last 5 (5)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.596.9171.4-22.511%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.086.3172.3-0.356%
vs Weaker (2)103.084.0187.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 64
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 64
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 64
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 64
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 64
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
62avg 64
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 64
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
88avg 64
H13/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 64
A17/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 64
H20/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
22-19
13-15
15-15
17-21
12-16
16-19
20-24
15-15
19-23
24-13
12-26
29-22
20-26
23-21
25-12
12-13
23-14
20-12
22-26
17-18
158.8Avg total
76.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.990.7165.7-15.823%
Season at home (13)77.291.0168.2-13.831%
Season away (13)72.690.5163.1-17.815%
Last 10 (10)76.582.3158.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)77.275.6152.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)69.090.0159.0-21.18%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.884.5171.3+2.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
FMP AkademijaVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP AkademijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vardar
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H30/03
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H17/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/04
Prva Liga
83.3Avg total
38.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.346.385.7-7.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.846.785.5-7.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.985.8-6.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.145.283.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.884.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.248.185.3-10.816%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.842.784.4-0.956%-
vs Weaker (2)48.546.595.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/04
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/04
Prva Liga
75.8Avg total
37.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.745.882.4-9.117%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.645.782.3-9.123%-
Last 30 away (16)36.745.882.5-9.112%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.346.782.0-11.413%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.042.284.2-0.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Akademijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Akademija: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.3
47.4%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
32.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
70.3%12.7
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.6
50.0%
53.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.55.8
23.7%
32.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.713.1
66.5%
70.3%13.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Akademija
WLLWLLLLLW
Vardar
WWWLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#10
-16.1
Net rating
-7.4
96.2
Offensive rating
97.0
112.3
Defensive rating
104.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
44.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
23.7%
52.3%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 97.0Defence112.3 · 104.5Shooting46.9% · 44.9%3-point %30.6% · 23.7%Ball care20.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ FMP Akademija   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Akademija wins
3
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Vardar v FMP Akademija94-92 OT
10/02/24FMP Akademija v Vardar80-74
05/11/23Vardar v FMP Akademija102-91
20/03/21FMP Akademija v Vardar78-63
16/12/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-82
01/03/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-77
23/11/19FMP Akademija v Vardar95-66
FMP Akademijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HOhrid75-61
17/04/24HKozuv85-90
13/04/24AVardar92-94 OT
05/04/24AOhrid93-88
30/03/24HMZT Skopje67-105
27/03/24APelister89-98
16/03/24HGostivar82-102
09/03/24AKozuv60-88
03/03/24ARabotnicki52-99
10/02/24HVardar80-74
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HKozuv82-70
17/04/24AOhrid80-72
13/04/24HFMP Akademija94-92 OT
06/04/24AKozuv63-74
31/03/24HTikvesh67-70
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Akademija
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW23%
HomeWLLLW31%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%31%15%
Points / game77.277.876.7
Allowed / game93.594.892.2
Point differential-16.3-17.0-15.5
Avg total170.7172.5168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW23%
HomeLLLWW31%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%31%15%
Points / game74.977.272.6
Allowed / game90.791.090.5
Point differential-15.8-13.8-17.8
Avg total165.7168.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2521484%90.875.7+15.1
2 MZT Skopje2521484%83.469.4+14.0
3 Pelister2519676%84.674.9+9.7
4 TFT Skopje2617965%75.571.3+4.2
5 Cair 203026161062%82.978.1+4.8
6 Tikvesh25141156%83.377.2+6.0
7 Feniks 201025121348%83.582.5+1.0
8 Kozuv2791833%78.378.8-0.5
9 Gostivar2581732%80.585.9-5.4
10 Vardar2662023%74.990.7-15.8
11 FMP Akademija2662023%77.293.5-16.3
12 Ohrid2752219%73.988.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Akademija2120121972
Vardar2319192485
← all games of the day
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