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Vardar vs Kozuv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-70
23-14 20-12 22-26 17-18
Position#10
Record5-20
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#8
Record8-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.6
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 4· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v Kozuv
20 Apr 2024
VARD82
KOZU70
02 Mar 2024
VARD78
KOZU92
28 Feb 2021
VARD95
KOZU86
19 Oct 2019
VARD64
KOZU85
30 Mar 2019
VARD70
KOZU91
11 Feb 2017
VARD73
KOZU86
16 Nov 2013
VARD59
KOZU81
17 Nov 2012
VARD65
KOZU86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kozuv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 63
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 63
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 63
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 63
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 63
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 63
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
62avg 63
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 63
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
88avg 63
H13/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 63
A17/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
22-19
13-15
15-15
17-21
12-16
16-19
20-24
15-15
19-23
24-13
12-26
29-22
20-26
23-21
25-12
12-13
159.5Avg total
74.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.691.6166.2-16.920%
Season at home (12)76.892.8169.6-15.925%
Season away (13)72.690.5163.1-17.815%
Last 10 (10)74.185.4159.5-11.320%
Last 5 (5)76.478.8155.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.390.5158.8-22.24%
vs Similar (6)86.884.5171.3+2.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KozuvMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKozuv
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 70
A07/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
54avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 70
A02/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
87avg 70
H09/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
59avg 70
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
73-104
73
104
-31
57avg 70
A23/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 70
H30/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
74-63
74
63
+11
71avg 70
H06/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
91-59
91
59
+32
102avg 70
H13/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 70
A17/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
27-21
16-25
14-13
17-22
10-25
30-23
13-16
21-22
21-19
23-22
27-15
26-22
21-17
20-12
21-9
8-21
18-22
30-25
17-24
15-28
21-23
13-31
24-22
25-13
26-22
16-21
13-31
16-12
19-16
24-20
15-15
22-13
31-12
26-13
12-21
20-29
28-19
22-27
20-10
159.6Avg total
80.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.279.6157.8-1.432%
Season at home (13)79.974.5154.5+5.446%
Season away (12)76.385.2161.5-8.817%
Last 10 (10)80.179.5159.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.679.6161.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.183.5157.6-9.47%
vs Similar (5)75.084.6159.6-9.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.473.5158.9+11.873%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
VardarKozuv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/04
Prva Liga
77.1Avg total
35.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.246.382.6-10.114%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.147.383.4-11.217%-
Last 30 away (17)36.445.681.9-9.212%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.377.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.747.482.1-12.79%-
vs Similar (6)42.042.284.2-0.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KozuvLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/04
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H13/04
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/04
Prva Liga
80.5Avg total
40.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.880.0+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.380.7+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.379.3-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.482.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.540.078.5-1.536%-
vs Similar (5)37.645.683.2-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.537.080.5+6.564%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.7
48.8%
53.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.55.6
22.9%
32.2%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.512.9
66.2%
70.3%12.9
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kozuvtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kozuv: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.5
56.9%
53.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
32.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.010.9
68.1%
70.3%10.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
WWLLLLLLLL
Kozuv
WWWLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#8
-14.9
Net rating
+0.8
93.0
Offensive rating
103.5
107.9
Defensive rating
102.7
43.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
22.9%
3-point %
30.3%
60.4%
Assist %
64.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 103.5Defence107.9 · 102.7Shooting43.6% · 52.7%3-point %22.9% · 30.3%Ball care19.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 25.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Vardar   ■ Kozuv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vardar wins
9
Kozuv wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Kozuv v Vardar74-63
02/03/24Vardar v Kozuv78-92
11/11/23Kozuv v Vardar78-57
28/02/21Vardar v Kozuv95-86
20/01/21Kozuv v Vardar86-82 OT
21/12/19Kozuv v Vardar87-65
19/10/19Vardar v Kozuv64-85
30/03/19Vardar v Kozuv70-91
22/12/18Kozuv v Vardar91-82
11/02/17Vardar v Kozuv73-86
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24AOhrid80-72
13/04/24HFMP Akademija94-92 OT
06/04/24AKozuv63-74
31/03/24HTikvesh67-70
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
Kozuvlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24AFMP Akademija90-85
13/04/24HOhrid91-59
06/04/24HVardar74-63
30/03/24HPelister80-87
23/03/24AGostivar73-104
16/03/24ARabotnicki73-92
09/03/24HFMP Akademija88-60
02/03/24AVardar92-78
10/02/24HCair 203070-86
07/02/24ATFT Skopje70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW20%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %20%25%15%
Points / game74.676.872.6
Allowed / game91.692.890.5
Point differential-16.9-15.9-17.8
Avg total166.2169.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
Kozuv
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW32%
HomeLWLWW46%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%46%17%
Points / game78.279.976.3
Allowed / game79.674.585.2
Point differential-1.4+5.4-8.8
Avg total157.8154.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2521484%90.875.7+15.1
2 MZT Skopje2420483%82.869.4+13.5
3 Pelister2519676%84.674.9+9.7
4 TFT Skopje2617965%75.571.3+4.2
5 Cair 203026161062%82.978.1+4.8
6 Tikvesh25141156%83.377.2+6.0
7 Feniks 201025121348%83.582.5+1.0
8 Gostivar2481633%81.085.5-4.5
9 Kozuv2581732%78.279.6-1.4
10 Ohrid2552020%75.189.0-13.9
11 Vardar2552020%74.691.6-16.9
12 FMP Akademija2552020%77.394.8-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar2320221782
Kozuv1412261870
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