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Forca Lleida vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-107
18-31 12-23 18-25 23-28
Position#14
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game79.1
SpainACBRound 8· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Murcia
23 Jan 2027
FLL v MUR
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
FLL71
MUR107
04 May 2025
FLL79
MUR77
17 Nov 2010
FLL75
MUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 75
H18/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
69-98
69
98
-29
56avg 75
H25/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 75
A29/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
73avg 75
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
63avg 75
H19/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 75
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
54avg 75
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 75
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
86-99
86
99
-13
82avg 75
A16/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
22-16
19-15
20-33
23-28
12-28
21-21
13-21
24-20
16-25
24-25
19-25
23-15
22-15
19-16
23-22
25-21
23-22
15-22
28-21
25-24
16-25
16-24
21-26
24-22
22-20
23-21
30-27
22-20
19-21
16-16
11-25
28-11
21-17
17-19
20-33
27-27
23-17
22-29
14-26
170.0Avg total
81.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.086.3171.3-1.357%
Season at home (4)87.584.2171.8+3.275%
Season away (3)81.789.0170.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)81.988.1170.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)83.490.0173.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.387.1167.4-6.832%
vs Similar (11)86.789.6176.4-2.945%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
66avg 76
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 76
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 76
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
102-75
102
75
+27
103avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 76
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 76
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 76
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 76
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 76
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 76
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
10-21
25-27
23-22
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
26-21
23-17
19-24
21-22
21-26
24-22
25-12
32-15
34-16
22-26
17-19
8-17
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
162.7Avg total
84.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.479.1165.6+7.371%
Season at home (4)87.877.2165.0+10.575%
Season away (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)84.778.0162.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)84.672.0156.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (12)82.882.3165.1+0.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.175.6159.7+8.462%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
Forca LleidaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H25/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H19/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/11
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A16/11
ACB
84.2Avg total
42.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.783.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.946.887.7-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.484.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.441.481.8-1.037%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.986.4-3.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.4Avg total
42.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.0+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.981.7+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.976.0+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.585.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.639.277.9-0.650%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
42.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.019.2
73.8%
74.7%19.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.5
54.7%
50.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
42.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
74.7%13.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LWLWLWWLLL
Murcia
WLWWWWWWLL
#14
League position
#4
-7.7
Net rating
+8.5
105.5
Offensive rating
109.7
113.2
Defensive rating
101.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
31.9%
58.5%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 109.7Defence113.2 · 101.1Shooting50.2% · 51.8%3-point %33.5% · 31.9%Ball care19.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 36.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forca Lleida wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Forca Lleida v Murcia79-77
12/01/25Murcia v Forca Lleida88-81
02/03/11Murcia v Forca Lleida82-66
17/11/10Forca Lleida v Murcia75-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AManresa86-99
09/11/25HBaskonia86-80
02/11/25AJoventut Badalona68-82
25/10/25HGranada99-90
19/10/25HValencia78-99
12/10/25ABarcelona91-86
04/10/25HBreogan87-68
29/05/25ABasquet Girona83-95
25/05/25HUnicaja69-98
18/05/25HTenerife72-84
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
02/11/25ABarcelona81-78
29/10/25ALublin102-75
26/10/25HBaskonia89-84
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87
18/10/25ATenerife80-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game85.087.581.7
Allowed / game86.384.289.0
Point differential-1.3+3.2-7.3
Avg total171.3171.8170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game86.487.884.7
Allowed / game79.177.281.7
Point differential+7.3+10.5+3.0
Avg total165.6165.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia76186%97.483.6+13.9
2 Real Madrid76186%87.979.9+8.0
3 Joventut Badalona75271%88.079.7+8.3
4 Tenerife75271%92.985.4+7.4
5 Murcia75271%86.479.1+7.3
6 Unicaja74357%82.680.9+1.7
7 Forca Lleida74357%85.086.3-1.3
8 Gran Canaria73443%83.383.6-0.3
9 Barcelona73443%85.386.6-1.3
10 Bilbao73443%80.982.7-1.9
11 Manresa73443%82.084.7-2.7
12 Baskonia73443%87.490.3-2.9
13 Breogan73443%86.190.4-4.3
14 Basquet Girona73443%85.390.7-5.4
15 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.392.4-8.1
16 Basket Zaragoza72529%88.091.6-3.6
17 San Pablo Burgos71614%88.094.3-6.3
18 Granada71614%78.386.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1812182371
Murcia31232528107
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