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Forca Lleida vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-99
25-24 16-25 16-24 21-26
Position#14
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game77.0
Forca Lleida
Spain
vs
Valencia 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game85.5
SpainACBRound 3· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Valencia
09 May 2027
FLL v VAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
FLL78
VAL99
20 Apr 2025
FLL67
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
48avg 75
H20/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
75avg 75
A27/04
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 75
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
54avg 75
A11/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
90-94
90
94
-4
88avg 75
A14/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 75
H18/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
69-98
69
98
-29
56avg 75
H25/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 75
A29/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
73avg 75
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
11-17
17-21
20-18
17-26
16-26
20-25
26-19
18-11
18-13
20-23
23-30
18-31
17-22
17-29
20-16
19-13
19-28
29-28
23-25
11-20
22-16
19-15
20-33
23-28
12-28
21-21
13-21
24-20
16-25
24-25
19-25
23-15
22-15
19-16
23-22
25-21
23-22
15-22
28-21
166.1Avg total
78.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.077.0166.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.987.2166.1-8.330%
Last 5 (5)80.486.2166.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.187.9169.9-5.826%
vs Similar (11)86.788.1174.8-1.445%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 92
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 92
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 92
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 92
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
183.1Avg total
92.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)103.085.5188.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)113.090.0203.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.990.2183.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)97.093.8190.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.095.1182.1-8.10%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.784.1178.8+10.582%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
Forca LleidaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A27/04
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A11/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H25/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/10
ACB
79.0Avg total
37.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.383.0-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.238.878.0+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.147.987.9-7.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.779.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.082.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.843.082.8-3.237%-
vs Similar (11)39.443.983.3-4.527%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
45.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.386.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.341.585.8+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)44.043.187.1+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.289.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.893.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.046.088.0-4.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.941.186.0+3.864%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
42.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.515.6
72.6%
74.7%15.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.9
56.1%
50.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.1
37.5%
42.2%36.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
74.7%17.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
WWLLLLLWLL
Valencia
LLWLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#1
-10.9
Net rating
+2.4
100.2
Offensive rating
122.0
111.1
Defensive rating
119.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.8%
3-point %
37.5%
59.4%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 122.0Defence111.1 · 119.6Shooting48.9% · 56.1%3-point %32.8% · 37.5%Ball care20.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 37.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
20/04/25Forca Lleida v Valencia67-76
30/12/24Valencia v Forca Lleida107-92
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ABarcelona91-86
04/10/25HBreogan87-68
29/05/25ABasquet Girona83-95
25/05/25HUnicaja69-98
18/05/25HTenerife72-84
14/05/25AGran Canaria90-94
11/05/25ABarcelona72-98
04/05/25HMurcia79-77
27/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra79-96
20/04/25HValencia67-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.087.091.0
Allowed / game77.068.086.0
Point differential+12.0+19.0+5.0
Avg total166.0155.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.093.0113.0
Allowed / game85.581.090.0
Point differential+17.5+12.0+23.0
Avg total188.5174.0203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife330100%98.779.0+19.7
2 Valencia220100%103.085.5+17.5
3 Joventut Badalona330100%92.376.7+15.7
4 Unicaja220100%83.570.0+13.5
5 Forca Lleida220100%89.077.0+12.0
6 Murcia32167%89.377.0+12.3
7 Real Madrid32167%90.385.3+5.0
8 Baskonia21150%96.5103.5-7.0
9 Basket Zaragoza31233%92.388.3+4.0
10 San Pablo Burgos31233%87.388.0-0.7
11 Manresa31233%85.386.3-1.0
12 Gran Canaria31233%76.780.7-4.0
13 Breogan31233%82.094.7-12.7
14 Bilbao31233%77.390.7-13.3
15 MoraBanc Andorra31233%81.0101.3-20.3
16 Barcelona2020%83.592.0-8.5
17 Granada2020%71.585.0-13.5
18 Basquet Girona3030%87.7101.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida2516162178
Valencia2425242699
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