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Forli vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-82
19-25 10-19 16-20 24-18
Position#6
Record16-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Nardo 🏆
Italy
Position#19
Record7-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.4
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Nardo
26 Feb 2025
FORL69
NARD82
08 Oct 2023
FORL99
NARD70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 70
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
56avg 70
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 70
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 70
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 70
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 70
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 70
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 70
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 70
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 70
A16/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
25-16
17-20
18-20
17-17
18-7
13-17
16-24
20-20
19-13
13-23
27-26
9-32
25-19
22-23
21-19
16-28
22-11
18-19
22-15
14-21
19-18
19-18
21-23
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
149.8Avg total
75.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.074.8151.8+2.359%
Season at home (13)79.073.2152.2+5.869%
Season away (14)75.276.2151.4-1.050%
Last 10 (10)75.973.9149.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)75.470.2145.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar (24)74.075.0149.0-1.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.076.8161.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 63
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 63
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 63
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 63
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 63
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 63
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 63
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 63
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 63
A15/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
155.7Avg total
73.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.581.4155.0-7.926%
Season at home (13)78.080.1158.1-2.146%
Season away (14)69.482.7152.1-13.47%
Last 10 (10)73.981.8155.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)78.284.2162.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.381.5155.7-7.230%
vs Similar (7)72.480.1152.6-7.729%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
ForliNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
37.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.574.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.935.173.0+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.076.6+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.973.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (24)37.535.973.4+1.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.036.579.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.177.3-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.477.2-1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)34.942.677.4-7.719%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.940.977.8-4.039%-
vs Similar (7)34.341.675.9-7.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.916.6
45.0%
50.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.512.5
80.6%
74.4%12.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.2
48.5%
50.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
74.4%10.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWWLWLLLW
Nardo
LLLWLLWLLL
#6
League position
#19
+3.1
Net rating
-10.5
104.3
Offensive rating
100.2
101.3
Defensive rating
110.7
49.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.8%
3-point %
36.3%
62.9%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 100.2Defence101.3 · 110.7Shooting49.3% · 51.2%3-point %36.8% · 36.3%Ball care17.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 21.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Forli   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
0
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24Nardo v Forli75-84
06/12/23Nardo v Forli107-114 OT
08/10/23Forli v Nardo99-70
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
26/01/25ALibertas Livorno73-80
19/01/25HRimini78-73
16/01/25AVerona77-93
12/01/25HCividale79-82
05/01/25HSebastiani Rieti64-65
29/12/24ANardo84-75
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game77.079.075.2
Allowed / game74.873.276.2
Point differential+2.3+5.8-1.0
Avg total151.8152.2151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)43% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %26%46%7%
Points / game73.578.069.4
Allowed / game81.480.182.7
Point differential-7.9-2.1-13.4
Avg total155.0158.1152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2821775%83.674.8+8.8
2 Rimini2720774%81.877.4+4.4
3 Cantu28181064%76.972.6+4.3
4 Sebastiani Rieti28181064%75.273.0+2.2
5 Cividale28171161%79.978.5+1.4
6 Forli27161159%77.074.8+2.3
7 Urania Milano27161159%77.676.3+1.3
8 Avellino Basket27161159%79.178.9+0.2
9 Pesaro29171259%82.379.6+2.8
10 Verona28161257%76.873.6+3.2
11 Fortitudo Bologna28161257%75.573.1+2.4
12 Brindisi28151354%76.775.4+1.3
13 Basket Torino29131645%75.876.0-0.2
14 JuVi Cremona27101737%80.082.7-2.7
15 Orzinuovi28101836%77.381.8-4.4
16 Cento28101836%72.878.2-5.4
17 Libertas Livorno2992031%74.376.5-2.1
18 Vigevano2781930%75.580.9-5.4
19 Nardo2772026%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza2852318%75.582.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1910162469
Nardo2519201882
← all games of the day
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