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Trieste vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-68
19-11 23-23 22-19 21-15
Position#5
Record23-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.6
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record29-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.6
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals· Allianz Dome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trieste v Forli
24 May 2024
TRI85
FORL68
26 Nov 2023
TRI79
FORL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
91-103
91
103
-12
78avg 75
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
103-57
103
57
+46
99avg 75
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 75
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 75
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
94avg 75
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 75
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 75
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 75
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
72-49
72
49
+23
70avg 75
A19/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 75
A21/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
21-28
25-23
20-28
27-9
35-8
19-17
22-23
11-13
24-27
11-24
27-17
22-22
21-21
22-22
19-21
20-13
24-20
19-23
29-31
28-18
13-27
23-17
19-14
24-18
22-26
24-21
17-19
29-21
18-22
15-17
12-11
20-10
19-13
9-15
24-11
24-18
24-23
24-16
19-19
162.0Avg total
85.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.277.6158.8+3.662%
Season at home (17)82.174.8156.9+7.476%
Season away (20)80.480.0160.4+0.450%
Last 10 (10)85.077.0162.0+8.070%
Last 5 (5)81.471.2152.6+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.278.5158.7+1.663%
vs Weaker (10)84.673.4158.0+11.270%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
78-61
78
61
+17
74avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 70
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
89-87
89
87
+2
75avg 70
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 70
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 70
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 70
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
49-72
49
72
-23
31avg 70
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 70
H21/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-14
11-14
24-15
21-21
22-23
24-21
18-15
17-19
15-19
18-16
17-23
26-27
15-22
20-21
28-17
31-11
19-22
22-12
15-26
22-18
20-17
21-16
21-18
9-24
16-20
21-18
21-14
26-23
30-11
23-16
16-19
10-20
13-19
15-9
11-24
18-24
23-24
16-24
19-19
153.0Avg total
77.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.873.6152.4+5.376%
Season at home (20)78.571.0149.5+7.580%
Season away (18)79.276.4155.7+2.872%
Last 10 (10)77.775.3153.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)74.275.4149.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.472.8146.2+0.562%
vs Weaker (17)82.073.9155.9+8.188%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
TriesteForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H30/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/05
Serie A2
83.2Avg total
45.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.179.7+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.535.979.4+7.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.179.9-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.183.2+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.940.580.4-0.642%-
vs Weaker (10)45.433.478.8+12.070%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H30/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A21/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H19/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/05
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
39.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.676.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.934.773.6+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.878.7+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.679.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.836.772.5-0.946%-
vs Weaker (17)42.136.578.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.9
51.0%
50.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.1
37.6%
34.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
74.2%15.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.0
52.6%
50.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.8%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.0
76.5%
74.2%15.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWWWLLWL
Forli
LLWLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+10.2
Net rating
+4.1
115.5
Offensive rating
106.5
105.3
Defensive rating
102.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.6%
3-point %
29.8%
59.3%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 106.5Defence105.3 · 102.4Shooting53.7% · 49.0%3-point %37.6% · 29.8%Ball care17.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
21/05/24Forli v Trieste76-91
19/05/24Forli v Trieste49-72
04/02/24Forli v Trieste92-64
26/11/23Trieste v Forli79-62
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24AForli91-76
19/05/24AForli72-49
10/05/24HBasket Torino74-71
07/05/24ABasket Torino87-84
05/05/24ABasket Torino83-76
21/04/24ASebastiani Rieti92-87
14/04/24HUrania Milano84-86
06/04/24ATrapani73-81
30/03/24HVigevano103-57
22/03/24ABasket Torino91-103
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24HTrieste76-91
19/05/24HTrieste49-72
12/05/24AVigevano95-69
10/05/24AVigevano67-76
07/05/24HVigevano84-69
05/05/24HVigevano87-71
21/04/24ALatina89-87
12/04/24HCantu67-77
07/04/24AVigevano85-80
30/03/24HJuVi Cremona78-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayWWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %62%76%50%
Points / game81.282.180.4
Allowed / game77.674.880.0
Point differential+3.6+7.4+0.3
Avg total158.8156.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL76%
HomeLWWLL80%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %76%80%72%
Points / game78.878.579.2
Allowed / game73.671.076.4
Point differential+5.3+7.5+2.8
Avg total152.4149.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%45%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (3)100% (6)
Overtime %13%20%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3935490%87.375.7+11.6
2 Forli3829976%78.873.6+5.3
3 Cantu38281074%83.777.3+6.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna37271073%76.370.3+6.0
5 Udine37241365%77.871.0+6.8
6 Trieste37231462%81.277.6+3.6
7 Sebastiani Rieti37231462%79.576.6+2.9
8 Verona39231659%77.976.0+1.9
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale36181850%76.075.7+0.3
12 Cento37181949%75.677.5-1.9
13 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Nardo37152241%75.679.9-4.4
16 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
17 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
18 Chiusi37142338%70.273.7-3.5
19 Vigevano36122433%76.681.6-4.9
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Agrigento37112630%75.281.4-6.3
22 Luiss Roma37112630%77.784.5-6.8
23 Latina3792824%75.983.8-7.9
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1923222185
Forli1123191568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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